Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Your supersized Super Tuesday guide

Lisa Kashinsky and Kelly Garrity's must-read rundown of what's up on Beacon Hill and beyond.
Mar 05, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Lisa Kashinsky and Kelly Garrity

MASS-A-CHOOSE-ITS — Welcome to a not-so-Super Tuesday in the Bay State, where the hottest ballot battles are for party committees. Here are six contests we’re keeping an eye on:

HALEY’S LAST HOPE — Nikki Haley’s delegate math isn’t mathing. Massachusetts holds some potentially good news for her: More than 15,000 Democrats have switched their voter registration to either unenrolled or Republican since Jan. 1. The percentage of voters who are unenrolled — meaning they can vote in either party’s primary — now stands at nearly 64 percent.

Secretary of State Bill Galvin predicts turnout in the GOP primary — which stood at 168,779 on Monday afternoon — will exceed 400,000 today. But he doesn’t expect it’ll reach the record 637,000-plus votes cast in the 2016 GOP primary that Donald Trump won.

That could spell trouble for Haley, who needs to expand the electorate if she has any chance of winning here and across the map — especially now that the Supreme Court has ruled states can't bar Trump from primary ballots.

A PREFERENCE FOR NO PREFERENCE — An 11th-hour effort to convince Democratic primary voters to select “no preference” on their ballots to rebuke Joe Biden’s support for Israel and to press for a permanent cease-fire in Gaza is unlikely to keep the president from cruising to victory here.

Still, organizers sent 21,000 texts to voters in the last three days and are planning to send “tens of thousands more” before polls close today. They don’t have a benchmark for success. But, as organizer Lara Jirmanus told reporters on Monday, Biden needs “to come into line with what the base is demanding” and “if there is any state it should be safe to send a message in the primary, it is Massachusetts.”

THE GOP INFIGHTING CONTINUES — Control of the state GOP could again change hands based on the results of today’s Republican State Committee races, where a slate of conservative candidates backed by former state Rep. Geoff Diehl and past party Chair Jim Lyons is attempting to win enough seats to overthrow what they see as the party’s “dysfunctional” current leadership.

High turnover and personal grudges have led to a series of downright ugly races in which one candidate’s anti-Semitic views attracted the attention of Rolling Stone and at least two others have seen criminal charges they've faced smeared across social media. At least one possible campaign finance violation was reported to state regulators, according to a person familiar with the complaint.

And in promoting competing slates, two key players in conservative circles — Diehl and radio host and Boston Herald columnist Howie Carr — have turned the contests that could decide Amy Carnevale’s future as party chair into a proxy battle in their personal war. Carnevale faces her own challenger today, though she can technically continue serving as party chair even if she loses her committee seat.

DEMS' DOWN-BALLOT DRAMA — Democratic State Committee seats are also up for grabs today. But one of the party’s most competitive races is even further down the ballot — for the Framingham Democratic Committee.

Fissures among Democratic activists — inflamed by last year’s abortion imbroglio — have led to competing slates of candidates in a contest that’s pitting two of the city’s state representatives and several of its councilors against each other.

Leaders of the slate known as “Group 2” — which includes state Rep. Priscila Sousa, City Councilor George King and School Committee Chair Jessica Barnhill — want to bring new leadership to a committee they say has been too insular and inaccessible to newcomers.

But members of “Group 1” — which includes the committee’s current co-chairs and other incumbents like state Rep. Jack Lewis and former Mayor Yvonne Spicer — maintain that the rift is more about past politics than fresh faces.

HOUSE SPECIAL — Here’s something Republicans can all get behind: The party is on track to win its second straight special legislative election, with Dudley Selectman John Marsi running unopposed for the 6th Worcester seat left open by now-state Sen. Peter Durant.

CALIFORNIA DREAMIN' — Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Rep. Ayanna Pressley are also facing off today — in California, where they’re backing different candidates in that state’s U.S. Senate primary. Warren is supporting one of her protégés, Rep. Katie Porter, while Pressley is pulling for Rep. Barbara Lee.

