Monday, January 11, 2021

Austin discloses financial ties — Reassessing nuclear authority — UAE’s F-35 contract coming

Delivered daily by 10 a.m., Morning Defense examines the latest news in defense policy and politics.
Jan 11, 2021 View in browser
 
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By Bryan Bender and Sarah Cammarata

With Connor O'Brien and Jacqueline Feldscher

Editor's Note: Morning Defense is a free version of POLITICO Pro Defense's morning newsletter, which is delivered to our subscribers each morning at 6 a.m. The POLITICO Pro platform combines the news you need with tools you can use to take action on the day's biggest stories. Act on the news with POLITICO Pro.

Quick Fix

Lloyd Austin reveals he has a big pay day coming from Raytheon as the defense secretary nominee prepares to face the House and Senate.

Donald Trump's irrational behavior has reignited the debate over whether having a single nuclear launch authority is rational.

An F-35 sale to the United Arab Emirates is coming, but expect the Biden administration to stall it.

IT'S MONDAY AND WELCOME BACK TO MORNING DEFENSE, where we will never get tired of Norman Lear, a true American patriot — for far more than those 52 bombing missions over Germany and Italy in World War II. We're always on the lookout for tips, pitches and feedback. Email us at bbender@politico.com and scammarata@politico.com. And follow on Twitter @bryandbender, @sarahjcamm, @morningdefense and @politicopro.

On the Hill

TRUMP FACES SECOND IMPEACHMENT: The House of Representatives is on the verge of impeaching Trump for a second time, this time for his incitement of a mob that ransacked the U.S. Capitol last week.

As House Democrats ready articles of impeachment, some Republican lawmakers have also called for the president to leave office before his term ends next week, POLITICO's Nolan McCaskill reports.

But some top Democrats are also concerned that an impeachment trial could slow the confirmation of Biden's Cabinet and passage of major legislation, such as more coronavirus relief, in a Democratic-led Senate.

The Latest: Speaker Nancy Pelosi to move forward with impeachment if Pence doesn't act to remove Trump, via POLITICO's Sarah Ferris, Heather Caygle and Kyle Cheney.

PAIR OF AUSTIN HEARINGS SET: Austin will testify before the House Armed Services Committee on Jan. 21 about civilian control of the military, ensuring the retired general will not be granted a waiver and be confirmed as the department's top civilian in time for Joe Biden's inauguration a day earlier.

"I am reassured that Secretary-designate Austin shares my commitment to civilian control of the military and will do what it takes to uphold this cherished principle once confirmed by the Senate," Rep. Adam Smith, the panel's chair, said in a statement reiterating his support for Austin despite requiring a waiver from both houses of Congress to fill the post.

On Tuesday, the Senate Armed Services Committee will hold a hearing on civilian control of the military and has scheduled its confirmation hearing for Austin for Jan. 19.

'Too important to expedite': Austin is not expected to get an easy ride before the House panel, where there is growing concern that Democratic leaders could short-circuit the process for a waiver and bring a vote directly to the floor.

"An issue of such historical significance cannot be rushed," 10 GOP members of the Armed Services Committee led by Rep. Jim Banks wrote to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi on Friday. "A waiver for a military leader to serve as the Secretary of Defense has only occurred twice and deserves significant discussion."

They added: "Given the important and historic nature of the waiver, we urge you to allocate enough time for deliberation on the House Armed Services Committee and the House floor. Civilian oversight of our armed forces is too important to expedite."

THE RAYTHEON QUESTION: Austin will recuse himself from decisions affecting Raytheon for one year if confirmed, according to an agreement released by the Office of Government Ethics on Sunday.

But he may still get as much as $1.7 million in payments from the major defense contractor, where he has served on the board of directors, according to related financial disclosures first reported by Bloomberg.

Austin also earned at least $200,000 from serving on an advisory board for Booz Allen Hamilton, another top Pentagon contractor, the disclosures show. And he has also agreed to "forfeit financial interests" in Pine Island Capital Advisors, an investment firm that also includes a series of other Biden appointees. His private consulting firm, Austin Strategy Group, will also be folded.

Still, we doubt the moves will settle all the concerns on Capitol Hill and among watchdog groups about his potential conflicts of interests.

Read up: Austin's ethics agreement | Financial disclosure

Happening Today

The Surface Navy Association's annual symposium begins online with appearances from Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday and Reps. Joe Courtney and Rob Wittman. The full agenda for the week-long conference also includes Coast Guard Commandant Adm. Karl Schultz and Assistant Secretary of the Navy James Geurts.

Happening This Week

On Tuesday, the Senate Armed Services Committee holds a hearing with experts on civilian control of the military ahead of Austin's confirmation at 9:30 a.m.

