| | | | | |  | | By Anna Palmer, Jake Sherman, Eli Okun and Garrett Ross | Presented by |  | | | YOU HEARD IT RIGHT: The White House is actually considering holding a large-scale event on the South Lawn this evening to honor AMY CONEY BARRETT'S confirmation to the Supreme Court. A source told us the guest list is not small. President Donald Trump is saying otherwise, via Caitlin Oprysko YES, THERE MUST BE SOMEONE who thinks this is a good idea. Why? Good question. BARRETT is likely to be confirmed to the Supreme Court this evening in a 7:25 p.m. vote. VP MIKE PENCE and KAREN PENCE tested negative for the coronavirus this morning. BUT THE VP will not be coming to the Capitol this evening to preside over the vote. More from Burgess Everett -- WAPO'S SEUNG MIN KIM: "Trump's conservative imprint on the federal judiciary gives Democrats a playbook — if they win" SPEAKER NANCY PELOSI and Treasury Secretary STEVEN MNUCHIN will speak today at 2 p.m. about Covid relief. -- THE COMMITTEES have made some progress, but not enough to make a deal anywhere near imminent, multiple sources say -- unless one side caves. -- SENATE APPROPRIATIONS CHAIR RICHARD SHELBY (R-Ala.), via the Capitol Hill pool: "[W]e're leaving this afternoon -- later tonight, whenever --- and we'll come back in November. The question might be, will there be something then?" THE PRESIDENT this morning: "We have made tremendous progress with the China Virus, but the Fake News refuses to talk about it this close to the Election. COVID, COVID, COVID is being used by them, in total coordination, in order to change our great early election numbers.Should be an election law violation!" -- IT DEFINITELY SHOULD NOT be an election law violation to report on anything. Roughly 42,000 people are hospitalized with the disease nationwide, and the numbers are getting worse. -- W.H. CHIEF OF STAFF MARK MEADOWS this morning, per pooler Jerry Zremski of The Buffalo News: "Well, the only person waving a white flag along with his white mask is Joe Biden. We're going to defeat the virus; we're not going to control it." More from Quint Forgey BEYOND THE BELTWAY -- "As the coronavirus surges, it is reaching into the nation's last untouched areas," by WaPo's Karin Brulliard: "Months after it raced in successive waves along the nation's coasts and through the Sun Belt, it is reaching deep into its final frontier — the nation's most sparsely populated states and counties, where distance from others has long been part of the appeal and this year had appeared to be a buffer against a deadly communicable disease." WaPo THE RIPPLE EFFECTS … NBC'S GRETCHEN MORGENSON: "From early September to Oct. 17, despite the CDC eviction ban, almost 10,000 eviction actions have been filed in 23 counties in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee and Texas by large corporate landlords … "After at least one landlord group lobbied the Trump administration, the CDC clarified its ban on Oct. 9, opening the door for still more such actions. New eviction filings have jumped since then, court records show." NBC Good Monday afternoon. | | A message from the Partnership for America's Health Care Future: Lowering costs is voters' highest priority when it comes to health care, but the public option could force the average worker to pay $2,500 a year more in payroll taxes in addition to the cost of their current coverage. Get the facts. | | | JARED KUSHNER talking about Black people on Fox News this morning: "President Trump's policies are the policies that can help people break out of the problems that they're complaining about, but he can't want them to be successful more than they want to be successful." AP/MINNEAPOLIS, citing the Lewis campaign: "Republican U.S. Senate candidate Jason Lewis of Minnesota in emergency surgery for severe internal hernia" HEADS UP -- "Trump federal salary adviser quits post over executive order reclassifying workers," by Eleanor Mueller: "The head of an advisory council on federal pay resigned from his post Monday in protest over President Donald Trump's recent executive order stripping civil service protections from key federal workers. … "The executive order, issued Wednesday, stripped job protections for many federal workers in a move that unions and Democrats denounced as an attempt to politicize the civil service." POLITICO … Ron Sanders' letter ON THE TRAIL -- "Melania Trump to travel to Pennsylvania in final stretch of campaign," by Fox News' Brooke Singman: "The first lady is traveling … to Atglen, Penn. Tuesday, for what will be her first solo campaign stop this year, where she will participate in a campaign event with former counselor to President Trump, Kellyanne Conway." THE MAIL-IN MESS -- "How Delayed Is Your Mail-In Ballot?" by WSJ's Vanessa Qian, Rob Barry and Denise Blostein: "The U.S. Postal Service has urged voters to mail in their presidential ballots at least a week before their state's due date in order to be counted. But that might not be enough time … "Of the 29 states that require mail-in ballots to arrive on or before election day, 28 have since late July seen periods of average delivery times exceeding six days, the Journal analysis found. Among them are battleground states