| | | | |  | | By Madison Fernandez and Jessica Piper | | Presented by |  | | | | | As candidates up and down the ballot shift from primary to general election mode, the resources they have will set the tone for the months ahead. The details of their war chests will be revealed this week, when the latest campaign finance reports are due to the Federal Election Commission. Reports due on Monday cover the first quarter of 2024 for congressional campaigns, joint fundraising committees and some super PACs. And we’ll see the latest from former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden’s campaigns later this week, when their monthly totals for March are due on Saturday.
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Several committees in former President Donald Trump’s orbit will file their first reports in several months on Monday. | Joe Lamberti/AP | Here are some of the questions that will be answered in this week’s reports. — What’s new inside Biden and Trump’s money machines? Several committees in Trump’s orbit will file their first reports in several months on Monday. One thing we’ll be watching for is to what extent the committees are having to spend big to fundraise. We will also get the first filings ever from two new joint fundraising committees, Trump 47 Committee and the Trump National Committee, both of which include the former president’s campaign as well as the Republican National Committee. These committees are allowed to accept much larger checks due to the RNC’s inclusion, so look out for big donors that Trump’s campaign has worked hard to woo. The Saturday filings will include another month of financial data not just from Trump’s campaign, but also the leadership PAC that has been covering millions of dollars in legal bills for him and others, as well as the major super PAC backing him. Several major Democratic super PACs will also file their first 2024 reports on Monday, including Future Forward — which has committed to spending $250 million to boost Biden this year — as well as groups such as Priorities USA and American Bridge, that are expected to similarly dump hundreds of millions into the presidential race. — How do vulnerable Senate Democrats stack up against their self-funding challengers? Republicans are relying on self-funders to propel the party through competitive races this year, most notably in the Trump-won states of Ohio and Montana, along with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. But because it’s early in the cycle, it’s just a hint of the spending that is to come as the races heat up. Wisconsin’s Eric Hovde, Ohio’s Bernie Moreno, Pennsylvania’s David McCormick and Montana’s Tim Sheehy all could potentially pour in millions from their own wallets into their campaigns. Consider the baseline for how much just McCormick might spend: He invested more than $14 million just for the primary — which he lost — in 2022. — Can House Democrats maintain their cash edge? Democratic challengers kicked off 2024 with a slight advantage over Republicans looking to topple vulnerable Democrats. But we’ll see if the gap has tightened in these battleground House districts, as more primaries are on the calendar for the second quarter. And with Republicans’ narrow majority, every dollar counts for control of the House. Around a half-dozen Democratic challengers have already announced major hauls over $1 million for the first quarter of 2024, including candidates in New York, California, Michigan and Arizona. Vulnerable Democratic incumbents are also touting their million-plus dollar fundraising, including North Carolina Rep. Don Davis, Pennsylvania Reps. Matt Cartwright and Susan Wild, and Alaska Rep. Mary Peltola. Some battleground Republicans have advertised raking in impressive amounts, too: California Reps. Ken Calvert, Young Kim and Michelle Steel, Pennsylvania Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and Montana Rep. Ryan Zinke each said they brought in $1 million or more early this year. Happy Monday, and happy FEC filing day to all who celebrate. Thanks to Jessica (jpiper@politico.com, @jsscppr) for the assist on the top. Reach me at mfernandez@politico.com and @madfernandez616. Days until the Alabama runoffs: 1 Days until the Pennsylvania primaries: 8 Days until the Indiana primaries: 22 Days until the North Carolina runoffs and Maryland, Nebraska and West Virginia primaries: 29 Days until the Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon primaries: 36 Days until the Texas runoffs: 43 Days until the Republican National Convention: 91 Days until the Democratic National Convention: 126 Days until the 2024 election: 204
| | | | A message from Televisa Univision: The cost of living (73%) is the number one polling issue among Hispanic voters in Pennsylvania. Leverage TU likely voter data to refine your approach, tailor messaging to resonate culturally, and forge impactful connections. For vital insights into the Pennsylvania primary and Hispanic voter trends, please email us at POLITICAL@UNIVISION.NET. | | | | | | NEW YORK STATE OF MIND — Trump moved part of his campaign operation to New York ahead of his first criminal trial, which is starting today in Manhattan, Axios’ Erin Doherty and Sophia Cai report. It’s the latest indicator of how the Trump campaign is adapting to his busy legal schedule in the leadup to the election. LEGAL LOOK — “Biden used campaign donations to help pay his legal bills last year during the special counsel's probe into his handling of classified documents,” Axios’ Alex Thompson writes. “The payments, made through the Democratic National Committee, are at odds with the Biden campaign's recent attacks on … Trump for spending his campaign funds on legal fees.” The DNC declined to share with Axios how much it spent on legal fees, with a spokesperson asserting that “the the DNC does not spend a single penny of grassroots donors' money on legal bills.” TRAIL MIX — Biden is taking a swing through Pennsylvania this week, just days after Trump held a rally in the commonwealth. The president is set to visit his childhood hometown of Scranton on Tuesday, and the Pittsburgh area and Philadelphia later in the week. Pennsylvania’s primary election is on April 23, and although Biden doesn’t face any competition, there is a protest vote underway in the Keystone State. ANOTHER ONE — Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign said it has collected enough signatures to be on the Iowa ballot, after he held a “convention” in the state over the weekend. Kennedy has officially qualified for the ballot in Utah, and the campaign has said he has enough signatures to be on the ballot in New Hampshire, Nevada, Hawaii, North Carolina, Idaho and Nebraska.
