Friday, May 14, 2021

It’s not a civil war; it’s a purge

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May 14, 2021 View in browser
 
POLITICO Playbook

By Ryan Lizza, Tara Palmeri, Eugene Daniels and Rachael Bade

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DRIVING THE DAY

Thursday was historic: America broke the back of the pandemic. New cases are at an eight-month low. Deaths are at a 10-month low. Best of all, if you're vaccinated, you can take off your damn mask. Hallelujah!

More on that below, but first …

IT'S FRIDAY, so let's take a step back and look at the biggest narrative of the week.

We've frequently used the term "civil war" to describe what's going on in the Republican Party. But what if that's the wrong way to think about it?

What we're seeing in the GOP isn't a civil war; it's a purge. That's the case JEFF GREENFIELD recently made in POLITICO Magazine, and Ryan interviewed him about it for this week's edition of "Playbook Deep Dive." Listen and subscribe here

Playbook Deep Dive quote card

As you go into the weekend, Jeff makes two big points that are worth considering and reflecting on after this week in American politics:

First: It's a purge.

— The term "civil war" suggests some level of parity between the opposing sides. That's not what we're seeing. The window for people like Rep. LIZ CHENEY (R-Wyo.) to rally anti-DONALD TRUMP Republicans to her side passed weeks ago. She valiantly tried to de-Trumpify the GOP, but the troops never arrived. Straddlers like House Minority Leader KEVIN MCCARTHY — who initially criticized Trump for his actions around Jan. 6 — abandoned her and threw in with the die-hard MAGA types. Cheney was kicked out of House leadership. Her reelection will be a struggle.

— "In Congress, and at the grassroots , the dominance of Donald Trump over the party is more or less total," Greenfield writes. "The small handful who denounced the former president for his massive lies about the election and his seeding of an insurrectionist riot are now either silent, or have embraced a mealy-mouthed argument for 'election integrity.'"

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Second: You may not realize it from the coverage, but the GOP is actually gaining strength right now.

— The day-to-day storylines in political media emphasize the divisions within the Republican Party and how those divisions weaken the GOP and help President JOE BIDEN push through his agenda. But if you step outside that narrative, you'll see something very different.

— While it might look like a shitshow in Washington, the party is more like a hurricane gathering strength off shore that will wallop Democrats beginning in 2022. The Republican Party has a structural advantage in the House, Senate and Electoral College. It controls redistricting in a majority of states. Most ominously for Democrats — and democracy — it is using its power in statehouses and governors' mansions across the country to pass voting laws that solidify these advantages.

— "The pattern is striking," Greenfield writes, "if you want to survive as a Republican official, you will support the former president; if you support the former president, you will support laws that reflect his conviction that the election was stolen; if you enact those rules, you are making it more possible that he will win a second term. The party is talking with one voice; the voice is Trump's, and it's one that plenty of Americans are still perfectly receptive to."

Read Jeff's piece here Listen to Ryan and Jeff on "Playbook Deep Dive" here

Happy Friday, and thanks for reading Playbook. One of us has been on the road driving through Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky and West Virginia, and we can safely report that while the CDC mask announcement is akin to V-J Day in Washington, D.C., much of red America gave up on face coverings a long time ago. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza, Tara Palmeri.

NEW THIS MORNING — For more than a year, TARA has been digging into the world of JEFFREY EPSTEIN, the ultra-wealthy financier and convicted sexual predator. She's hosted the podcasts "Broken: Seeking Justice" and "Power: The Maxwells," and today, POLITICO Magazine published her latest investigation into "The Women Who Enabled Jeffrey Epstein."

— Looking at the circle of powerful men in Epstein's orbit, Tara writes, "I came to a realization: Beyond these men exists a group of women, possibly even larger, who helped keep Epstein's massive sex-trafficking operation running for more than 20 years.