GOOD SUPER TUESDAY MORNING, MASSACHUSETTS. Polls close at 8 p.m. Here’s your list of candidates. And we’ll have results from the presidential primaries here.

TODAY — Gov. Maura Healey makes a veterans’ housing announcement with Rep. Stephen Lynch, Boston Mayor Michelle Wu, state Sen. Lydia Edwards and other local officials at 1:30 p.m. at the New England Center and Home for Veterans. Wu speaks at the William E. Carter School topping-off ceremony at 11:30 a.m. in the South End and attends the Boston Bruins Heritage Hall ribbon cutting at 2:30 p.m. in the West End.

Galvin votes in Brighton at 9:30 a.m. Trump backers will hold a watch party at the Inn at Bay Pointe in Quincy tonight. The state Democratic Party is throwing its shindig at Boston's Bell in Hand Tavern.

Send us the results in your state and local committee races: lkashinsky@politico.com and kgarrity@politico.com.

 

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FROM THE HUB

NEW: COURTING CLERK ROLES — Boston City Councilor Erin Murphy is running for the Suffolk County Supreme Judicial Court clerk seat that Maura Doyle is vacating, she confirmed first to Playbook Monday night.

“I feel that my decades as an educator and my time that I've spent [and] will continue to spend this year as a legislator on the Boston City Council has prepared me to take on what will be an important role,” Murphy, who does not have any legal experience, said.

The Dorchester native and former Boston Public Schools teacher recently won a second two-year term as an at-large councilor — a seat she could keep while she runs for the county role that pays about $180,000 a year. If she wins, the city’s charter says that when an at-large seat opens up, it must be offered to the next-highest vote-getter in the last election. In this case, that’s Bridget Nee-Walsh.

But Murphy is likely to face some stiff competition. Allison Cartwright, a managing director for the Committee for Public Counsel Services, said in a post on X last month that she was “exploring the opportunity to run” for the seat. She has now pulled papers for it, according to a person with direct knowledge of her plans.

Cartwright is a public defender with more than 30 years of experience, and an advocate for indigenous people. She previously served as assistant corporation counsel for Boston and was a member of the Police Reform Task Force stood up by then-Mayor Marty Walsh.

YAHD SIGNS AND BUMPAH STICKAHS

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — John Deaton is already attracting the attention of the National Republican Senatorial Committee in his bid against Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren. NRSC Chair Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) is headlining a breakfast roundtable with Deaton at 8 a.m. in Boston, according to an invitation obtained by Playbook. There’s no cost to attend, but any donations will be split between Deaton’s campaign, the MassGOP and the NRSC. Unlike state parties, the NRSC is not required to stay neutral in primaries.

BY THE NUMBERS — Democrats now make up just 27 percent of registered voters in Massachusetts, Secretary of State Bill Galvin said on Monday. Republicans are down to just 8 percent. And the share of unenrolled voters is nearing 64 percent.

“That’s really amazing to me,” Galvin told reporters. “There was a time not that many years ago where 38 percent to 40 percent was more steady on the Democratic side.”

Secretary of State Bill Galvin

Secretary of State Bill Galvin previews Super Tuesday. | Lisa Kashinsky/POLITICO

BALLOT BATTLES

SCOTUS SAYS — States can’t kick Donald Trump off the ballot, the Supreme Court said Monday in a ruling that effectively ends the Shannon Liss-Riordan and Free Speech For People-led effort to disqualify the former president from the Massachusetts ballot under the 14th Amendment.

The justices didn’t actually touch the question of whether Trump engaged in an insurrection. But they said unanimously that it’s Congress, not states, which holds the power to disqualify someone under the Constitution’s so-called insurrection clause.

“We are disappointed that the Court would not grapple with the serious constitutional issues raised by Donald Trump's candidacy,” Liss-Riordan said in a statement to Playbook. “We are a nation of laws, and it is very disappointing when courts allow our laws to be ignored.”