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| | FIRST IN SCORE — ALABAMA SLAMMER — A top official of a super PAC boosting Democrat Anthony Daniels in a primary runoff Tuesday in an Alabama district created to give Black voters more political power is a political operative who has worked for numerous Republican candidates in the past, POLITICO’s Daniel Lippman and your Score host report. Daniels, the state’s House minority leader, faces Shomari Figures, a Biden administration and Obama White House alum, in the runoff. The super PAC Progress For Alabama recently placed a cable ad buy of around $20,000, with ads running on cable and broadcast starting last week, according to ad tracker AdImpact. Even though Figures worked until last year as a Biden appointee in the Justice Department, the ad — shared with Score — claims Figures “would be a puppet for Trump and his MAGA friends” in cutting Medicaid, Social Security and rural health care. The treasurer of the group is David Driscoll, an Alabama-based consultant who has had at least four Republican clients in recent years, including some who have endorsed Trump. Driscoll, who declined to comment, has worked for clients including Republican state Rep. David Cole and former state Sen. Rusty Glover, according to social media posts and campaign finance records. His company, the Driscoll Group, has also regularly worked for Democrats — including a recent payment from state Democratic groups. Progress For Alabama is a “pop-up” super PAC, which was created so close to an election that its donors won’t be disclosed until after all the votes have been cast. 2024 WATCH — Democratic New Hampshire state Sen. Becky Whitley officially launched her bid to succeed retiring Democratic Rep. Annie Kuster in NH-02. Whitley formed an exploratory committee for the seat earlier this month. Kuster has already endorsed former New Hampshire Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern in the Democratic primary. ABORTION ON THE BALLOT — Abortion-rights advocates in Colorado said they collected enough signatures to put an initiative protecting access to the procedure in the state constitution. Abortion is currently broadly legal in Colorado. ENDORSEMENT CORNER — Trump endorsed McCormick in the race for Pennsylvania Senate. In 2022, Trump endorsed Republican Mehmet Oz — who ended up losing to now-Democratic Sen. John Fetterman — over McCormick. … Trump is also backing Jerrod Sessler, who is primarying Republican Rep. Dan Newhouse in WA-04. Newhouse previously voted to impeach Trump. … The former president also rolled out an endorsement for Republican Rob Bresnahan, who is running unopposed in the PA-08 primary to challenge Cartwright in the fall. PULL UP A CHAIR — Former state Rep. Randal Gaines is the new chair of the Louisiana Democratic Party, replacing embattled Chair Katie Bernhardt. Her ouster was expected: During her tenure, Democrats lost races up and down the ballot, including the governorship in 2023.
| | | | A message from Televisa Univision:   | | | | | Q1 TABS — Here’s the latest on Q1 fundraising totals in races of note: CA-03 — Democrat Jessica Morse, who is facing Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley in November, raised more than $500,000 and has almost $1 million in the bank. NJ-08 — Democratic Rep. Rob Menendez raised close to $680,000 and has $1.2 million on hand. He faces a primary challenge from Hoboken Mayor Ravi Bhalla. NM-02 — Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez raised over $830,000 and now has more than $1.8 million in the bank. Former Republican Rep. Yvette Herrell, whom Vasquez ousted in 2022, is looking to get her seat back. OH-13 — Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes raised over $815,000. She’ll be fending off a challenge from Republican Kevin Coughlin, a former state legislator, in the fall. PACs — The Republican State Leadership Committee, which supports Republicans in state legislatures and other down-ballot offices, and its affiliates raised $12 million combined. BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE — Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) made her “first-ever contribution” to the DCCC, citing a fear that “a Republican-controlled House would not certify a potential re-election of … Biden this fall,” The New York Times’ Shane Goldmacher reported. Ocasio-Cortez, a strong fundraiser and member of the progressive Squad, has clashed at times with the DCCC since coming to Congress in 2019. Her $260,000 donation is earmarked for the party’s Voter Protection Program, which focuses on “ voter registration, poll observation and litigation.” TALES FROM THE CRYPTO — Crypto executives and other deep-pocketed crypto-related donors are lining up behind crypto lawyer John Deaton, a Republican mounting a longshot bid to unseat Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren, our Lisa Kashinsky, Jasper Goodman and Kelly Garrity report.