And the Stimson Center and Arms Control Association hold a virtual forum on "Advancing More Responsible Arms Trade Policy" with Democratic Reps. Ilhan Omar and Ted Lieu starting at 2:30 p.m.

On Wednesday, the Wilson Center hosts a discussion on "Joe Biden's Tough Challenges in Iran" featuring Ambassador James Jeffrey at 10:30 a.m.

Army Chief of Staff Gen. James McConville headlines a Heritage Foundation event on preparing the Army for great power competition at 11 a.m.

The Southern California Aerospace Professional Representatives discuss the state of the Space and Missile Systems Center with Lt. Gen. John Thompson at 3 p.m.

On Thursday, the American Security Project convenes a webinar on great power competition featuring Republican Rep. Don Bacon and retired Adm. William Fallon, former head of U.S. Central Command, at 9:30 a.m.

And the Heritage Foundation hosts a discussion on "Why America Needs the Long Range Standoff Weapon" with Air Force Lt. Gen. James Dawkins at 1 p.m.

On Friday, the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute interviews Rep. Liz Cheney on U.S. foreign policy at 3 p.m.

For a full rundown of events check out the Pro Calendar.

 

A NEW YEAR, A NEW CONGRESS, A NEW HUDDLE: It was an ugly and heartbreaking week inside the Capitol, particularly for all of those who work on the Hill. How are lawmakers planning to move forward? How will security change? How will a new Senate majority impact the legislative agenda? With so much at stake, our new Huddle author Olivia Beavers brings you the most important news and critical insight from Capitol Hill with help from POLITICO's deeply sourced Congress team. Subscribe to Huddle, the essential guide to understanding Congress. It has never been more important. SUBSCRIBE NOW.

 
 
The Capitol Riot

'CHANGES IN POSTURE': Thousands of National Guard troops from Pennsylvania, Maryland, New York and Virginia have joined those from D.C. to ensure what took place last week at the U.S. Capitol doesn't happen again. And this time they have brought their weapons.

"We are not carrying weapons now, but any changes in posture will be determined by intel reports and risk assessment," Air National Guard Senior Master Sgt. Craig Clapper, a D.C. National Guard spokesperson, told Military Times on Sunday.

On Sunday, Rep. Jason Crow (D-Colo.) released a summary of a call he had with Army Secretary Ryan McCarthy, and said DoD "is aware of further possible threats posed by would-be terrorists in the days up to and including Inauguration Day and is working with local and federal law enforcement to coordinate security preparations."

Officials are clearly concerned about being caught off-guard again. The Pentagon acknowledged over the weekend that a quick-reaction force on standby at the time was not prepared to respond due to a lack of planning, The Washington Post reported.

"We receive our intelligence from law enforcement agencies, whether they're federal or local," McCarthy said, adding that Defense Department officials didn't in their "wildest imagination" envision the crowd breaching the Capitol grounds.

But Maryland's Republican Gov. Larry Hogan also said Sunday he remained baffled by the confusion in approving National Guard help last week. "All I know is that we were trying to get answers and we weren't getting answers. It could have been just the fog of what's going on," he told CNN on Sunday, POLITICO's David Cohen reported.

As the dust settles there are also growing concerns about the role that military veterans played in the riot, including a retired Air Force officer who told The New Yorker that "the President asked for his supporters to be there to attend, and I felt like it was important, because of how much I love this country, to actually be there."

But he denied that he had planned for the protest to turn violent, despite being photographed carrying zip ties inside the building.

Related: The Capitol Hill insurrection reveals veterans are at war against themselves, via Task & Purpose.

And: San Diego veteran's radical path led to Trump, QAnon and deadly insurrection, via The Los Angeles Times.

Plus: How Ashli Babbitt is being turned into a far-right recruiting tool, via Time.

NUCLEAR ANXIETY: The rising alarm about the president's mental state quickly extended to concerns about whether he can be trusted as the sole authority to order the use of nuclear weapons — or if any president should be.

Pelosi sought assurances on Friday in a discussion with Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Mark Milley "about available precautions for preventing an unstable president from initiating military hostilities or accessing the launch codes and ordering a nuclear strike," she told fellow lawmakers in a letter, our colleagues Connor O'Brien and Jacqueline Feldscher reported.

'One fallible human': Adding their voice to the debate were former Defense Secretary William Perry and Tom Collina, director of policy at the Ploughshares Fund, who laid out a series of recommendations in a POLITICO op-ed on how to reduce the danger of an unchecked commander in chief.

"Once Biden is sworn in as president, the nuclear football will be his," they added. "It will then be up to Biden to retire the football and ensure that we never again entrust the most powerful killing machine ever created to just one fallible human."