like Florida, Arizona, Wisconsin and Georgia." WSJ SCOTUS WATCH -- "Missing From Supreme Court's Election Cases: Reasons for Its Rulings," by NYT's Adam Liptak: "At least nine times since April, the Supreme Court has issued rulings in election disputes. Or perhaps 'rulings' is too generous a word for those unsigned orders … Most of the orders, issued on what scholars call the court's 'shadow docket,' did not bother to supply even a whisper of reasoning. … "Lower courts have struggled to make sense of the court's orders, which are something less than precedents but nonetheless cannot be ignored by responsible judges. Is it possible to trace some themes in the court's election orders? Sure. One is that Republicans tend to win. Another, as Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh wrote in a concurring opinion this month, speaking only for himself, is that 'federal courts ordinarily should not alter state election rules in the period close to an election.'" NYT HMM -- "FBI Sits on Report Detailing White-Supremacist Terror Threat," by The Daily Beast's Spencer Ackerman: "The FBI has failed to produce a legally required report detailing the scope of white supremacist and other domestic terrorism, despite mounting concerns that the upcoming election could spark far-right violence. … "[S]uspicion is building that the FBI, whose director Christopher Wray is on the outs with Trump, will keep the public from seeing the scope of its premier terror threat before an election that may feature violence emerging from it." Daily Beast FOR YOUR RADAR -- @kyledcheney: "JUST IN: Two House chairs say they've confirmed POMPEO is being investigated for violating the Hatch Act in connection to his RNC address from Jerusalem." | | | | A NEWSLETTER FOCUSED ON GLOBAL HEALTH: At a high-stakes moment when global health has become a household concern, it is pivotal to keep up with the politics and policy creating change. Global Pulse connects leaders, policymakers, and advocates to the people and politics driving global health. Join the conversation and subscribe today for this new weekly newsletter. | | | | | PROMISES MADE -- "Trump's Carrier deal fades as economic reality intervenes," by WaPo's David Lynch in Indianapolis and Monterrey, Mexico: "The Carrier plant in Indianapolis is where outsourcing was supposed to have stopped. Within days of winning the 2016 election, Donald Trump persuaded the company — in return for $7 million in Indiana state incentives and some presidential goodwill — to keep in the United States most of the 1,100 jobs it had planned to ship to Mexico. … "Four years later, it's proven to be nothing of the sort. This year alone, Indiana employers have sent more jobs to Mexico, China, India and other foreign countries than were saved at Carrier. Without headlines or presidential notice, at least 17 companies … have closed plants or otherwise reduced employment in Indiana and moved jobs abroad … Trump has had little success with his highly-personalized attempts to bend corporate decision making to his will and reverse a generation-long decline in American factory jobs." WaPo TIM ALBERTA talks to Rep. ELISSA SLOTKIN (D-Mich.) about this precarious moment and the threats America is facing over the next few months. THE AMERICANS WE'RE NOT TALKING ABOUT -- "They Did Not Vote in 2016. Why They Plan on Skipping the Election Again," by NYT's Sabrina Tavernise and Robert Gebeloff in East Stroudsburg, Pa.: "In interviews in Monroe County this month, some of the people who did not vote in 2016 said they planned to vote this year. The stakes were too high to miss it, they said. … "But many others said they would not. They expressed a profound distrust of politics and doubted their vote would have an effect. They felt a sense of foreboding about the country and saw politics as one of the main forces doing the threatening. Many were not particularly partisan, and said they shrank from people who were. … Like many people interviewed for this article, [Susan] Miller was scrambling to pay rent and buy groceries. … Two close relatives have died of Covid-19. 'Politics? It's the least of my worries,' she said." NYT -- FIVETHIRTYEIGHT: "Why Many Americans Don't Vote," by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Jasmine Mithani and Laura Bronner DATA DIVE -- "What the 2020 electorate looks like by party, race and ethnicity, age, education and religion," by the Pew Research Center's John Gramlich WAPO: "Seeking power in Jesus' name: Trump sparks a rise of 'Patriot Churches,'" by Sarah Pulliam Bailey in Knoxville, Tenn.: "While most White conservative Christian churches might only touch on politics around election time and otherwise choose to keep the focus during worship on God, politics and religion are inseparable here. The Tennessee congregation is one of three Patriot Churches that formed in September. The other two are near Liberty University in Lynchburg, Va., and in Spokane, Wash. ... "The Patriot Churches belong to what religion experts describe as a loosely organized Christian nationalist movement that has flourished under President Trump. ... For many churchgoers in suburban Knoxville, the political boldness in worship is a breath of fresh