Monday, November 9, 2020

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Indexes Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
Dow Jones Industrial Average 29157.97 +834.57 +3.04%
NASDAQ Composite 11713.78 -181.45 -1.63%
S&P 500 3550.50 +41.06 +1.22%
SPDR S&P 500 354.58 +4.42 +1.32%
iShares Russell 2000 ETF 169.69 +6.07 +3.79%
U.S. STOCK INDEXES

GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: U.S. stock indexes closed mixed today, with the S&P 500 hitting a new record high and the Nasdaq closing weaker. Pfizer this morning announced a Covid-19 vaccine trial of around 44,000 subjects that is 90% effective gave the stock markets a strong boost from earlier overnight gains. It seems this is finally the good news the global marketplace had been awaiting for months- during a grim period when the pandemic appears to be worsening in places like the U.S. and Europe. It could well be that the apparently successful Covid-19 vaccine will prompt faster and stronger economic recoveries in the coming months-but not before more stimulus from major governments will be needed to get through a still dark winter period in the Northern Hemisphere that will still see significant Covid-19 economic damage inflicted. All of the above add up to higher odds for problematic price inflation occurring in the months ahead, which would be bullish for raw commodity markets. It's hard to fathom that all of the central bank monetary policy stimulus, including most Americans getting $1,250 checks in the mail a few months ago, will not go without a reckoning. The U.S. dollar index is solidly higher today after hitting a nine- week low overnight. The other important outside market sees crude oil prices sharply higher and trading around $40.50 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note has risen today is currently fetching 0.82%. The marketplace overnight was calmer to start the trading week. Joe Biden was declared the winner of the U.S. presidential election on Saturday, and it appears his margin of victory is growing by the day, as the ballot-counting continues. The marketplace still reckons control of the U.S. Congress will be split, with Democrats having the majority in the House of Representatives and the Senate tilting slightly to the Republicans-even though there is a chance the Democrats could take the Senate due to still-contested Senate seats. Stock markets tend to like gridlock and no major shifts in fiscal policy. While the specter of more U.S. government regulation of businesses under a Biden administration is a negative for the stock market, that is being offset by notions Biden will be a more stable force on the U.S. global policy front. The Chinese yuan hit a more-than-two- year high Monday on ideas the U.S.-China relations will improve under Biden.



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