Monday, October 25, 2021

Is this finally the week?

A play-by-play preview of the day's congressional news
Oct 25, 2021 View in browser
 
POLITICO Huddle

By Olivia Beavers

With an assist from Sarah Ferris, Heather Caygle and Andrew Desiderio.

CROSSING OF THE DELAWARE — The fate of two enormous pieces of President Joe Biden's agenda will come down to the next few days — for real this time. Senior Democrats say a deal is finally within reach on Biden's social spending package, and could come as soon as Monday. That would pave the way for a vote on Biden's other massive priority, a bipartisan infrastructure bill, by midweek, ending a months-long standoff between the party's centrist and progressive wings.

But we ain't there yet. Talks are still ongoing, with help from a burst of weekend negotiating in Delaware, where Biden hosted the man(chin) of the hour, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va), and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), Burgess and Heather scooped.

Those talks with Manchin on Sunday largely centered around a pair of key provisions — paid leave and the expansion of Medicare to include vision, dental and hearing for seniors. Democrats have feared they could be forced to ditch both, though Dem leaders hope at least one could be back in play if they can convince Manchin to bump up his max price tag from $1.5 trillion closer to $1.75 trillion. More here from Heather, Alice Miranda Ollstein, Eleanor Mueller, and Marianne on those key negotiations.

Another potential hiccup: Democrats said late Sunday night negotiators still haven't reached an agreement with Manchin over a push to close the Medicaid coverage gap in several states — a huge priority for House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) and Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.), who is up for re-election next year.

Stay tuned: The fate of all those programs will have huge implications for the left. Angst is already rising among progressives as talks proceed, and some liberals could have trouble swallowing the final version of the bill. This could complicate plans for a midweek infrastructure vote, which Dems are hoping to achieve — along with an agreement on the broader spending plan — before Biden leaves for overseas climate talks later this week

Another key question: What will GOP support look like? We're told at least several Republicans could still vote for the bipartisan deal, and that centrist Democrats are already working their colleagues across the aisle.

Related: "Sen. Joe Manchin wants to restrict who gets the child tax credit . These West Virginians may pay the price if he gets his way," by WaPo's Yeganeh Torbati and Kyle Swenson | "Tax on Billionaires' Unrealized Gains Will Likely Be in Budget Package, Democrats Say," by WSJ's Kristina Peterson and Richard Rubin | "AP source: Manchin agreeable to wealth tax for Biden plan," by the AP's Lisa Mascaro and Hope Yen

IN-AND-OUT: Here's what's out of negotiations, with the usual congressional dealmaking caveat — nothing is final until everything is.

TBD: Lowering prescription costs as well as the push for child care and universal Pre-K.

PARED DOWN: The child tax credit, in-home care, housing aid, Obamacare subsidies, and Medicaid gap in red states.

LIKELY OUT: Paid leave; expanding Medicare to cover dental, vision and hearing; hiking taxes on corporations and the nation's highest-earning individuals; the clean electricity program that would penalize major polluters.

OUT: Free community college

Our Jennifer Scholtes, Marianne, and Alice break it all down for you.

Related: "Biden the Dealmaker Finds That Compromise Can Have Consequences," by NYT's Michael Shear | "Biden playing both the inside and outside games," by the National Journal's George Condon

 

INTRODUCING CONGRESS MINUTES: Need to follow the action on Capitol Hill blow-by-blow? Check out Minutes, POLITICO's new platform that delivers the latest exclusives, twists and much more in real time. Get it on your desktop or download the POLITICO mobile app for iOS or Android. GET A FIRST LOOK AT CONGRESS MINUTES HERE.

 
 

GOOD MORNING! Welcome to Huddle, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Monday, Oct. 25th, where your fill-in and former Huddle host is asking you, Huddlers, to send me your best Halloween costume ideas for this year ( obeavers@politico.com). Brownie points if they are political. I'll be tweeting out the best spooky or swampy ideas that land in my inbox.