Not everyone considered it a wise or even a realistic discussion to have at this sensitive juncture. "We've seen him do some crazy things, but let's not start dragging out things like nuclear codes," Colin Powell told NBC's "Today" show, referring to Trump. "I was the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and I can tell you for sure that if something like this ever happened and someone suddenly said, 'We want to use a nuclear weapon,' they would never get near it."

"It makes America look weak and weakness is provocative," added a Defense Department official who advises nuclear commanders. "I don't think what Pelosi is doing is helpful."

Related: How Trump's exile from social media alters the future of politics, security, and public health, via Defense One.

PENTAGON ACCOUNTABILITY OR REVENGE? Maryland's senators on Friday urged acting Defense Secretary Chris Miller not to fire the head of the Defense Department's medical school, expressing concern such a move would be "retribution for his advocacy on behalf of military medicine," Feldscher reports.

The Pentagon says it is seeking to fire Dr. Richard Thomas over "poor judgement" in his supervision of subordinates. But Thomas' supporters insist he is being penalized for fighting against proposed budget cuts to the university.

"His removal at this particular time appears to be retribution for his advocacy on behalf of military medicine," Chris Van Hollen and Ben Cardin wrote. "We urge you in the strongest possible terms to review this action immediately."

Transition 2021

'REJECTED BY THE SENATE': One of Biden's top picks for the State Department is facing an uproar for her role in supporting anti-government elements in Ukraine during her stint in the Obama administration, when Kyiv was allied with Vladimir Putin's Russia

Victoria Nuland, a Russia hawk who is Biden's pick to be undersecretary of State for political affairs, is being accused of "facilitating a coup" against Ukraine's democratically elected government by 25 anti-war and peace groups who are critical of U.S. foreign policy.

Nuland "should not be nominated for Undersecretary of State, and if nominated should be rejected by the Senate," the groups wrote on Sunday. They also blasted her past positions, including as an aide to then-Vice President Dick Cheney, on missile defense and arms control.

Related: Biden's NSC to focus on global health, climate, cyber and human rights, as well as China and Russia, via The Washington Post.

And: Biden inaugural committee includes Google, Microsoft, Boeing, via POLITICO's Kelly Hooper.

Industry Intel

'ON THAT TRAJECTORY': The Trump administration is planning to formalize a contract to sell F-35s to the United Arab Emirates before Trump leaves office, Defense News reported Friday.

"Everything is on that trajectory," R. Clarke Cooper, assistant secretary of state for political-military affairs, told reporters. The $23 billion would include up to 50 F-35 jets, 18 MQ-9B drones and $10 billion worth of munitions.

Biden could still stop or stall the package. The new president would have "a lot of unilateral power" to indefinitely pause the sale until the planes are actually delivered, experts told POLITICO recently. And Secretary of State-designate Tony Blinken has indicated he will be studying the deal "very, very carefully" if confirmed.

 

KEEP UP WITH THE FIRST 100 DAYS OF THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION WITH TRANSITION PLAYBOOK: It was a dark week in American history, and a new administration will have to pick up the pieces. Transition Playbook brings you inside the last days of this crucial transfer of power, tracking the latest from President-elect Biden and his growing administration. Written for political insiders, this scoop-filled newsletter breaks big news and analyzes the appointments, people, and the emerging power centers of the new administration. Track the transition and the first 100 days of the incoming Biden administration. Subscribe today.

 
 
Quote of the day

"I cannot continue to serve in an administration at a time in which some are willing to condone, or even to incite, violent insurrection against the country I hold dear and whose Constitution I have taken a sacred oath to support and defend." — From the resignation letter of Chris Ford, assistant secretary of State for international security and nonproliferation.

Speed Read

D.C. mayor pushes for enhanced security surrounding Inauguration Day: POLITICO

Pentagon appoints Trump loyalist to Confederate base renaming commission: POLITICO

Navy's priciest carrier ever struggles to get jets on, off deck: Bloomberg

Nebraska bid to attract Space Command includes $107 million incentive: The Associated Press

Matsui urges Biden to clean up the Trump era's 'untenable' 5G chaos: POLITICO Pro

Trump Administration adds Pentagon 'Space Force' to U.S. spy agency group: Reuters

These U.S. troops survived one of the greatest crises of the Trump era. A year later, they're still coping: The Washington Post

Pompeo voids restrictions on contacts with Taiwan: The Associated Press

Were these the fingerprints of a terrorist? The New York Times

Theodore 'Ted' Lumpkin dies at 100; member of the WWII Tuskegee Airmen: The Los Angeles Times

 

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Bryan Bender @bryandbender

Connor O'Brien @connorobriennh

Jacqueline Feldscher @jacqklimas

Lara Seligman @laraseligman

 

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