Monday, April 29, 2024

Drilling down on those Direct File numbers

Presented by The Coalition to Preserve American Jobs: Delivered every Monday by 10 a.m., Weekly Tax examines the latest news in tax politics and policy.
Apr 29, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Bernie Becker

Presented by The Coalition to Preserve American Jobs

Driving the day

STILL LITIGATING THAT DIRECT FILE: The IRS’s own tax filing portal just finished its first season on the job. Was it a success? Depends on who you ask.

IRS chief Danny Werfel briefed reporters on Direct File on Friday and said that any decision about whether the initiative would return for a second filing season would come later in the spring, following a more detailed report about this year’s pilot program that’s expected in the coming days.

But make no mistake: The IRS seems quite pleased with how Direct File worked this year, as Pro Tax’s Brian Faler underscored.

In all, some 141,000 taxpayers used the program to submit their taxes this year, and Werfel said Direct File handled the pressure that comes with the later part of filing season quite well.

Outside advocates for Direct File also believe the program gave a good showing this year. And yet: Questions remain about some areas where critics believe Direct File fell short, or failed to offer taxpayers the positive experience that supporters have been plugging.

MORE ON EVERYTHING IN A BIT, but first thanks for reading another installment of Weekly Tax — where we’re still waiting to hear whether Moonbeam said yes.

End of an era: Today marks an even two decades since General Motors produced the last ever Oldsmobile, a red Alero sedan that currently sits in the R.E. Olds Transportation Museum in Lansing, Mich.

Got a scoop as big as Buick? Tell us about it.

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A message from The Coalition to Preserve American Jobs:

Small business optimism has plummeted to its lowest point since 2012. High inflation, interest rates, and supply chain troubles continue as enormous challenges for small businesses. Tell Congress: don’t prematurely end key tax credits such as the Employee Retention Credit that help small businesses. Visit ERCSavesJobs.com/take-action/ to make your voice heard.

 

A MATH PROBLEM? There were some definite positives for Direct File this season, perhaps most notably that the initiative didn’t have any of the big technology failures that have plagued previous online government launches.

But it’s also true that it wasn’t very widely used — those 141,000 successfully submitted tax returns is out of 19 million eligible taxpayers in a dozen states, or about 0.7 percent as private-sector critics of the program like to point out.

And Werfel added another reason to potentially question the Direct File math on Friday: Those 141,000 returns also came out of some 3.3 million people who at least took a spin on the pilot program, meaning that 95 percent of those who checked out the program ended up filing through other means.

All of that has fed into criticism of Direct File from private tax preparation firms, some of whom also believe that the IRS is underselling how much this year’s pilot program has cost.

TurboTax “files millions of completely free tax returns each year and has delivered 124 million free tax returns over the last 10 years,” said Rick Heineman, a spokesperson for its parent company, Intuit.

For their part, Direct File backers say there’s a perfectly logical reason why lots of people took a look at the pilot program, but didn’t end up using it to press submit — very good public relations.

Werfel himself said Friday that many of the people who went to Direct File but didn’t use it to submit a return weren’t actually eligible. And as you might recall, the IRS chief was just one of the officials who spent lots of time these past weeks promoting the pilot program — Wally Adeyemo, the deputy Treasury secretary, also headline a fair share of events, and Democratic lawmakers pitched in, too.

So for advocates, the fact that lots of people who couldn’t actually use Direct File still gave it a look is a sign of successful advertising.

WHAT ABOUT THE TAX CONSEQUENCES? Ten House GOP tax writers reached out to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Friday, worried that a decision on digital tax rules by the U.S. trade representative could have a range of negative tax implications.

The backstory: Katherine Tai, the U.S. trade representative, pulled America’s support for digital trade proposals at the World Trade Organization, an idea supported by progressive groups and lawmakers but opposed by Silicon Valley (and a bipartisan group of lawmakers as well).

Now, those 10 Republicans on the House Ways and Means Committee also believe there will be some downstream tax effects of Tai’s decision, in that letter first reported by Bloomberg Tax.

In essence, the GOP tax writers argue that the USTR decision could force companies to move some of their digital operations outside of the U.S. — something they noted was contrary to President Joe Biden’s own budget proposals, which called out any “undesirable incentives to locate certain economic activity abroad.”

American companies putting facilities and even intellectual property abroad because of this USTR move also undercuts the rationale for the first pillar of the global tax deal negotiated through the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the Ways and Means Republicans wrote.

Pillar One seeks to reallocate the taxing rights over the profits of big multinational companies, to in effect give countries more of a chance to collect from corporations that didn’t previously have a taxable presence within their borders.

(The OECD and Pillar One supporters have had little recent luck generating support for that plan, but that’s a story for another day.)

Finally, the GOP tax writers argue that Tai’s decision will simply take investment abroad that would otherwise stay in the U.S.

“In short, the reversal on digital trade policy by USTR reflects an acquiescence with U.S. tax base erosion through increased foreign tax payments in lieu of tax payments to the U.S. Treasury,” the GOP lawmakers wrote in the letter organized by Rep. Randy Feenstra (R-Iowa).

 

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Around the World

Bloomberg: “India Inheritance Tax Dominates Election Debate as Polls Heat Up.”

National Post (Canada): “Increase in capital gains tax rate could spawn cottage sales boom.”

Financial Times: “Western banks in Russia paid €800mn in taxes to Kremlin last year.”

 

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Around the Nation

Tennessee Lookout: “Tennessee lawmakers agree to a second billion-dollar tax break for businesses in as many years.”

Kansas Reflector: “Kansas House overrides governor’s veto of tax cut bills despite gloomy five-year forecast.”

Honolulu Civil Beat: “Hawaii Lawmakers Move To Cut Income Tax But HECO Bill Is In Limbo.”

 

DON’T MISS POLITICO’S ENERGY SUMMIT: The future of energy faces a crossroads in 2024 as policymakers and industry leaders shape new rules, investments and technologies. Join POLITICO’s Energy Summit on June 5 as we convene top voices to examine the shifting global policy environment in a year of major elections in the U.S. and around the world. POLITICO will examine how governments are writing and rewriting new rules for the energy future and America’s own role as a major exporter. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
Also Worth Your Time

Bloomberg: “Trump’s Economic Confidants Battle for Sway on Tax, Fed Policy.”

The Hill: “Biden vs. GOP: Tax fight heats up ahead of election.”

Tax Notes: “Did TCJA Pay for Itself? How 2025 Is Reviving the Debate.”

Did you know?

Oldsmobile was the oldest surviving car brand in the U.S. in 2004, when it was shut down by General Motors.

 

A message from The Coalition to Preserve American Jobs:

Congress reauthorized the Employee Retention Credit (ERC) at the height of COVID-19 to support small businesses and keep our economy afloat. This refundable tax credit incentivizes employers to keep Americans on the payroll during times of crisis. The credit has been successfully deployed before, including after hurricanes and now the pandemic. According to a nationwide survey from March 2024, 93% of small business owners who received the ERC agree that the credit was critical to keeping their doors open and retaining employees on the payroll. The Coalition to Preserve American Jobs (CPAJ) is working to ensure small businesses continue to have access to this essential benefit. Visit ERCSavesJobs.com/take-action/ to join CPAJ and tell your member of Congress where you stand.

 
 

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Bernie Becker @berniebecker3

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