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September 25th, 2022 | Issue 149 |
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As expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday. This, along with the guidance provided for additional super-sized hikes to come, sent U.S. markets lower to end the week. Overseas, an unexpected and unfortunate event unfolded as Russian President Vladimir Putin called for a partial military mobilization in addition to his ongoing invasion of Ukraine. The action, along with what could be perceived as threats to western nations in his comments, sparked fears of an escalating war that could see global ramifications. With most news that comes across my desk, I tend to view things through a financial lens. This, however, is not something that is easily done when it comes to the ongoing war. As a native of Ukraine, it breaks my heart to see footage of the streets I called home lined with soldiers, tanks, and rubble. Places my parents and their parents grew up in, are now boarded by the red 'breaking news' ticker as horrendous footage shown on almost every news channel. And while we are lucky enough to have most of our direct family living in the U.S. or away from the war, not all are. There are plenty of stories of families being torn by this senseless war as fathers stay home to defend their country while mothers take their children to safety outside of Ukraine. And you don't have to go far to find these heartbreaking stories. This past month, one of my first employees at YellowTunnel, Alon, shared the story of his family's connection to the situation. Originally from Kyiv, Ukraine, Alon's parents moved to the U.S. by way of Israel to escape the harsh and often unfair conditions of the Soviet Union. Not all could leave, and as the Soviet Union fell, some chose to stay. This is exactly what happened to his family on his father's side; unfortunately, those harsh Soviet-induced conditions came to find his family again as Putin began his invasion of Ukraine this past year. When it became clear the war would not be quickly or quietly resolved, many began to make their way out of the country. Men were ordered to stay and rightfully defend while elders, children, and women found safety abroad. Alon's grandparents felt they could not make the journey in their poor health and decided to stay while his aunt, a single mother to a 20-something whose travel agency business would serve little purpose mid-war, decided to leave. Encouraged by her parents, as well as her family in the U.S., Natalia applied for a temporary U.S. visa and after getting approved made the journey here. Now, in her mid-40s she will be starting all over again- learning a new language, applying for a driver's license and finding a job. With Alon's family hosting her, they are all taking part in helping get her on her feet as she tries to develop a new life away from the war. All of that, while everywhere on the news and online there are reminders of the brutality happening back in her own home, where her parents still live in fear. This is just like thousands of stories that have all bubbled up due to this unjust war Putin enacted, so you can see why sometimes it's hard to separate business from personal with situations like these. And even closer to home, actually, in my own home- I am currently hosting a family as well. Our long-time nanny has her daughter and granddaughter with her. The family from Ukraine had to separate as the daughter's husband stayed back and is currently in the army, defending his country. Beyond the trauma of separation, the family that crossed literal borders to find safety must now cross language and cultural borders just to take part in their newly-located lives. Acclimation is not easy, but it is something we are working to help them with. Everyone is trying to do their part and help in the ways they can. Whether it's hosting or donating, there is a worldwide effort to support Ukraine during this horrendous time. Furthermore, I've had the opportunity to take additional action with a great organization supporting families in Ukraine directly. Gate.org is a foundation where fundraising is held for specific families, allocating funds to multiple families currently living in Ukraine. I am on the board of directors for this great initiative and encourage everyone to check it out and donate if possible. The war in Ukraine is escalating and families are being negatively impacted and displaced daily, to learn more about this initiative to help families, please click the link below… |
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The geopolitical status quo is always changing, and so is the market. While I feel a personal connection to this situation and feel for the hundreds and thousands of others that are impacted by this, I understand the market moves on. It's difficult predicting how the market might respond. The war in Ukraine, upcoming Fed meetings, COVID shutdowns in China are just a few of the headline-making, market-dictating variables that are out there ready to flip the market at any moment. Navigating through this, personal connection or not, is not an easy task. That is why trading communities are important and one of the main reasons why I formed YellowTunnel. We discuss this, and plenty more, on a weekly basis during my YellowTunnel webinars. I go over my trading plan and market outlook on a weekly basis in my roundtable webinar, hosted every Thursday on YellowTunnel. Trying to keep up with the market by oneself can be overwhelming. That is why I encourage you to join a trading community where you may interact and analyze with others. I recommend checking out our latest Roundtable webinar in its entirety below: |
How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy Roundtable With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can't emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. It's FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up to the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day. Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It's the future of bringing together a trading community's total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to: |
