Friday, May 14, 2021

🙃 Why Traders Can’t Predict the World’s Most-Watched Commodity

Good morning. One year ago, oil prices went negative as traders feared that the pandemic would..
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. One year ago, oil prices went negative as traders feared that the pandemic would lead to prolonged drops in oil use and got caught in trades they couldn't get out of. Today, oil and gasoline prices have held up well in inventory reports. However, supply issues remain in the South and up and down the East Coast, even as Colonial pipeline paid a $5 million ransom to the hackers who shut down their system. A number of states have declared emergencies as supplies have run low.

It just goes to show that oil, one of the most, and likely the most heavily watched commodities in the world, is one where even the experts can get blindsided. It's a sign that traders should be nimble and have a plan for emergencies. Think of it as having the equivalent of an extra gas can at home.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 34,021.45 +1.29%
S&P 4,112.50 +1.22%
NASDAQ 13,124.99 +0.72%
*As of market close
Stocks rebounded on Thursday with all major indices moving higher.
Oil dropped 3.5 percent, closing at $63.77 per barrel.
Gold rose 0.3 percent, closing at $1,827 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies generally sank, with Bitcoin last at $48,816.

Today's TOP TIPS
Tech Selloff? Consider a Defensive Play with a Powerhouse Franchise
With the tech selloff, investors are looking to other parts of the market. Defensive stocks have held up well. But the real value in this market is buying into companies that can raise their prices to deal with inflation… and not lose customers doing so.

Offering everyday low prices, one such area is fast food. These companies have streamlined operations, a loyal customer base, and haven't performed as well as some of the faster-moving parts of the market in the past year.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Camping World Holdings (CWH)
Marcus Lemonis, CEO and major holder at Camping World Holdings (CWH), recently bought 2,330 more shares. The buy increased his holdings by less than 0.4 percent, and came to a total price of just over $100,000.

This is the first insider buy since March. Insiders have both been buyers and sellers in the past year, with an investment partnership being one of the bigger insider sellers.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Zoom Communications (ZM)
While the pandemic lockdowns are all but over, at least one trader expects shares of Zoom Communications (ZM) to regain some of their recent decline.

That's based on the September $290 calls. Nearly 6,300 contracts traded against a prior open interest of 114, for a 55-fold jump in volume. The trade has 126 days to play out, and with shares right near $290, it's an at-the-money trade.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
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SpecTrust Raises $4.3 Million

Defense startup SpecTrust has raised $4.3 million in seed funding. The company is working on a no-code platform for reducing cybersecurity risks to companies, promising infrastructure that can cut down the response time to threats. The seed funding stage occurs amidst the Colonial pipeline cyberattack has partially shut down the oil supply chain in the US.
Producer Prices Jump 6.2 Percent

In another sign of inflation, the Producer Price Index rose 6.2 percent for the 12 months ending in April. That's the largest jump higher since the BLS started tracking the data in 2010. It's up 0.6 percent compared to March, a double from expectations of 0.3 percent.
Amazon Hiring 75,000 Workers

Tech giant Amazon (AMZN) is looking to expand its workforce by 75,000. The company expects the average wage of new workers to top $17 an hour, and in some cases may even offer a $1,000 signing bonus. The new roles will expand the company's US workforce by about 8 percent.
McDonald's Looks to Raise Wages

Fast food giant McDonald's (MCD) is looking to raise wages at its US stores. The current pay for entry-level work is expected to jump 10 percent, to between $11 to $17 per hour depending on the markets. Shift managers can also expect a rise to $15 to $20 per hour. This impacts 36,500 employees at company-owned stores.
Bitcoin Slumps Following Musk Announcement

Bitcoin prices dropped nearly 10 percent following an announcement from Tesla Motors (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk that the company would no longer accept the cryptocurrency, citing the electricity used in mining the currency. Other cryptocurrencies also dropped, although some coins that offer low or green energy use moved higher.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
NUE 5.011%
DXC 4.935%
LRCX 4.852%
PHM 4.783%
MHK 4.525%
BOTTOM
OXY 5.613%
FANG 4.127%
MRO 4.073%
XEC 3.756%
ABMD 3.504%

Quote of the Day
Tesla has suspended vehicle purchases using Bitcoin. We are concerned about rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for Bitcoin mining and transactions, especially coal, which has the worst emissions of any fuel. Cryptocurrency is a good idea on many levels and we believe it has a promising future, but this cannot come at great cost to the environment. Tesla will not be selling any Bitcoin and we intend to use it for transactions as soon as mining transitions to more sustainable energy. We are also looking at other cryptocurrencies that use <1% of Bitcoin's energy/transaction.
- Statement from Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla Motors, on why the company was no longer accepting Bitcoin as a means of payment, but may embrace the space in the future.

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And he's giving away the full details FREE.


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