air. They complain that social media restricts their free speech, and they fear government-mandated vaccines. And whether Trump wins or loses, religion experts believe these Americans are building powerful networks that are expected to endure long after Trump has left the White House." WaPo SWING-STATE DISPATCH -- "The Coronavirus Is Pushing Women Out Of Work And Away From Trump," by BuzzFeed's Molly Hensley-Clancy in West Allis, Wis.: "In the suburbs and exurbs of Milwaukee, a part of the country that will play a vital role in the presidential election, nearly a dozen well-educated white women spoke to BuzzFeed News of the virus as an inescapable force in their daily lives. For them there is no distraction. And the worries — particularly about their children — are ever-present … "For Wisconsin women who are skeptical of the coronavirus's seriousness, though, the economic problem is not Trump — it's Democrats." BuzzFeed | | | | SUBSCRIBE TO TRANSITION PLAYBOOK: We're excited to launch a newsletter written for insiders that will track the appointments, the people, and the power centers of the next administration. Both Team Biden and Team Trump have been working behind the scenes for months vetting potential nominees and drafting policy agendas. Transition Playbook takes you inside those preparations, personnel decisions, and policy deliberations. Don't miss out, subscribe today. | | | | | BATTLE FOR THE SENATE -- "Jaime Harrison bets on 'New South' coalition in his against-the-odds bid to oust Sen. Lindsey Graham," by WaPo's Robert Samuels in Fort Mill, S.C.: "Central to Harrison's wager is that the same state that elected vocal segregationists to hold the very seat he is seeking, the seat now held by one of President Trump's most prominent defenders, is prepared to take its place as a trendsetter in a changing South. And he is making race a central element of his closing argument." HOW WE VOTE -- "Inside Decades of Nepotism and Bungling at the N.Y.C. Elections Board," by NYT's Brian Rosenthal and Michael Rothfeld: "The official who oversees voter registration in New York City is the 80-year-old mother of a former congressman. The director of Election Day operations is a close friend of Manhattan's Republican chairwoman. The head of ballot management is the son of a former Brooklyn Democratic district leader. And the administrative manager is the wife of a City Council member. "As the workings of American democracy have become more complex — with sophisticated technology, early voting and the threat of foreign interference — New York has clung to a century-old system of local election administration that is one of the last vestiges of pure patronage in government, a relic from the era of powerful political clubhouses and Tammany Hall. Already this year, the New York City Board of Elections failed to mail out many absentee ballots until the day before the primary, disenfranchising voters, and sent erroneous general election ballot packages to many other residents, spreading confusion." NYT VALLEY TALK -- "Big Tech's biggest critics are racing to raise money for Biden's campaign," by WaPo's Tony Romm: "The group includes Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and other state and federal officials, as well as academics including Tim Wu and activists like Roger McNamee, a prominent early Facebook investor. They aim to host a fundraiser for Biden on Tuesday, according to an invite, hoping a fresh injection of campaign cash in the final days of the 2020 race might further nudge the Democratic presidential candidate in their direction." WaPo CLICKER -- "Printing the Franchise," by Malia Wollan in the NYT Magazine with photos by Christopher Payne: "The 2020 presidential election will require more absentee ballots than any election in American history. Where do they all come from?" KNOWING ANONYMOUS -- "Enablement: The tortured self-justification of one very powerful Trump-loathing anonymous Republican," by N.Y. Mag's Olivia Nuzzi THE NEW COLD WAR -- "China to Sanction U.S. Weapons Makers Over Taiwan Sales," by WSJ's Chun Han Wong in Hong Kong LATEST IN THE CAUCASUS -- AP: "Armenia, Azerbaijan accuse each other of truce violations," by Avet Demourian in Yerevan, Armenia: "The truce that took effect Monday morning was agreed upon on Sunday after talks facilitated by the United States. It was a third attempt to establish a lasting cease-fire in the flare-up of a decades-old conflict. Two previous Russia-brokered cease-fires, including one last weekend, frayed immediately after taking force, with both sides blaming each other for violations." TRANSITIONS -- Christopher O'Hagan is now White House liaison at the Office of National Drug Control Policy. He previously was a confidential assistant at USDA. … Molly Millerwise Meiners is now a partner at the Brunswick Group. She previously was chief comms officer at the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation, and is a Treasury alum. | | | | A message from the Partnership for America's Health Care Future:   The public option could raise your taxes by an average of $2,500/year in addition to the cost of your current health coverage and care. 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