"These women aren't household names, even for people following Epstein's story. But his victims say they were key to grooming and deceiving them and allowing Epstein to operate with impunity. In fact, most of Epstein's victims were introduced to him through other women … It was the women around Epstein who tried to make them feel comfortable, as if what they were experiencing was normal or harmless."

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BIDEN'S FRIDAY — The president and VP KAMALA HARRIS will receive the President's Daily Brief at 9:50 a.m. At 3 p.m., Biden will meet in the Oval Office with six Dreamers who work in health care, education and agriculture. At 4:30 p.m., Biden will receive the Weekly Economic Briefing.

Harris and second gentleman DOUG EMHOFF will travel to New York City in the afternoon to attend their daughter's graduation.

— Press secretary JEN PSAKI will brief at 12:30 p.m. with Council of Economic Advisers Chair CECILIA ROUSE.

THE HOUSE will meet at 9 a.m. to take up the Pregnant Workers Fairness Act, with first and last votes between 10:30 a.m. and 11 a.m.

THE SENATE is out.

 

SUBSCRIBE TO WEST WING PLAYBOOK: Add West Wing Playbook to keep up with the power players, latest policy developments and intriguing whispers percolating inside the West Wing and across the highest levels of the Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 
PLAYBOOK READS

VP Kamala Harris and President Joe Biden

PHOTO OF THE DAY: VP Kamala Harris and President Joe Biden walk in the Rose Garden sans masks Thursday after announcing new federal guidance eliminating the need for vaccinated people to mask up in most circumstances. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo

THE WHITE HOUSE

HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN — "'Better days are ahead': Maskless Biden marks milestone in virus battle," WaPo: "President Biden on Thursday afternoon strolled out of the White House with a triumphant demeanor — notably without wearing a mask — and declared the country on the precipice of defeating a pandemic that has killed more than 580,000 Americans, damaged the economy and been the single-most dominant issue of his young presidency.

"The occasion was the surprise announcement by federal health officials that Americans who are fully vaccinated can go without masks or physical distancing in most cases — marking a crucial milestone in the nation's battle against the pandemic. …

"The White House was informed about the CDC's decision Wednesday night, according to a White House aide. Shortly after the CDC made its decision public, the White House 'covid ops' team issued an all-staff email explaining that White House aides don't need to wear masks at work if they are two weeks past vaccination."

IMMIGRATION FILES — "Far Fewer Young Migrants Are In Border Patrol Custody, DHS Secretary Says," NPR: "Homeland Security Secretary ALEJANDRO MAYORKAS told senators on Thursday that in the midst of a surge of migrants trying to enter the U.S., the number of unaccompanied minors in U.S. Customs and Border Protection custody continues to fall dramatically.

"The total number of young migrants in Border Patrol custody has fallen from nearly 6,000 in late March to 455 as of Tuesday, Mayorkas told a Senate panel in testimony. And the number of children in custody for longer than 72 hours has also fallen from 4,078 to zero in the same period. The efforts follow a change by the Biden administration to allow the children to be moved to facilities under the Department of Health and Human Services rather than DHS."

PANDEMIC

STATES REACT TO NEW CDC GUIDELINES — "Some states lift mask mandates for vaccinated people, while others greet the new C.D.C. guidance with caution," NYT: "As federal health officials on Thursday cleared the way for Americans who are fully vaccinated against the coronavirus to drop mask wearing in most situations, some states lifted mask mandates … Most of the state officials who responded to the shift were Democrats. Half of the country's governors — most of them Republicans — had already lifted mask mandates in some form.

"On Thursday, the governors of Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, and Virginia, and the mayors of New York City and Washington, D.C., all Democrats, said they were taking the new guidance from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention under advisement before adopting it. … [A]t least seven states led by Democrats began to lift mask mandates: Connecticut, Illinois, Kentucky, Minnesota, Nevada, Oregon, and Pennsylvania began to adjust their mask wearing guidance."