WHEN VIRGINIA AND CHINA COLLIDE... — Remember the Senate's big push over the summer to confront a rising China? The Schumer-led effort resulted in a behemoth quarter-trillion bill to boost U.S. competitiveness with Beijing by spurring investment in technological and scientific advancements, and mapping a national-security strategy. Well that bill has languished on the Hill amid disagreements between the two chambers, especially frustrating Senate Democrats who want to see it reach Biden's desk after securing wide bipartisan support in the Senate.

It comes with political benefits, they say. Not only does Biden need a legislative win, but Virginia Democrats think it would be an easy way to put some points on the board amid that state's surprisingly close gubernatorial race. It could also help the president start to blunt criticisms from the right about rising prices stemming from supply-chain bottlenecks, and allow him to boost his counter-China chops. "Boy oh boy, what an important national security matter, and also what a great time to put some points on the board," Senate Intelligence Committee Chair Mark Warner (D-Va.) said.

There's some talk that the House might simply strip out the portion of the bill that increases U.S. semiconductor production, an action the House Problem Solvers Caucus endorsed last week. But critics worry about the rest of the bill's fate under that scenario. The White House has arranged several meetings with the House Science Committee to accelerate the process, according to an official familiar with the outreach. That panel is critical for the R&D parts of the broader China bill.

Andrew and Gavin Bade have the update.

BIG, IF TRUE: Hunter Walker with Rolling Stone talked to two people who were involved in the planning of the Jan. 6 rally that devolved into the violent Capitol assault. These individuals have made a series of serious allegations about their communications with GOP members of Congress leading up the rally, which they've passed along to the select committee investigating the attack. Both are expecting to testify publicly.

Those include claims that 1) multiple House Republicans "were intimately involved in planning both Trump's efforts to overturn his election loss and the Jan. 6 events that turned violent"; 2) these organizers say they held "dozens" of planning briefings ahead of Jan. 6; 3) one of the GOP members, Rep. Paul Gosar (R-Ariz.), allegedly "dangled the possibility of a 'blanket pardon' in an unrelated ongoing investigation" to encourage the organizers to plan the protests; 4) the organizers raised concerns to former chief of Staff Mark Meadows that Ali Alexander's protest at the Capitol could lead to violence ahead of the event. And more...

The panel will have the job of vetting through these claims. Already, some Democrats are calling for their expulsion if the allegations prove true.

Related: Jan. 6 panel seeking information from Facebook and following the money, chair says, by our Jordan Wolman | "Facebook whistleblower documents offer new revelations about Jan. 6 response," by Chris Looft and Layla Ferris

UNDERCOOKED RUMOR — It all started off with a joke from House Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-La.), who was talking about the rise of inflation in front of a bunch of members. When he saw Rep. Don Bacon, he asked: "How much is bacon up?" The Nebraska Republican replied: "19 percent." Scalise responded: "Wow, bacon is up 19 percent!"

Well...It didn't take long for word to travel and before Bacon knew it, Republicans were chattering a day later about how the frontliner was up 19 percent in polling. At one point, Rep. Neal Dunn (R-Fla.) went up to Bacon and congratulated him in front of House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) for his surge in the polls, prompting the GOP leader to express how impressed he was with Bacon's supposed numbers, the Nebraska lawmaker said. Well, Bacon had to pour water on this crackling rumor and fix the record: The poll talk was all cooked up.

Campaign Related: "Senate GOP rallies to Herschel Walker," by our Alex Isenstadt.

KILLING THEM SOFTLY WITH HIS WORDS: Sen. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.) is nicely trying to tell Trump to zip it about his 2020 election fraud claims because it could have major consequences for Republicans next election cycle if the GOP voter turnout is depressed, telling NBC's "Meet the Press" yesterday that "the best thing that President Trump could do to help us win majorities in 2022 is talk about the future" rather than talk about the past.

