Wednesday, June 15, 2022

⚡ GOP declares war

Where Jan. 6 candidates are winning | Wednesday, June 15, 2022
 
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Axios Sneak Peek
By Alayna Treene, Hans Nichols and Zachary Basu · Jun 15, 2022

Welcome back to Sneak. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,018 words ... 4 minutes.

Situational awareness: John Hinckley Jr. was freed from all court oversight today, 41 years after he was arrested for attempting to assassinate then-President Reagan.

 
 
1 big thing: House GOP's war on "woke" business
Kevin McCarthy, Jim Jordan and Jim Banks

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) with Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) and Jim Banks (R-Ind.). Photo: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

 

House Republicans today welcomed to the Capitol a new "anti-woke" business lobbying group, amplifying their hostility toward the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the broader "environmental, social and corporate governance" (ESG) movement, Axios' Jonathan Swan reports.

Why it matters: The U.S. Chamber used to wield enormous power within the GOP as the representative of business interests. But the country's largest lobbying group is now viewed with contempt across large swaths of the Republican Party.

Driving the news: As Axios first reported, the American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce is positioning itself as an alternative to lobbies like the U.S. Chamber, which some Republicans charge have lurched left to appease Democrats amid a broader effort by corporate America to advocate on issues such as abortion, voting rights and racial justice.

Behind the scenes: A lunch hosted by the largest group of conservatives in the House, the Republican Study Committee, quickly turned into a bashing session against the U.S. Chamber and corporate ESG.

  • RSC chairman Jim Banks (R-Ind.) introduced the new group's two leaders — its chairman, former Iowa governor and President Trump's ambassador to China Terry Branstad, and CEO Gentry Collins, a former political director of the Republican National Committee.
  • In his introductory remarks, Banks said he was "increasingly frustrated with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce for supporting woke policies and enriching China."

Between the lines: Woke is a term used to refer to an awareness of broad injustices in society that conservatives are increasingly using as a pejorative to criticize liberal ideals.

During a Q&A session, Rep. Andy Barr (R-Ky.) described the corporate ESG movement as a "threat" to the U.S. that's been "undermining American competitiveness."

  • "Obviously, the Chamber of Commerce has been corrupted by woke thinking," Barr said.
  • Barr told Branstad about his bill, the "Ensuring Sound Guidance (ESG) Act," which is part of a broader GOP legislative assault against green investing and other forms of socially responsible investment.
  • Barr's bill would require investment advisers to prioritize financial returns over other issues such as sustainability.
  • "Amen," Branstad replied. "I agree with that."

Rep. Warren Davidson (R-Ohio) told Branstad and Collins: "Thanks for organizing an actual American Chamber of Commerce versus this woke Chamber."

  • Branstad was seen huddling with House Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-La.) at the end of the lunch and later met with House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy's staff. Scalise's chief of staff, Brett Horton, said last year his office wants nothing to do with the U.S. Chamber.
  • "If the U.S. Chamber sent me a meeting request right now, I wouldn't even staff that meeting out to an intern, and I don't see that changing," Horton said.

The other side: In response to this reporting, a U.S. Chamber spokesman told Axios:

"Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce was advocating for boosting domestic energy production and cutting tariffs to curb inflation, fighting taxes in the Senate, securing two business community wins at the Supreme Court, and ensuring pro-business champions like [South Carolina GOP] Rep. [Nancy] Mace return to Congress. So I am not sure what these people were referring to."

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2. 🗳️ Where Jan. 6 candidates are winning
Data: Axios research. Table: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

At least 14 Republican candidates present at the Capitol on Jan. 6 — with varying degrees of involvement in the riot — have run for federal or statewide office this year, Axios' Andrew Solender reports.

Why it matters: Despite their association with the violent assault, a number of the candidates are finding early success and even being embraced by the GOP establishment.

What we're watching: Some candidates are beginning to view their connections to Jan. 6 as a political asset, rather than a scandal.

  • The day after being arrested by the FBI, Ryan Kelley — a leading Republican candidate for Michigan governor — sent out a fundraising email labeling himself as a "political prisoner."

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3. 🌊 GOP's magic numbers
Illustration of a giant elephant about to step on a tiny donkey.

Illustration: Shoshana Gordon/Axios

 

Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.), chair of the House Republicans' campaign arm, cites three statistics when framing the potential "red wave" this fall, the Washington Post's Paul Kane reports:

  • An 18-seat gain would give Republicans a bigger majority than in 1995, when Newt Gingrich first became House speaker.
  • A 30-seat gain would give the GOP a larger majority than after the historic 2010 midterms.
  • A 35-seat gain would create the largest GOP majority in more than 90 years.
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4. 🌵 Focus group: Arizona swing voters skeptical of gun framework
Illustration of a gun with a trigger in the shape of a question mark

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

 

Arizona swing voters in our latest Engagious/Schlesinger focus groups said they're skeptical the Senate's bipartisan gun reform framework will make a meaningful difference in curbing gun violence or crime anytime soon, Axios' Alexi McCammond reports.

The big picture: Getting inflation and gas prices under control was the most-cited priority — followed by protecting abortion rights — in two Monday night focus groups with 13 Arizonans who voted for Donald Trump in 2016, then Joe Biden in 2020.

The swing voters expressed deep dissatisfaction with President Biden, saying they feel "disappointed," "nervous" about his age and "annoyed" whenever they see him on TV.

  • Notably, 10 of 13 said they believe former President Trump should be prosecuted in connection with the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.
  • Six of the swing voters said they would choose Trump in a hypothetical rematch with Biden — including some who thought Trump should be prosecuted.

Keep reading.

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5. 🇸🇦 Parting shot
Jamal Khashoggi Way sign

Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

 

Civil society groups, members of Congress and D.C. officials held a ceremony today to unveil the new "Jamal Khashoggi Way" street sign outside the Embassy of Saudi Arabia — exactly one month before President Biden is due to meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.

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