— Interesting reading: "Hundreds of Epidemiologists Expected Mask-Wearing in Public for at Least a Year," NYT/Upshot

MASKS ARE GONE, BUT VACCINE MISINFO REMAINS — "Inside one network cashing in on vaccine disinformation," AP: "The BOLLINGERS are part of an ecosystem of for-profit companies, nonprofit groups, YouTube channels and other social media accounts that stoke fear and distrust of COVID-19 vaccines, resorting to what medical experts say is often misleading and false information.

"An investigation by The Associated Press has found that the couple work closely with others prominent in the anti-vaccine movement — including ROBERT F. KENNEDY JR. and his Children's Health Defense — to drive sales through affiliate marketing relationships."

— Related: "Just 12 People Are Behind Most Vaccine Hoaxes On Social Media, Research Shows," NPR

INFRASTRUCTURE YEAR

A NEW ARGUMENT FOR THE INFRASTRUCTURE PACKAGE — "As Colonial Pipeline recovers from cyberattack, leaders point to a 'wake-up call' for U.S. energy infrastructure," WaPo: "A major East Coast fuel pipeline lurched back to life Thursday as the nation continued to deal with the fallout from the biggest known cyberattack on U.S. energy infrastructure, but the Biden administration warned it would take time for fuel shortages to ease and pledged to take additional action to prevent a similar crisis. …

"Transportation Secretary PETE BUTTIGIEG called the ransomware attack a 'wake-up call' that raises questions about whether the nation's laws and political system are prepared for what he called 'the cyber era.' And Biden touted a new Justice Department task force to go after DarkSide, a hacker group that infiltrated Colonial Pipeline's servers and said it would not relinquish control without a ransom."

CONGRESS

NRCC TARGETS FRONTLINE DEMS OVER JOBS REPORT — The House GOP's campaign arm thinks it's found its newest line of attack against vulnerable House Democrats in the party's bid to flip the House: last week's disappointing jobs report. In at least 20 different media attacks across the nation this week, the NRCC has tried to link the disappointing jobs numbers with swing-district Democrats' support of Biden's American Rescue Plan, arguing that the enhanced unemployment benefits are keeping people from returning to the workforce. We're told it's a strategy they'll continue as they seek to generate local headlines.

CHIP ROY THROWS IN AGAINST STEFANIK — "Stefanik and Roy make their pitches for House GOP No. 3," by Melanie Zanona and Olivia Beavers: "[Reps.] ELISE STEFANIK (R-N.Y.) and CHIP ROY (R-Texas) on Thursday night pitched their House GOP colleagues on their cases to be the conference's next No. 3 leader, pledging to put aside their personal views in order to execute messaging on behalf of the party less than 48 hours after the fraught eviction of Liz Cheney.

"Multiple Republicans in the room for the gathering, billed as a candidate forum, described the back-and-forth between the New York and Texas Republicans as friendly and formal. Roy contended that he was the more conservative choice, while Stefanik emphasized her efforts to elect GOP women and her fundraising prowess. …

"Roy, a member of the ultra-conservative House Freedom Caucus, joined the leadership race shortly before the forum after hinting at a run earlier this week. He has argued that Stefanik should not serve as House Republicans' No. 3 leader because of her moderate record, also protesting the speed at which the party moved to replace Cheney."

GAETZ-GATE INTENSIFIES — "Feds tighten grip in Gaetz probe," by Marc Caputo, Josh Gerstein and Matt Dixon: "Federal investigators are intensifying their sex-crimes probe of Rep. MATT GAETZ as they discuss a potential immunity arrangement with his former girlfriend and have struck a tentative deal with his one-time 'wingman' who will likely plead guilty, according to multiple people familiar with the situation.

"The U.S. Department of Justice's Public Integrity Section also continues to interview potential witnesses who could provide prosecutors with evidence against Gaetz. One witness told POLITICO that prosecutors spent two hours asking questions about whether Gaetz (R-Fla.) or others in his circle had sex with a 17-year-old girl in 2017."