UNHEARD OF: Your Huddle host heard a funny story about the NRSC fundraiser held earlier this month at the fancy Breakers resort in Palm Beach, Florida. Professional golfer Jack Nicklaus was about to go on stage to speak to the crowd when the battery in his hearing aid died. A staffer helping with the event figured there must be senators in the crowd who also use assisted hearing devices, but when they asked around none of them had the right battery type.

The staffer then asked attendee Newt Gingrich if he had an extra. Instead, the former speaker took out the battery of his hearing aid to give to Nicklaus, adding: "Tell him he can keep it."

COVID IN THE CAPITOL: In case you missed it, Office of the Attending Physician sent a letter out on Friday stating that it is now prepared to provide the coronavirus booster vaccination to a wider umbrella, including: "Individuals between 18 and 64 years who previously received the Pfizer, Moderna, or Johnson & Johnson vaccine and whose frequent institutional or occupational exposure to the virus puts them at high risk of serious complications from the disease caused by the virus." (Speaking of, there was another breakthrough case on Friday…)

 

BECOME A GLOBAL INSIDER: The world is more connected than ever. It has never been more essential to identify, unpack and analyze important news, trends and decisions shaping our future — and we've got you covered! Every Monday, Wednesday and Friday, Global Insider author Ryan Heath navigates the global news maze and connects you to power players and events changing our world. Don't miss out on this influential global community. Subscribe now.

 
 

ON TAP THIS WEEK

Wednesday: Sen. Thom Tillis' (R-N.C.) best party of the year: The Bi-paw-tisan Halloween party where pups will show up in their hotdog and Paw-ty animal costumes...Attorney General Merrick Garland will testify before the Senate Judiciary Committee

Thursday: Biden leaves for Rome.

Friday: Former DOJ official Jeffrey Clark, the first Trump administration official to comply with a subpoena from the Jan. 6 select committee, will testify before the panel.

QUICK LINKS

-"Trump pick's messy personal life worries Senate Republicans desperate to hold on to Pennsylvania seat," by CNN's Michael Warren and Sara Murray

-"Georgia Dems wait with fear and angst for help from D.C.," by our Laura Barron-Lopez

-"Sinema's silence on spending bill vexes many Democrats while she digs in on talks out of public view," by WaPo's Seung Min Kim and Ashley Parker

TRANSITIONS

Emily Spain, who has worked for Sen. Tom Carper (D-Del.), is leaving her chief of staff post and Congress, where she has worked for over 15 years, for a new job as KKR's director on the public affairs team...Jan Beukelman will take her job in Carper's office. He is a Carper alum and arrives on the Hill after serving as the assistant U.S. trade representative for congressional affairs with the Biden administration.

Libbie Wilcox is leaving Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney's (D-N.Y.) office -- and Capitol Hill entirely after nearly five years -- to take a job with Hiltzik Strategies. She also previously worked with Rep. Gwen Moore (D-Wis.).

Natalie Edelstein is joining Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker's reelect as comms director. She most recently was deputy comms director for Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.).

TODAY IN CONGRESS

The House is in, folks. First votes are not expected until 6:30 p.m.

The Senate will convene at 3 p.m., where it will resume consideration of Jia Cobb to serve as U.S. District Judge for the District of Columbia. At 5:30 p.m., two votes are expected to occur on the confirmation of Douglas Parker to be an assistant secretary of Labor and Myrna Perez to be U.S. circuit judge for the 2nd Circuit.

AROUND THE HILL

Not much today, but it'll be a busy week. Buckle up.

TRIVIA

MONDAY'S WINNER: Joe Bookman was the first person to correctly guess that in 1876, Congress passed the Turf Protection Law, which ended the Easter Egg roll on Capitol grounds. However, President Rutherford Hayes kept the tradition alive by inviting children to the White House Lawn for the egg roll in 1878.

TODAY'S QUESTION from Joe: Who was the first secretary of state to travel abroad during their term in office and where did they go?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Huddle. Send your answers to obeavers@politico.com.

GET HUDDLE emailed to your phone each morning.

Follow Olivia on Twitter @Olivia_Beavers

 

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