👉Have the Bond Vigilantes Returned?

Good morning. Bond investors used to be a risk-averse crowd. They preferred the certainty of...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Bond investors used to be a risk-averse crowd. They preferred the certainty of return compared to potentially earning a high return. But they did want their money back – after inflation. That used to keep governments in line, without letting spending get too far out of hand. That changed with the Great Financial Crisis. In a panic, central banks slashed interest rates to zero percent. And bond investors became far more passive – in part because central banks became one of the largest buyers of government bonds. That narrative is shifting, as high inflation is making investors cautious – but also interested in earning a decent return. Investors today may want to look at bonds as an alternative to cash, given the high yields there, and especially while short-term bonds have a higher yield than long-term bonds. Traders who get in ahead of the next rate cut cycle can also profit from a rally in bond prices. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content The no work, no BS path to titan strong wealth What if there was an easy way to build titan strong wealth with close to zero work, and no B.S. "get-rich-quick" scheme? What do I mean by "titan strong wealth?" Simple… Wealth that lasts through the bearest of bear markets and churns out income every month like a well-oiled machine. No schemes, and absolutely no tricks or B.S. promises. Just set-and-forget income you can rely on for the rest of your life. And inside this FREE report, I reveal the perfect dividend stock that's taken me over 31 years of research and testing to pinpoint. Learn more HERE. MARKETS DOW 33,003.57 +1.05% S&P 3,981.35 +0.76% NASDAQ 11,462.98 +0.73% *As of market close • Markets moved higher on Thursday, reversing morning losses. • Oil rose 0.4 percent, last going for $77.97 per barrel. • Gold dipped 0.1 percent, ending at $1,843 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies traded mixed, with bitcoin at $23,483 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS Seek Out Growth and Profitability In Uncertain Times Investors have had a challenging year, and face the prospect of continued challenges as inflation stays higher than expected. Growth stocks tend to fare poorly in a slow economy gripped with high inflation. Yet today's problems will get fixed in time. Those who find opportunities can find plenty right now. Many companies still have big growth potential in the years ahead. And returns will be better for companies that can improve their profit margins in today's uncertain times. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Herbalife Nutrition (HLF) Donal Mulligan, a director at Herbalife Nutrition (HLF), recently bought 15,000 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 64 percent, and came to a total cost just under $290,000. The buy came a day after a different director bought 8,500 shares, paying just under $166,000. Overall, company insiders and directors have been regular and steady buyers of Herbalife stock, with only two small sales over the past two years, amid nearly two dozen insider buys. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: American Airlines Group (AAL) American Airlines Group (AAL) stock has been trading in a range over the past year. One trader sees shares breaking out and moving higher in the months ahead. That's based on the September $21 calls. With 196 days until expiration, 32,532 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 490, for a 66-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $0.54. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Ocean Shipping Faces Slump Nearly one-third of shipping capacity in the Pacific has been cancelled amid declining demand. Ships idling are on the rise and cargo containers are going empty, as supply chain issues have abated and more production has moved stateside. • Fuel Surcharges Drop As oil and gasoline prices have settled near one-year lows, companies that came out with fuel surcharges last year are starting to drop those extra payments. That includes rideshare companies Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT), as well as charges Amazon (AMZN) added to third-party merchants. • Rising Car Payments May Weigh on Economy Rising interest rates are leading to higher financing costs, including those who need automobiles. Some are paying as much as $1,000 per month, and that high cost could result in lower spending elsewhere. In turn, that could slow down the economy further in the months ahead. • Broadband Bills Could Rise as Federal Subsidy Ends Low-income households could see a jump in their cable bill, as a subsidy for broadband internet may end next year. The Emergency Broadband Benefit came out during the pandemic as a way for households to pay for their internet connection while working from home. • Target to Allow Returns from Your Car Retailer Target (TGT) is expanding its curbside operations to returns. That's on top of the retailer's growth thanks to curbside pickup for goods and groceries which increased over the years. The curbside returns will apply to new and unopened items. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP CRM  11.497% M  11.111% DXCM 9.462% TTWO 6.053% BIO 5.766% BOTTOM TSLA 5.854% PFG 5.536% HRL 4.518% ZION 4.223% UHS 3.46% Quote of the Day We are currently in the chop period between central banks winding down interest rate increase cycles and seeing what impact those increases will have on the real economy. Performance for the first two months of the year was primarily influenced by marginal changes in expectations for the appropriate path of monetary policy in 2023. We anticipate a better environment for bonds but expect ongoing, two-sided volatility for global equities and U.S. equities as market gauges consumer health and corporate activity. - William Northey, senior investment director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, on why bonds may be a better investment in the coming months, even as interest rates continue to rise. 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