Friday, June 9, 2023

Singapore’s envoy has some final words for Washington

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Jun 09, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO Global Insider

By Nahal Toosi

Welcome back to Global Insider’s Friday feature: The Conversation. Each week a POLITICO journalist shares an interview with a global thinker, politician, power player or personality. This week, Nahal Toosi speaks with a veteran Singaporean diplomat who just left Washington after closely watching its tumult for more than a decade. 

Follow Nahal on Twitter | Send ideas and insights to ntoosi@politico.com

The Conversation

He may hail from a tiny country, but over nearly 11 years, Singapore’s Ashok Mirpuri built an outsized reputation as one of Washington’s most thoughtful ambassadors.

His advice was sought by Asia watchers of all stripes, often behind the scenes. All the while, he had to explain the shifts he witnessed firsthand in U.S. politics to a confounded audience back home. And then there was the historic summit his country hosted between U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un — bringing Singapore to the world’s attention as a pragmatic hub for some tricky diplomacy.

The city-state of 6 million is best known as a financial and trade crossroads with unusually strict laws and customs. It has a parliamentary political system, but it’s been dominated for decades by the People’s Action Party of the powerful Lee family, giving opposition groups little room to maneuver.

Mirpuri wrapped up his tenure earlier this month; he is leaving public service. Before his departure, he shared some thoughts on his time in America and the future of U.S.-Asia relations. The following has been edited and condensed for space and clarity:

You’re leaving and you don’t have anything to lose. Can you promise me you’ll be honest and blunt in your answers to my questions today?

No. (laughs) There’s never nothing to lose. Relationships are built over a long time. Confidences are kept in anticipation of them remaining confidences. But I can be a little bit more frank than I would normally be.

You came to the U.S. as ambassador nearly 11 years ago. How has America changed in those years?

Obviously, we’ve gone through three administrations, and quite a remarkable change in Congress, which has brought a different voice into the Washington conversations.

The conversations on trade in 2012 were very different from the conversations on trade in 2023. Members of Congress were quite ready to consider things like the Trans-Pacific Partnership in 2012. Today, trade has become quite a polarizing issue between the parties and even within the parties. And that’s been one of the remarkable changes that I’ve seen. But these are also natural evolutions.

Ten years ago, 11 years ago, we were not talking about OpenAI. We were not talking about some of the new technologies. Now, they are right there, front and center.

 

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What do you find most puzzling about the United States?

What puzzles me most is a certain loss of domestic confidence. And you see that then translated in many of the ideas that emerge. Yet from the outside world, the United States is seen as the most powerful country in the world. We do not see a country that is in decline, but within the country, the conversation is always about a country in decline.

Yes, relative positions have shifted. New countries have emerged. But these countries that emerge have emerged because of the success of the U.S. model operating in them. Take Singapore and the United States. Two very different countries in terms of size. Singapore’s growth and success has been because there was a U.S. model available to us to consider — starting with using English as the first language, connecting with the business and economic community, opening up our markets to U.S. investments, the promise of rule of law, intellectual property, property protection. These are all U.S. templates that countries have followed.

The U.S. sometimes seems to feel less confident in those templates today. Yet they have been very successful for other countries.

You dealt with the Obama, Trump and Biden administrations. How would you describe the shifts between the three?

This is where I have to put on my diplomatic hat. There are deep, strong elements of continuity. President Trump had a different worldview. But there were still elements of continuity between the Obama and Biden administrations. Many of the same personalities remain in positions of prominence.

Trump wanted to question some of the more traditional approaches of U.S. foreign policy. The United States has been trying to deal with North Korea’s nuclear program for a very long time. They haven’t quite been successful.

President Trump said, “All this has not worked. Let me try something different.” He decided to meet Kim Jong Un in Singapore in June 2018. The subsequent summit did not give the kind of outcome that President Trump wanted. But I think that some credit must be given for the fact that he was he and the administration was sometimes prepared to try something different.

President [Joe] Biden making the decision to pull out of Afghanistan in 2021 — these are changes that sometimes leaders have to make. While there are strong elements of continuity, some of these different areas will change. And then you find a new balance.

What was the hardest diplomatic assignment you had to undertake while here?

The beauty of U.S.-Singapore relations is that we try and make it a relationship without too much drama. The difficult things really emerge in more of the regional conversations of: How do we have the U.S. more actively involved in Southeast Asia? The United States pulled out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. You keep making the case. The Biden administration has now launched the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework.

We want to keep pushing them in these new areas. Last year, the Biden administration brought the ASEAN leaders here for a summit. That took a lot of effort to convince them of the value of engaging with ASEAN, because the traditional U.S. model of dealing with the region has been based on very good bilateral relationships.

Wasn’t the Trump-Kim summit in Singapore kind of dramatic though? Did you have fun with that one?

The cameras of the world were on it, but in my own role? Having President Trump decide to do it in Singapore brought all that attention to Singapore. Then my colleagues in Singapore took over running the entire thing, because it was a massive undertaking. I cannot claim that I was there trying to do all these things.

I was there in Singapore, and I took the pleasure of seeing Singapore screened on worldwide TV, which I thought was a very good message about Singapore as a convener of these things. Others were more stressed about it than I was.

Your country did not get invited to President Biden’s Summit for Democracy because of the power structure in Singapore. Is democracy overrated?

Countries have to organize themselves based on their own political values and their political system. The invitation to the democracy summit was obviously a choice of the United States. It does not mean that we will adjust our political system and our political values to meet certain expectations of other countries. We will do it in a way that our society is ready to move at.

Are the U.S. and China destined for a war?

I hope not. A military conflict between the U.S. and China will be so devastating, obviously for both the countries but even more for the entire region.

It will change the dynamic in the region, which has been a very successful region focused on economic growth and trade over the past 50 years, much of it overseen by U.S. leadership.

 

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What advice would you give to President Biden for a second term? And what advice would you give to potential Republican president, including possibly President Trump again?

My advice to the United States is to continue engaging with the world. In the 11 years here, I managed to make it out to 49 states. I’ve taken the opportunity to introduce Singapore, to introduce the region, to audiences and tell them how important it is for them, and their elected representatives, all the way up to the president, to be engaged outside the United States. The nuts and bolts of that engagement has to come around trade and investment. That is where the U.S. is still the most attractive market for people around the world.

Which state did you not make it to?

Wyoming. Covid hit. I ran out of time. It just became too difficult to get out over there. Everyone tells me it’s a beautiful state. So I’ve left something to do when I come back to the United States on holiday.

Thanks to editor Heidi Vogt and producer Andrew Howard.

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