Wednesday, April 17, 2024

The bumpy path ahead for AI

Presented by the American Lung Association: Inside the Golden State political arena
Apr 17, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Lara Korte, Jeremy B. White and Dustin Gardiner

Presented by the American Lung Association

State Sen. Scott Wiener, D-San Francisco, chairman of the Senate Budget and Fiscal Review Committee, watches as the Senate votes on measure to reduce the state budget deficit at the Capitol in Sacramento, Calif., Thursday,, April 11, 2024. Both houses approved the bill that takes a number of steps to reduce the state budget deficit by about $17 billion. Gov. Gavin Newsom has said the deficit is about $38 billion.(AP Photo/Rich Pedroncelli)

State Sen. Scott Wiener has proposed legislation to create rules for large-scale AI models. | AP

THE BUZZ: TECH PUSHES BACK — A slew of high-profile artificial intelligence bills heard in committees Tuesday revealed some of the simmering tensions between Silicon Valley and a Legislature eager to step into the regulatory void surrounding the rapidly evolving technology.

The tech industry has fought some of the year’s most high-profile proposals, such as state Sen. Scott Wiener’s rules for large-scale AI models, by calling them too broad or vague. Lawmakers, in response, are trying to tailor their bills without making them too narrow.

So far, most of the bills have sailed through friendly committees in their houses of origin. But the real test will be in the coming months as industry groups ramp up efforts to dilute or stop the nation-leading legislation by seeding doubt about the proposals' effectiveness and feasibility.

Here are the major AI pressure points we’re tracking as the debates continue and the major disagreements come into focus:

Watermarking — Several bills aim to get at one of the most prevalent and visible products of the AI boom, deepfakes, by requiring tech companies to label machine-generated materials. During an Assembly Privacy hearing on one such proposal from Buffy Wicks, opposition groups poked holes in the idea, arguing AI itself far outpaces the technology needed to track it and that labels could easily be circumvented by image cropping or screenshotting.

That argument seemed to resonate with some lawmakers, like Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin, who asked, “how do we get Americans to trust watermarks if it’s so easy to overcome a watermark?”

We expect these points to resurface over the course of the next several months, as lawmakers weigh similar provisions in other legislation, including state Sen. Josh Becker’s AI Transparency Act, which also faced feasibility questions on Tuesday.

Definitions — The way policymakers define AI, down to the word, will directly shape how the fast-evolving technology is regulated. As Paneragate demonstrated, a statute's wording — which can determine what businesses new laws sweep in — matters a great deal. An Assemblymember Rebecca Bauer-Kahan bill that passed with no debate conformed the Assembly’s definition to the one in Wiener’s legislation that would require large-scale AI models to undergo safety testing, among other measures, before they are deployed.

Algorithmic bias — Generative AI has captured enormous attention. But Bauer-Kahan argued automated decision tools are already far more prevalent — which is why her sweeping bill to root out bias in algorithms that make decisions on weighty matters like health care, housing, and employment, is one of the most consequential bills in Sacramento and, thus, the country.

Her legislation's importance was reflected by the magnitude of the coalition against it. The Chamber of Commerce voiced strong opposition, joined by not just the tech industry but insurers, bankers and life sciences. The two sides remain far apart on a bill that Bauer-Kahan calls vital and opponents say is unworkable. We’ll see if they can close that gap by September.

GOOD MORNING. Happy Wednesday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

Now you can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts now. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte.

WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced.

A message from the American Lung Association:

Billions of state investment dollars for climate and clean air programs are being deferred. Doctors and Californians agree: cuts to the climate budget have health consequences. California’s vulnerable communities are counting on legislators to protect clean air programs that save lives and money! We’re asking them to protect public health by investing in clean cars and healthy homes, not fossil fuel subsidies and polluting highway expansions. Learn more from the American Lung Association in California.

 
CAMPAIGN YEAR

FILE - Former San Diego Padres player Steve Garvey waves before a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals on June 29, 2019, in San Diego. The candidacy for the U.S. Senate of former California baseball star Garvey has brought a splash of celebrity to the race that has alarmed his Democratic rivals and tugged at the state's political gravity. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull, File)

Republican Senate candidate Steve Garvey and his businesses were named in more than 40 tax liens over the last four decades. | AP

OWING UNCLE SAM — Republican Senate candidate Steve Garvey struggled to pay his taxes for years following his Major League Baseball career, when he worked as a pitchman for alternative health remedies. As POLITICO’s Christopher Cadelago reports today, Garvey and his businesses were named in more than 40 tax liens, totaling about $3.85 million over the last four decades.

