Dropping Inflation Rates Won’t Stop This Next Supply Chain Problem

Good morning. For the past two years, factory shutdowns, port shutdowns, and labor shortages in...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. For the past two years, factory shutdowns, port shutdowns, and labor shortages in key areas have led to a number of supply chain issues for all sorts of products. Now, with retail stores reporting high inventories and the prospect of some steep sales, some see the trend ending. But not so fast. Any good that gets onto store shelves has to be loaded onto a truck at some point. And right now, the combination of high inflation and declining trucking rates is hitting that industry hard. Add in high diesel fuel prices, and it's clear that a supply chain problem could occur with any good that needs to be shipped for the lack of a truck. Traders should continue to expect companies to be impacted by high fuel and shipping charges, and look for short-term opportunities as the market continues to make big swings higher and lower on a daily basis. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content How Pro Traders Actually Pick Their Stocks The markets have changed… but have your strategies? The Pros know there is one way to find out what's coming next, but it isn't what you think. They've been using it for decades to pick their winning stocks. It's the only way to get answers while saving you precious time and money. Check out this must-see tool for predictive analysis. MARKETS DOW 30,946.99 -1.56% S&P 3,821.55 -2.01% NASDAQ 11,181.54 -2.98% *As of market close • Stocks slid on Tuesday, with all three indices closing near lows of the day. • Oil rose 1.9 percent, closing at $111.62 per barrel. • Gold declined 0.2 percent, going for $1,820 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies moved slightly lower, with Bitcoin at $20,279 at the market close. Today's TOP TIPS Even With an Economic Slowdown, This Spending Trend Will Continue Some industries and companies are heavily dependent on economic cycles. Other trends are far more recession-resistant. Investors looking to profit now can stay on the defensive by investing in companies that can maintain their standing during an economic downturn. Most investors focus on areas like utilities, telecoms, and consumer goods to profit from the stock market. But there are other places as well where investors can likely see excellent long-term returns investing now. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) David Faeder, a director at Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT), recently picked up 10,565 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 79 percent, and came to a total cost of just over $1,012,000. This marks the first insider buy at the company in the past three years, and the end of a two-year period with no insider activity whatsoever. Otherwise, company insiders, most notably the company President and CEO, have been sellers of shares, but only as recently as 2020. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: Merck & Co (MRK) Shares of pharmaceutical giant Merck & Co (MRK) are up about 21 percent over the past year, and shares are close to 52-week highs. One trader sees the possibility for a pullback in the coming weeks. That's based on the September $82.50 puts. With 79 days until expiration, 3,289 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 122, for a 27-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $1.04 to get into the short position. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Commodity Prices Drop A number of key commodities have been dropping in recent weeks, including copper and wheat. While that may provide a relief from inflationary pressures, falling copper prices tend to be a predictor of a slowing economy, given its heavy use in wiring and plumbing. • Cathie Wood Sees US In Recession Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that the United States is already in a recession. That's based on long-lasting inflation rates, which have run higher than expected, and an increase in inventories. Her tech-heavy fund is now down over 50 percent so far this year. • Rural Counties Booming, For Now Many rural counties have benefitted from rising work-from home trends, as remote workers were able to leave large cities. That's led to strong growth, but also rising home and property prices, which may unwind as the trend slows. • Ernst & Young Hit With $100 Million Fine Accounting firm Ernst & Young has been hit with a record $100 million fine form the SEC. The regulatory organization reports that a significant number of the firm's auditors were caught cheating on the ethics portion of the CPA test. • Airbnb Bans Parties at All Listings Airbnb (ABNB) is officially banning all parties at properties booked on the platform. The company has had a temporary ban in place since 2020. The goal is to avoid unauthorized parties at properties that may disturb neighbors. The company reports a 44 percent year-over-year drop in the rate of party reports so far. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP HES  5.572% OXY  4.771% MRO 4.369% FANG 4.349% LVS 4.04% BOTTOM ETSY 8.196% ENPH 7.528% NKE 6.986% SEDG 6.459% MTCH 6.376% Quote of the Day Market bulls who have had the rug repeatedly pulled out from under them this year may understandably be suspect of the rally, since many of 2022′s upswings have quickly given way to fresh lows and this time may be no different. - Chris Larkin, managing director of trading at E-Trade, on why the market's rally may not last, and why there may be more downside ahead in the coming weeks. Sponsored Content How Pro Traders Actually Pick Their Stocks The markets have changed… but have your strategies? The Pros know there is one way to find out what's coming next, but it isn't what you think. They've been using it for decades to pick their winning stocks. It's the only way to get answers while saving you precious time and money. Check out this must-see tool for predictive analysis. Not sure the best way to get started? 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