Friday, October 7, 2022

🎤The World’s Central Banker Has Spoken -- And It’s Not the Fed

Good morning. Governments can print money, but they can't print food. Or energy. That's the take...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Governments can print money, but they can't print food. Or energy. That's the takeaway from the latest moves by OPEC+ to keep energy prices high. The cartel is cutting production by 2 million barrels per day.

While oil prices have been trending down with a slowdown in the economy over the past few months, OPEC has shown that they're the true world central bank. By controlling the supply of energy on the market, they can do just as much as the rest of the world in hiking interest rates.

That bodes poorly for most stocks outside the energy space. As long as there's a push to keep interest rates rising and energy prices rising at the same time, most sectors will see a slowdown in demand. Traders need to continue to remain cautious, even with the market's rally this week. There could be further – and quick – drops ahead for stocks.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 29,926.94 -1.15%
S&P 3,744.52 -1.02%
NASDAQ 11,073.31 -0.68%
*As of market close
Markets closed lower on Thursday, ahead of today's jobs report.
Oil rose 1.4 percent, closing at $89.01 per barrel.
Gold traded flat, last going for about $1,722 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded lower, with Bitcoin at $20,026 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Invest In Expanding Companies During Bear Markets
Many great companies are built during bear markets. The 1930s saw the rise of Disney (DIS). The 1970s saw the rise of tech companies like Microsoft (MSFT). And the Great Recession started the rise of firms like Airbnb (ABNB) and Uber (UBER).

Existing companies can find new opportunities too. Companies looking to expand while the economy look dire are looking beyond the current short-term fear to long-term opportunities. Investors should do the same.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: MillerKnoll (MLKN)
Andrea Owen, President and CEO at MillerKnoll (MLKN), recently picked up 60,606 shares. The buy increased her stake by 152 percent, and came to a total cost of just over $1.02 million.

This marks the first insider buy at the company since mid-2020, when a director picked up 50,000 shares in total. Otherwise, company insiders have been modest sellers of shares in the past three years.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Capital One Financial (COF)
Shares of credit service provider Capital One Financial (COF) are down about 40 percent in the past year. One trader sees further downside in the coming weeks.

That's based on the October 28 $90 puts. With 21 days until expiration, 20,715 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 395, for a 52-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $1.70 to bet on a further drop in shares.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Jobless Claims Rise Higher Than Expected

Americans filing for first-time unemployment claims rose to 219,000 last week. That's the highest level since late August, and came in above expectations for 203,000. It's also higher than the four-week average of 206,500. This could be a sign that the red-hot job market is starting to finally slow, although more data will be needed.
Hamptons Home Lists for Record $150 Million

An oceanfront mansion in Southampton has been listed for $150 million. If sold at the current price, it would be the highest ever. The property has more than four acres on two lots, with two homes, two pools, and a tennis court. The property has been on and off the market since 2016.
Peloton Announces Further Layoffs

Peloton (PTON) has announced its fourth round of layoffs this year. This round will eliminate 500 jobs. The move comes as the company looks to streamline operations and move away from the $100 million in losses last year. The layoffs will account for about 12 percent of staff, and leave the company with nearly 4,000 employees.
Twitter To Leave Fact-Checks Open for User to Review

Twitter (TWTR) is expanding its crowdsourced fact-checking program Birdwatch. The latest update will allow fact-checkers to leave notes on tweets that are visible to all users in the US. The update will not allow users to participate in Birdwatch directly, but will allow users to see how facts are clarified on the platform.
Crypto Exchanges Cut Fees

Amid the latest cryptocurrency bear market, exchanges are looking into cutting feeds to attract more market share from rivals. Big exchanges such as Coinbase (COIN) are going in, as well as exchanges that aren't publicly traded. The move is similar to declining fees on traditional investment brokerages in the past few decades.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
OXY  4.193%
APA  3.727%
TTWO 3.453%
NOV 3.308%
CF 3.237%
BOTTOM
SEDG 5.573%
CCL 5.384%
CCI 5.193%
GNRC 5.037%
RSG  4.824%

Quote of the Day
Q3 earnings reporting is not too far away and it's definitely in the market psychology that the Q2 earnings season helped to stabilize the markets. There was a lot of pessimism in the market that it was able to rally pretty strongly from for a couple of months. Right now there's also this hope that the earnings season can stabilize the market and maybe come to the rescue again, the way that it did last quarter.
- Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment strategist for BMO Wealth Management, on how earnings season could lead to a more sustained move higher in the markets if the overall numbers come in better than expected.

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