Garvey is still working to pay off a portion of the debt, a campaign spokesperson said. Over the years, Garvey has tried to make money in the media, by hawking autographed balls and bats to fans and working as a motivational speaker. He even sold personalized salutations on Cameo, for $149 a pop, earlier this year.

LOCKING IT UP — Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas has endorsed Catherine Stefani in the contested race for an open Assembly seat in District 19, representing San Francisco's westside. Stefani, a city supervisor, is widely seen as the district’s presumptive lawmaker given she received a solid majority of the vote in the March 5 primary and has raked in endorsements.

But her challenger, educator David Lee, is trying to combat the narrative that Stefani is inevitable. He previously met with Rivas in Chinatown, and has the endorsement of outgoing Assemblymember Phil Ting. Lee argues it would be a blow to the city’s large Asian-American community to no longer have any API lawmakers representing San Francisco in the statehouse.

 

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ON THE AGENDA

IN THE ASSEMBLY — Assemblymember Matt Haney is presenting his “right to disconnect” bill in the Labor and Employment Committee.

IN THE SENATE — State Sen. Dave Cortese's bill to give more control over autonomous vehicles to local governments will be heard in the Senate Transportation Committee.

 

A message from the American Lung Association:

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CLIMATE AND ENERGY

An irrigation canal runs past farmland in Lemoore, California.

Farmers in the southern San Joaquin Valley have long sucked up groundwater for tomatoes, cotton and other crops. | Noah Berger/AP

BENEATH THE SURFACE — Two wet winters haven't stopped wells from going dry and the ground from sinking in the southern San Joaquin Valley, where farmers have long sucked up groundwater for tomatoes, cotton and more crops. California’s water cop is now taking management over from local officials to place fees on large landowners. Read more about why this is a big moment in the California Climate newsletter.

 

GROWING IN THE GOLDEN STATE: POLITICO California is growing, reinforcing our role as the indispensable insider source for reporting on politics, policy and power. From the corridors of power in Sacramento and Los Angeles to the players and innovation hubs in Silicon Valley, we're your go-to for navigating the political landscape across the state. Exclusive scoops, essential daily newsletters, unmatched policy reporting and insights — POLITICO California is your key to unlocking Golden State politics. LEARN MORE.

 
 
TOP TALKERS

— Gov. Gavin Newsom drastically understated the impacts of raising the minimum wage for fast-food workers. The way the law is unfolding, three percent of the U.S. workforce could be getting a raise. (The San Diego Union-Tribune)

— A Long Beach Democrat is butting heads with the ACLU over a law that would allow school administrators to suspend or expel students for cyberbullying. (CalMatters)

AROUND THE STATE

ORANGE COUNTY: Orange County is home to world-class universities and a barrage of top AI companies’ offices. But its lack of pro-innovation policies keep the Bay Area California’s AI hotspot, a think tank attorney writes. (The Orange County Register).

SOUTHERN BORDER: The Biden administration allocated $45 million to help migrants in San Diego and Riverside Counties — an amount that dwarfs last year’s allotment by $10 million. (Los Angeles Times)

STATEWIDE: Californians say they need nearly $1.5 million to retire comfortably. Those in Gen Z need even more. (San Francisco Chronicle).

SILICON VALLEY: Google could face federal investigation after a journalism trade organization called for the FTC and DOJ to investigate its threat to limit links to California news outlets in its search results. (Los Angeles Times)

— with help from Ariel Gans

A message from the American Lung Association:

Investments in clean air save lives and make living in California more affordable.

Budget cuts threaten to completely zero out promised investments that directly support households and businesses struggling with high fuel prices, pollution, and a lack of affordable mobility options.

The Equitable Building Decarbonization Program is a vital part of California’s clean air safety net an important tool designed to provide relief to households impacted by indoor air pollution and energy bills.

Before the state even considers cuts to equitable clean air programs, we must expand the Governor’s proposed cuts to subsidies for big polluters and cut out infrastructure investments - like highway expansions – that increase pollution.

Join the American Lung Association in California in calling on Governor Gavin Newsom and the Legislature to deliver cleaner air and affordable clean energy solutions by protecting our climate budget!

 
PLAYBOOKERS

BIRTHDAYS — San Francisco Assemblymember Matt Haney Dean Lieberman Jackie Whisman of the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation … Jon Simons

Belated wishes — (was Tuesday): Adam GotbaumMatt Saunders

(was Monday): Joe Pasternack ... Daniel Sokatch

SHARE YOUR B-DAY — Want us to feature a birthday or another special occasion in POLITICO's California Playbook? You can now submit a shout-out using this Google form. Disclaimers: All information will be verified. We reserve the right to edit any final content.

CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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Dustin Gardiner @dustingardiner

Lara Korte @lara_korte

 

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