Friday, February 19, 2021

Robinhood feels vindicated — How states are leading on Covid — Yellen defends stimulus size

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Feb 19, 2021 View in browser
 
POLITICO Morning Money

By Ben White and Aubree Eliza Weaver

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Quick Fix

Robinhood feels vindicated — Robinhood took a bunch of verbal blows during that weird, glitch-filled virtual House hearing. But people close to the upstart online brokerage company say they came out feeling pretty good about the main allegation: That the firm halted trading in GameStop shares to favor lucrative hedge fund clients like Citadel.

Both Robinhood and Citadel took heat over their business models — including Citadel paying Robinhood for order flow — but the session produced no smoking gun evidence of collusion to block retail investors from buying shares during a frenzy that crushed GameStop short-sellers.

One person close to Robinhood told M.M.. that the hearing "pretty clearly put to rest any allegation that Robinhood acted to help hedge funds or other special interests to the detriment of Robinhood customers."

Via our Victoria Guida and Kellie Mejdrich: "Robinhood and Citadel sharply defended their business arrangement as a way of lowering costs for retail traders."

What may ACTUALLY have changed — Doesn't seem like the GameStop affair is likely to generate charges, legislation or significant new regulation. But it HAS kind of changed the nature of Wall Street. Via Michael Dyson, former senior counsel to FINRA and now a partner in Sullivan & Worcester's DC office:

"Retail investors should no longer be referred to as 'dumb money' because they are revolutionizing the market. A perfect example is GameStop as retail investors executed a sophisticated short squeeze."

Still there is more to come — Cap Alpha's Ian Katz: "Chairwoman Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) indicated that she will likely hold a couple more related sessions, including one featuring officials from the SEC and FINRA. That's when we'll hear about the potential outcomes" … Katz also noted the hearing had "the most audio feedback since Woodstock"

GOOD FRIDAY MORNING — Happy weekend all. Email me on bwhite@politico.com and follow me on Twitter @morningmoneyben. Email Aubree Eliza Weaver on aweaver@politico.com and follow her on Twitter @AubreeEWeaver.

 

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Driving the Day

HOW STATES ARE LEADING ON COVID — Please do check out POLITICO's new "Recovery Lab" project, which includes great reporting and analysis highlighting the most innovative ideas from all 50 states for promoting recovery from Covid-19.

"Truly deep and terrific including Joanne Kenen anchoring a high-altitude story about fixing long-standing problems in the health care system before the next catastrophe – including public health, primary care, data, & mental health."

MORE ON BARR AND THE OCC — The wonk-fight over who should become Comptroller of the Currency gets The Atlantic treatment via Ron Brownstein, who notes that Michael Barr's likely nomination "has become an unexpected flash point in the ongoing tussle between progressives and centrists over the direction of Biden's presidency … Barr is facing unexpectedly intense resistance from a younger generation of progressives."

YELLEN ON STIMULUS — Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to CNBC's Sara Eisen on whether the economy really needs $2 trillion more in stimulus: "I think it does. We have an unemployment rate that if properly measured in some sense, is really close to 10 percent.

"In addition to over 9 million people unemployed, we have 4 million who've dropped out of the labor force, another 2 million who have seen reduced hours. So, we're digging out of a deep hole. Last year was the worst year for economic growth since World War II."

WALL STREET PUSHES BAG ON OIL DIVESTMENT — Our Zachary Warmbrodt: "Wall Street executives signaled … that they will resist growing pressure to end financial support for fossil fuel producers and other carbon-intensive industries, setting up a clash with climate advocates pressing the Biden administration to crack down on the lending.

"Senior leaders from Bank of America, BlackRock and other financial firms outlined their views at an event framed around new sustainability recommendations that a coalition of prominent industry groups released in a bid to shape the administration's climate policy."

BIG TECH GOING BACK TO CONGRESS — Our John Hendel: "Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Google CEO Sundar Pichai and Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey have agreed to testify remotely next month at a House hearing on misinformation and disinformation — the latest in what has become a series of Capitol Hill grillings for major Silicon Valley executives.