WHAT DEBT LIMIT? — "'Doesn't matter': Democrats reject GOP's debt limit demands," by Burgess Everett, Caitlin Emma and Jennifer Scholtes: "Senate Republicans dramatically changed their party rules to take a hard line on the debt limit in the coming months. Democrats don't care.

"In fact, the Democratic majority says it has no intention of negotiating with Republicans bent on slashing spending as a condition for avoiding default after the July 31 deadline. Democrats say they won't haggle with the minority party over the faith and credit of the United States, citing lessons from the presidency of BARACK OBAMA.

"The diametrically opposed views heading toward a cutoff point that regularly vexes Washington could become highly consequential as Congress labors to cut bipartisan deals on a host of issues."

CHAOS IN THE HOUSE — "Riot revisionism, hallway aggression, squashed alliances: The House nears a Cold War," by Sarah Ferris and Nicholas Wu: "The rift between the two parties over the insurrection is worse today than it's been at perhaps any point since early January, with lawmakers openly berating each other in the hallways and refusing to partner on legislation. The fractious breakdown of what little bipartisan comity remained in the House is playing out, of course, in the long shadow of the former president. And the growing tide of GOP insurrection revisionism could turn the already-bitter divide between House Democrats and Republicans who voted to support Donald Trump's election challenges into permanent cold war."

 

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POLITICS ROUNDUP

CHENEY A 'NO' ON 2024 BID (FOR NOW) — "Liz Cheney says she's not running for president," by Ben Leonard: "The Wyoming Republican, who recently said she wouldn't rule out running, told Fox's Bret Baier Thursday night that she wasn't throwing her hat in the ring."

WATCH: Cheney gets ousted and the GOP attacks voting rights and Fauci: The monthslong feud between Cheney and McCarthy has officially come to a head, as Republicans voted to oust her from her leadership position this week. But it wasn't just Cheney caught in the Republican crossfire — ANTHONY FAUCI sparred with Sen. RAND PAUL (R-Ky.) over Covid-19. In the Senate, Minority Leader MITCH MCCONNELL attacked voting rights legislation as more Republican states pass stricter voting laws across the country. EUGENE is back from his grandma's house and watches this week's top videos with TARA.

Playbook Playback

POLICY CORNER

ONE TO WATCH — "Pentagon Surveilling Americans Without a Warrant, Senator Reveals," Vice: "The Pentagon is carrying out warrantless surveillance of Americans, according to a new letter written by Sen. RON WYDEN and obtained by Motherboard.

"Senator Wyden's office asked the Department of Defense, which includes various military and intelligence agencies such as the National Security Agency and the Defense Intelligence Agency, for detailed information about its data purchasing practices after Motherboard revealed special forces were buying location data. The responses also touched on military or intelligence use of internet browsing and other types of data, and prompted Wyden to demand more answers specifically about warrantless spying on American citizens."

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

NYC DEBATE WATCH — "Candidates Clash Over Future of New York in First Mayoral Debate," NYT: "The eight Democrats competing to win the June 22 primary presented divergent views on how to lead the city in a sometimes acerbic debate."

TRIAL PUSHED PAST AUGUST — "Judge Delays Trial in George Floyd Case," AP: Former Minneapolis police officers THOMAS LANE, ALEXANDER KUENG and TOU THAO "had previously been scheduled to go on trial in August but the judge said he chose to delay the trial so that a federal case could go first. A federal grand jury indicted all four former officers on charges of violating Mr. Floyd's constitutional rights.

"Hennepin County District Judge PETER CAHILL denied a defense motion to move the trial, but said given all the publicity surrounding the trial, it would make more sense for the federal case to move forward first."

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

NO END IN SIGHT — "Israeli forces escalate campaign in Gaza with tanks, artillery, planes; Hamas launches rockets," WaPo: "The Israeli military escalated its campaign against the Hamas militant group in Gaza late Thursday as artillery, tanks and war planes combined in a withering assault on the Palestinian enclave, and the Israeli military readied at least three brigades of troops for action, raising the prospect of a ground invasion.