Marc Salinas, who represented Trump in Massachusetts, cast efforts to strip him from state ballots as "purely politically motivated" in a statement. "When you take politics out of the analysis this was the only correct result," he said.

Democrats don't see it that way. Sen. Elizabeth Warren slammed “an extremist Supreme Court that is determined to protect Donald Trump,” while speaking to reporters at an unrelated event in Worcester.

“We all know that someone with 91 felony charges *shouldn't* become President,” Rep. Seth Moulton posted on X. “But the best way to reject Trump is to VOTE — and vote decisively so there's never any doubt.”

WHAT CITY HALL IS READING

“Wu announces agreement reached with Boston police detectives union,” by Danny McDonald, The Boston Globe: “Boston Mayor Michelle Wu announced Monday that a Boston police detectives union has ratified a new five-year collective bargaining agreement with her administration, in a deal that mirrors a previous pact reached with another police labor group that included significant reforms to discipline.”

DAY IN COURT

“Pentagon leaker Jack Teixeira pleads guilty under a deal that calls for at least 11 years in prison,” by Alanna Durkin Richer, The Associated Press: “Massachusetts Air National Guard member Jack Teixeira pleaded guilty on Monday to leaking highly classified military documents about the war in Ukraine and other national security secrets under a deal with prosecutors that calls for him to serve at least 11 years in prison."

 

On the ground in Albany. Get critical policy news and analysis inside New York State. Track how power brokers are driving change across legislation and budget and impacting lobbying efforts. Learn more.

 
 
FROM THE DELEGATION

STATE OF THE GUEST LIST — Fresh off the Alabama court ruling jeopardizing access to in vitro fertilization, Rep. Lori Trahan is bringing Dr. Pietro Bortoletto, the director of reproductive surgery at Boston IVF, as her guest to Thursday’s State of the Union address. Trahan underwent treatment at the fertility clinic to become pregnant with her two daughters.

“Mass. to receive $350 million to replace Cape Cod bridges through federal appropriations bill, officials say,” by Nick Stoico, The Boston Globe.

IT'S NOT EASY BEING GREEN

KEEP CALM AND KERRY ON — John Kerry is stepping down as special climate envoy on Wednesday, capping off a four-decade run in public service. Kerry insisted to our colleague Sara Schonhardt that he’s not retiring, but is simply taking his efforts outside of government. Schonhardt at E&E and The Washington Post’s Maxine Joselow unpack what the former Massachusetts senator and past secretary of state’s exit from his current role means for the global climate fight.

“National Grid says Biden-backed transmission line ‘not viable’,” by Bruce Mohl, CommonWealth Beacon.

WHAT ELSE YOU SHOULD BE READING

“B.J. Novak ‘officially pardoned’ by MFA over 1997 high school prank,” by Henry Bova, The Boston Globe.

“The Patriot Ledger is the latest New England outlet without a physical newsroom,” by Aidan Ryan, The Boston Globe.

HEARD ‘ROUND THE BUBBLAH

SPOTTED — Boston City Council President Ruthzee Louijeune onstage with Nigerian singer-songwriter Burna Boy on Saturday at the TD Garden. She declared March 2 as a ceremonial “Burna Boy Day” in Boston.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY — to Kim Kargman, deputy political director SEIU Local 509.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY (AGAIN) — to Lowell City Manager Thomas Golden, Josh Arnold, Sharon Block, former Gov. Charlie Baker’s ’18 campaign manager Brian Wynne, Chris Joyce, Chris Lane, Justin Backal Balik, Adam Boyajy, Tavo True-Alcalá and Tamsin True-Alcalá. Sorry, we got a day ahead of ourselves!

HAPPY BELATED — to Jonathan Kraft, Rene Fielding, Henry Barrett, Deborah Ziskind and Bera Dunau, who celebrated Monday.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO Massachusetts has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Bay State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness among this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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Kelly Garrity @KellyGarrity3

 

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