"The House Energy and Commerce Committee announced Thursday that the virtual hearing will occur March 25. The session comes weeks after the violent Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol, which fueled a Democratic uproar over the amount of planning that transpired openly on both major and fringe online platforms"

MORE ON BIDEN'S MINIMUM WAGE WALK BACK — Our Natasha Korecki and Christopher Cadelago: "When Joe Biden met with a group of mayors and governors last week he bluntly told them to get ready for a legislative defeat: his proposed minimum wage hike was unlikely to happen, he said, at least in the near term.

"'I really want this in there but it just doesn't look like we can do it because of reconciliation,' Biden told the group, according to a person in the room. 'I'm not going to give up. But right now, we have to prepare for this not making it.' The comments, which were confirmed by two other people familiar with the conversation, were the furthest Biden has gone in conceding the coming axing of the $15-an-hour minimum wage provision"

Markets

WALL STREET CLOSES DOWN ON TECH SLIDE — Reuters' Herbert Lash: "Stocks on Wall Street closed lower on Thursday as investors shifted out of big technology names, while an unexpected rise in weekly U.S. jobless claims pointed to a fragile recovery in the labor market.

"Shares of Apple Inc, Tesla Inc and Facebook Inc weighed the most on both the benchmark S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq. Facebook shares dropped 1.5 percent to $269.39 as Wall Street assessed the wider ramifications of its move to block all news content in Australia."

TINY-COMPANY BOOM MAKES MARKETS LOOK SILLY — WSJ's James Mackintosh: "Stocks come and go, but every year a few tiny companies get promoted to the small-capitalization indexes. Some eventually make it all the way to the S&P 500. What they don't do is go in the space of 18 months from being a penny stock with a market value of $39 million to be worth more than a dozen S&P 500 companies, yet that is exactly what FuelCell Energy Inc. has done. FuelCell isn't alone."

 

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Fly Around

ROBINHOOD CEO DEFENDS ACTIONS IN GAMESTOP SAGA AT HEARING — AP's Marcy Gordon and Alex Veiga: "The CEO of Robinhood defended the trading platform to Congress Thursday for its actions during the GameStop trading saga, while apologizing to customers for restricting their ability to trade at the height of the frenzy.

"Members of the House Financial Services Committee questioned a panel of six witnesses appearing remotely. They asked about whether the extreme volatility in the shares of the struggling video-game retailer exposed conflicts in the market's structure that can hurt unsophisticated investors."

Meanwhile AOC questioned if free Robinhood trades are really free — Bloomberg's Jeff Kearns: "Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez told Robinhood Chief Executive Officer Vlad Tenev that his firm's faulty business practices undercut its promise of free trades, while urging him to share revenue it makes selling stock orders with customers."

Yellen he also said that the SEC will prepare a report on retail trading volatility — Reuters: "Yellen said … that an increased prevalence of zero-commission trading has spurred retail investors to get more involved in stocks, and the Securities and Exchange Commission will prepare a report on trading practices amid recent volatility."

FED'S BRAINARD: CLIMATE CHANGE ALREADY AFFECTING ECONOMY — WSJ's Michael S. Derby: "Federal Reserve governor Lael Brainard said Thursday the economy and financial system are already being affected by climate change, and said the central bank is ramping up work to ensure the financial system can deal with the risks that lay ahead of it.

"'Climate change is already imposing substantial economic costs and is projected to have a profound effect on the economy at home and abroad,' Ms. Brainard said in a speech."

FORMER SEC CHAIR JAY CLAYTON JOINING APOLLO — NYT's Matthew Goldstein: "Jay Clayton, the former Securities and Exchange Commission chairman, will serve as the lead independent director of Apollo Global Management, the private equity firm said on Thursday. The move is intended to improve the Wall Street firm's governance in the wake of the revelation that Leon Black, one of the firm's co-founders, had paid $158 million in fees to the registered sex offender Jeffrey Epstein."

A DEEPER DIVE ON HIGH-FLYING STOCKS — Nasdaq Chief Economist Phil Mackintosh examines what happens to stocks that rally significantly in a short period of time.

 

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Ben White @morningmoneyben

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