"Just after midnight, the Israeli military announced that air and ground forces were attacking in the Gaza Strip, but the extent of the operation remained unclear. A military spokesperson initially said, 'There are ground troops in Gaza.' But another spokesman for the Israel Defense Forces later issued a 'clarification,' saying, 'There are currently no IDF ground troops inside the Gaza Strip.'"

DIPLOMATS WARN WE'RE MISSING OUR SHOT — "U.S. diplomats: Send vaccine overseas now or China, Russia will win out," by Erin Banco: "Frustrated U.S. diplomats are pressing State Department leaders back in Washington to move faster on donating Covid-19 vaccines abroad, arguing that the Biden administration's indecision is ceding ground to China and Russia … [which have] used donations of their homegrown vaccines to extract political concessions from nations seeking aid, four senior officials with knowledge of the situation said.

"Two of those officials said China, in particular, is pressuring officials in the roughly 50 countries receiving its vaccine donations to recognize Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan. Meanwhile, Russia has used its Sputnik V vaccine to strengthen its relationships with countries in South America."

MEDIAWATCH

KHAKI KING GETS NEW GIG — "Steve Kornacki inks multimillion-dollar deal with NBCUniversal," The Hill: "Political correspondent STEVE KORNACKI has signed a four-year, multimillion-dollar deal with NBCUniversal, the parent company of NBC and MSNBC, the company announced Thursday.

"In addition to politics, Kornacki will bring his analytical skills to the 'entertainment, sports and streaming networks of NBCUniversal,' the company said in a statement announcing the deal. NBCUniversal's Television and Streaming Entertainment group is also developing a game show for Kornacki to host that will involve statistics, sports and politics."

TRUMP CARDS

DETAILS ON PROJECT VERITAS OPERATIONS — "Activists and Ex-Spy Said to Have Plotted to Discredit Trump 'Enemies' in Government," NYT: "The campaign included a planned sting operation against Mr. Trump's national security adviser at the time, H.R. MCMASTER, and secret surveillance operations against F.B.I. employees, aimed at exposing anti-Trump sentiment in the bureau's ranks.

"The operations against the F.B.I., run by the conservative group Project Veritas, were conducted from a large home in the Georgetown section of Washington that rented for $10,000 per month. Female undercover operatives arranged dates with the F.B.I. employees with the aim of secretly recording them making disparaging comments about Mr. Trump."

SIDNEY POWELL HIT WITH LAWSUIT — "Company: Ex-Trump lawyer raiding nonprofit for personal use," AP: "Former Trump attorney and self-proclaimed 'Kraken releaser' SIDNEY POWELL has told prospective donors that her group, Defending the Republic, is a legal defense fund to protect the integrity of U.S. elections. But the company suing Powell over her baseless claims of a rigged presidential election says the true beneficiary of her social welfare organization is Powell herself.

"Dominion Voting Systems claims Powell has raided Defending the Republic's coffers to pay for personal legal expenses, citing her own remarks from a radio interview. The Denver-based voting technology vendor sued Powell and others who spread false claims that the company helped steal the 2020 election from Donald Trump."

DESSERT

TARA DOES PALM BEACH — "Forty Dollar Chicken, Ferraris and Mesh Masks: Two Months in Donald Trump's Fauci-Free Palm Beach Utopia," by Tara for POLITICO Mag: "When I told a Breitbart reporter I would be leaving Covid-wracked New York and my cramped Brooklyn apartment to spend a month and a half in balmy Florida, he called me a 'political refugee in the land of RON DESANTIS .' I didn't know then how right he was. ...

"I found that name-dropping JASON MILLER — Trump's de facto post-presidential spokesman and gatekeeper — to a hostess could get you a better table at Palm Beach Grill. When I considered moving to Palm Beach permanently, it was a former Trump ambassador who tried to sell me real estate."

