Friday, October 7, 2022

Are down rounds really company killers?

Charting private debt fundraising trends; turbulence buffets AI, machine learning; Apollo, Sixth Street end talks on Musk's Twitter deal
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October 7, 2022
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Today's Top Stories  
What do down rounds really mean for companies?
The swift decline of the public markets has left many private startups with extended valuations and no exit opportunities in sight. In such an inhospitable market, many companies will be coming face-to-face with down rounds. But what do down rounds really mean for founders and investors in the long run?

Our recent analyst note dives into the data on post-down round exits, difficult IPO markets and investment returns to determine what's in store for companies taking down rounds in the current market. Key takeaways include:
  • Just 13% of companies raising a down round from 2008 to 2014 were unable to raise a new round or exit immediately after the down-valuation investment.

  • The majority of down rounds occur at the late stage, where there is ample room to adjust valuations that have grown enormously over the past decade.
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Charting private debt fundraising trends
(StacieStauffSmith Photos/Shutterstock)
Global private debt fundraising has slowed down slightly this year, tailing off from last year's record-setting pace.

In the first six months of 2022, 66 private debt funds raised a total of $82 billion—compared with the roughly $93 billion collected across 130 vehicles in the same period a year ago, according to our recent Global Private Debt Report.

Direct lending, the largest private debt category, represented over a third of capital raised in the first six months of this year. Other strategies—in particular credit special-situations and real-estate debt—also received strong investor interest during that period.
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A message from Apex Group  
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Market Map: Economic volatility reshapes the outlook for AI & ML
(Jenna O'Malley/PitchBook News)
Ongoing economic turbulence has changed outlooks on AI and machine learning's growth.

Cloud computing costs are coming under scrutiny, and general economic volatility is favoring startups that prioritize efficiency over those that focus on model accuracy and complexity.

Explore our AI and machine learning market map to see where investors are putting their money.
explore the data
 
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Recommended Reads
Companies routinely destroy millions of used hard drives in the name of data security—but industry insiders say they could be reused instead. [Financial Times]

A new macroeconomic era is emerging. What will it look like? [The Economist]

Hopes of a sustainable recovery for San Francisco's economy are being dragged down by a glut of unused office space, accelerating tech layoffs and a downturn in VC investment. [San Francisco Chronical]
 
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Adams Street picks new global head of fund investments
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Apollo, Sixth Street end financing talks for Musk's Twitter deal
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Alpine teams up with Ethisphere
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CenterOak lands Palmetto Exterminators
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Fundraising  
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Chart of the Day  
Source: PitchBook's Q2 2022 Global Private Markets Fundraising Report
 
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