https://discord.gg/YjBfkaqGGu I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade. |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. P.P.S. Join our Discord Community to participate in our Free Live Market Volatility Trading Room Session every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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I will be keeping an eye out for a chance to invest in Apple, Inc. (AAPL), as it plays a big role in the tech industry. Apple Inc. is one of the tech leaders that not only sets the tone for tech sentiment but also plays a role in dictating where U.S. markets are headed. With a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, this company can find success in even short-term periods of high market volatility- which is something I believe we will see more of in the near future. |
Apple began to return some of its weekly gains on Thursday and continued doing so on Friday, to do so on Friday, currently trading near $149. This is on the lower side of the stock's 52-week range (129-182) and offers us a steady winner to back with any potential relief rallies. Even though I believe the market will trend downward, minor rallies are still possible. I will utilize the tech sector's inherent strength, as well historical trends and my latest A.I. readings, to back these symbols when the time is right. |
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How I Banked an 84.87% Win Rate During Market Chaos |
The markets have been all over the place. And with worldwide uncertainty, wars, and rampant inflation, volatility just keeps increasing. Traders are being more cautious — not knowing what will happen next. Me? I've made 1599 trades since the beginning of 2020 to today… and 84.87% of them have made money. While I'm not taking on unnecessary risks or being careless with my money, I'm still making the same trades I always have. |
(A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people) |
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CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE |
American stocks continued to drop on Friday, with the S&P 500 index reaching the June 2022 low. This was caused by turbulence in the bond market, with the 10-year note hitting an over 10-year high, and a rapidly increasing dollar following Wednesday's interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve. The two-year yield also rocketed to nearly 4.2%, surpassing a level last seen in 2007. The market shake up began on Wednesday when the Federal Reserve announced a 75-basis-point boost in interest rates and its promise to combat inflation even if it risks an economic recession. The FOMC policy update also revealed that there will be another 1.25% in rate hikes by the end of this year, which would bring the benchmark rates up to 4.4% from 3.8%. The Fed has downgraded its growth projections, predicting the economy will expand at a sluggish 0.2% annual rate this year and 1.2% in 2022, far below the 5.7% gain in 2021. As the move to the range of 3% to 3.25% shook markets, major U.S. indices capped the week deep in the red and VIX has surged to the $31 level. Also occurring late in the week, Costco and FedEx shares, kicking off an early batch of earnings data, tumbled after reports severely underwhelmed. With several factors pressuring the market this week, it appears the market has begun its next leg down. This produced an oversold market which I am keen to take advantage of in the upcoming weeks. |
With the Fed behind us and earnings ahead, the market is primed for additional volatility. We remain in a bear market but there are windows in which rallies in an oversold market could bubble up, especially in one sector which tips them off mega-cap tech. Large tech companies give indications about future market performance, other sectors often follow suit and improve. Earnings season is coming up and I want to invest in this sector since it is showing good potential for profit according to my research and previous market patterns. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) is one of the most popular ETFs in the tech sector, and it's one of my go-to's in the field.The ETF sold off on Thursday and Friday following the FOMC news and booked a loss for the week. The fund is trading right above its 52-week low of $122 which offers plenty of room for the upside. Because an oversold market has the potential to lead to a rally, I will be paying close attention to tech stocks- and my artificial intelligence tools are showing that this may indeed be the case. See XLK Seasonal Chart above... |
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Market Volatility LIVE Trading Room Sessions Join Our Discord Community Every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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NOTE: We encourage all subscribers to view the instructional videos on how to best use your membership and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can to be viewed at a later time. |
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To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today's changing market. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room, multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
This email was sent to edwardlorilla1986.paxforex@blogger.com by info@yellowtunnel.com. Questions or inquiries regarding the website and/or service may be submitted via email to info@yellowtunnel.com. You may also complete our inquiry form located here. YellowTunnel LLC, 318 Half Day Rd., Suite #215, Buffalo Grove, Illinois 60089. Website: https://www.yellowtunnel.com Copyright © 2022 Yellow Tunnel LLC. All rights reserved. If you want to unsubscribe from all or some of our emails please click this link. |
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