TV TONIGHT — PBS' "Washington Week" with Yamiche Alcindor: Eugene, Kasie Hunt, Susan Page and Manu Raju.

SUNDAY SO FAR …

ABC

"This Week": Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.). Panel: Cecilia Vega, Pierre Thomas, Mary Bruce and Rachel Scott.

FOX

"Fox News Sunday": Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.). Panel: Steve Hayes, Catherine Lucey and Juan Williams. Power Player: Edwin Fountain.

CBS

"Face the Nation": Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) … Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) … Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) … Chris Krebs … Scott Gottlieb.

MSNBC

"The Sunday Show": Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) … Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) … Rep. David Cicilline (D-R.I.) … Jane Harman … Jon Meacham … Jeh Johnson.

Gray TV

"Full Court Press": Sen. Mike Rounds (R-S.D.) … Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.).

CNN

"Inside Politics": Panel: Michael Shear, Jackie Kucinich, Manu Raju, Melanie Zanona and Leana Wen.

NBC

"Meet the Press": Panel: Peter Baker, Brendan Buck, Donna Edwards and Kristen Welker.

 

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PLAYBOOKERS

SPOTTED on the Hill on Thursday: Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's (R-Ga.) spokesperson video-recording reporters, which precipitated the following exchange:

Andrew Solender of Forbes: "Why is your spokesperson filming us?"

MTG: "Why are y'all filming and recording me?"

SPOTTED at Cafe Milano on Thursday night: Mike Pompeo … Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) … Rep. Jim Costa (D-Calif.) … Postmaster General Louis DeJoy.

SPOTTED: Reps. Steve Cohen (D-Tenn.), John Yarmuth (D-Ky.), Mary Gay Scanlon (D-Pa.), Madeline Dean (D-Pa.) and Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.) and U.S. Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan at a dinner hosted by Mercury co-chair and former Rep. Toby Moffett (D-Conn.) on Thursday. Pic

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Gladys Cisneros is now director and senior adviser for international labor at the White House National Security Council. She previously was Mexico director for the AFL-CIO's Solidarity Center.

Jessica Mackler is joining EMILY's List as VP of federal and gubernatorial campaigns for the 2022 midterms. She most recently ran independent expenditure operations for the Democratic Governors Association in 2020 and the DCCC in 2018.

TRANSITION — Ryan Thomas is now Midwest regional press secretary at the DNC. He previously was national press secretary for Stand Up America.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Mark Zuckerberg … Reps. Jackie Speier (D-Calif.) and Gary Palmer (R-Ala.) … Tom Donilon of O'Melveny & Myers … former Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-N.D.), now at Arent Fox … J.B. Poersch of Senate Majority PAC … Susie Wiles … WaPo's Eva Rodriguez … ABC's Karen Travers and Alexandra Svokos … CNN's David GellesRyan Travers … POLITICO's Carly Sitrin, Dari Gessner, David Guide and Charles FriendSam NewtonJon Vogel of MVAR Media … Sydney Thomas of Rep. Mark Green's (R-Tenn.) office … College to Congress' Audrey Henson Aneiry BatistaErwin ChemerinskyTyler Law ... former Reps. Erik Paulsen (R-Minn.), Mimi Walters (R-Calif.) and Alan Mollohan (D-W.Va.) ... Cassie Scher of Nahigian Strategies ... Markham's Elizabeth Kilgallin Harnik ... Brigit Helgen ... Bloomberg's Robert Levinson and Josh Eidelson ... Jesse Meisenhelter ... Kara Allen ... Judith BarnettBrian CanfieldTodd Reid Elizabeth Mulkey … former DHS Secretary Kirstjen NielsenJill Stein Howard Wolfson Alex Katz of Blackstone … Caleb Brock (2-0) … Twitter's Nick PacilioLenwood Brooks

Send Playbookers tips to playbook@politico.com. Playbook couldn't happen without our editor Mike Zapler, deputy editor Zack Stanton and producers Allie Bice, Eli Okun and Garrett Ross.

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