| | | | POLITICO IS BACK AT THE 2024 MILKEN INSTITUTE GLOBAL CONFERENCE: POLITICO will again be your eyes and ears at the 27th Annual Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles from May 5-8 with exclusive, daily, reporting in our Global Playbook newsletter. Suzanne Lynch will be on the ground covering the biggest moments, behind-the-scenes buzz and on-stage insights from global leaders in health, finance, tech, philanthropy and beyond. Get a front-row seat to where the most interesting minds and top global leaders confront the world’s most pressing and complex challenges — subscribe today. | | | | | | | | | PRESIDENTIAL — NATIONAL — Biden and Trump remain in a tight race come November, per a New York Times/Siena College poll. Trump has 46 percent to Biden’s 45 percent (1,059 registered voters, April 7-11, MoE +/- 3.3 percentage points). MD-Sen — Democratic Rep. David Trone and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks remain in a competitive primary, according to an internal poll for Alsobrook’s campaign conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. Trone has 43 percent of the vote, and Alsobrooks has 40 percent (600 likely Democratic primary voters, April 8-10, MoE +/- 4 percentage points).
| | FIRST IN SCORE — WV-Gov — Club for Growth Action, which endorsed Attorney General Patrick Morrisey in the Republican primary, is up with a spot hitting former state Del. Moore Capito, calling him a liberal “born with a silver spoon in his mouth” who is “taxing us into poverty.” The group has previously run ads attacking businessperson Chris Miller, who is also running in the crowded primary. … Capito touts his plans on immigration and taxes while taking a dig at Morrisey, accusing him of getting “rich lobbying for the puberty blocker companies.” MT-Sen — Democratic Sen. Jon Tester attacks Sheehy as a “rich out-of-stater” who is “changing Montana.” … The NRSC and Sheehy are up with a coordinated spot focusing on Tester’s lobbyist donations. Sheehy vows to “ban politicians from becoming lobbyists, stop them from trading stocks and fight for term limits.” MD-Sen — Trone has a direct-to-camera ad with fellow Democratic Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger, who endorsed him last year. Trone is also running a spot emphasizing his support of abortion rights. UT-Sen — Conservative Values for Utah, a super PAC supporting Republican Rep. John Curtis, portrays him as “tough on border security.” … Conservative Outsider PAC, which is backing Republican Brent Orrin Hatch, promises that he’ll cut spending by calling him “cheap.” IN-Gov — American Advancement Inc., an outside group that just started spending in the GOP primary, is going after Republican Sen. Mike Braun, calling him a “RINO” for saying in the past that he supports Black Lives Matter — a message that other groups and candidates have been attacking him with for weeks. … Republican Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch is running an ad about her response to health care cuts for disabled children. … Republican Brad Chambers is leaning into the “outsider” message in the final weeks of the campaign. IN–03 — America Leads Action, a super PAC that has played in House races nationally this cycle, continues to hit former Republican Rep. Marlin Stutzman — who’s running in a crowded field for this soon-to-be-open seat — for supporting tax increases. … Winning for Women Action Fund, which is supporting Republican Wendy Davis, also attacks Stutzman on immigration, framing him as a foil to Trump’s immigration plans. IN-05 — Republican state Rep. Chuck Goodrich is targeting incumbent Republican Rep. Victoria Spartz with an ad referencing a 2022 POLITICO report that she is a bad boss. IN-08 — America Leads Action is also going after former Republican Rep. John Hostettler for voting against term limits and siding with Democrats against a balanced budget amendment. The group has another spot hitting him on the U.S.-Mexico border, too. WV-01 — Republican Rep. Carol Miller — who is facing a primary challenge from Derrick Evans, a former state delegate who served prison time for his participation in the Capitol riot — is running her first spot touting past support from Trump. Evans has been accusing Miller of not supporting the former president.
| | | — Andrew Iverson is executive director of the Republican Party of Wisconsin. He was most recently regional political director of the RNC and is a Sen. Ron Johnson and Rep. Bryan Steil alum. — Bill Helmich is interim executive director of the Republican Party of Florida. Helmich is a longtime lobbyist and political consultant. CODA: QUOTE OF THE DAY — “When it comes to these issues, people see it more as reality TV at this point.” — Republican New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu on Trump’s criminal trial.
| | | | A message from Televisa Univision: With Latinos representing the second largest and fastest-growing population in the country, totaling over 36 million eligible voters, it's essential to cut through the noise and connect meaningfully. TelevisaUnivision stands as the paramount force in Spanish-language media, offering an extensive multiplatform presence encompassing news, sports, cultural events, TV, radio, and streaming services and ensuring engagement with Latino audiences across diverse interests. As the 2024 elections approach, winning over Latino voters is paramount, and TelevisaUnivision is the key. Utilize our unmatched reach to ensure your message resonates effectively with the influential Hispanic electorate, securing the crucial support necessary for success. In the race for victory, TelevisaUnivision's expansive reach and deep connection with the Latino community are indispensable. To maximize your outreach and engagement strategies, please email us at POLITICAL@UNIVISION.NET. | | | | | | | Follow us on Twitter | | | | Follow us | | | | |
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