Tuesday, December 17, 2024

One of Wall Street's Most Hated Stock is Setting up for an Explosive Move

Trade of the Day Wake-Up Watchlist

"When I see this level of technical alignment combined with extreme bearish positioning, the potential for explosive moves increases dramatically."

Nate Bear, Lead Technical Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Nate Bear

When multiple technical factors align with powerful fundamental shifts, experienced traders know to pay close attention.

That's exactly what we're seeing with Carvana (CVNA) right now, as it tests its 52-week highs around $268.34.

What makes this setup particularly intriguing is the combination of a daily squeeze signal forming near these highs, coupled with a 11.6% short float.

When we see compression patterns developing at crucial resistance levels, combined with this level of short interest, the potential for an explosive move increases significantly.

Thanks to the S.A.M. AI Scanner doing the heavy lifting, I was able to quickly identify this high-probability setup before most traders noticed the confluence of signals.

Technical Framework

 

Compression at Critical Levels

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The technical picture in CVNA is particularly compelling, with price action tightening near significant resistance.

What makes this setup special is the decreasing volatility combined with persistent upward pressure - a classic pattern that often precedes substantial moves.

EMA Configuration

The stacked EMAs on both daily and weekly timeframes tell a powerful story.

This orderly arrangement of moving averages creates multiple layers of dynamic support, giving us clear areas to manage risk. When we see this kind of perfect technical alignment, it often signals strong institutional interest.

Squeeze Signal

Our daily timeframe is showing a squeeze signal, suggesting energy is building beneath the surface. These compression patterns, especially when formed during strong uptrends, often lead to explosive moves.

Short Interest Factor

CVNA's short interest adds another compelling layer to this opportunity. With 11.6% of its float sold short, CVNA ranks as one of Wall Street's most hated stocks.

When we see this level of bearish positioning combined with bullish technical alignment and a squeeze forming near highs, the potential for an explosive move increases significantly.

Think of it like a pressure cooker - each uptick in price can force short sellers to cover their positions, potentially creating a snowball effect of buying pressure.

This high short interest, coupled with our technical setup, could provide additional fuel for any breakout

Fundamental Backdrop

While I typically focus on technicals, it's worth noting CVNA's remarkable fundamental shift.

The company's operating leverage has surprised many, driving profitability faster than expected. Their ADESA acquisition has strengthened their nationwide reconditioning network, creating significant operational advantages.

Key Catalysts

  • Accelerating profitability trajectory
  • Operational efficiency improvements
  • Strong market positioning
  • Perfect technical alignment

Your Action Plan

The current setup in CVNA is exactly what we look for:

  • Daily squeeze formation
  • Stacked EMAs showing trend strength
  • Clear technical structure

The S.A.M. AI Scanner caught this setup early, highlighting the squeeze formation and technical alignment before most traders noticed.

This is precisely why we developed the scanner - to identify these high-probability setups when they first emerge.

Want to catch these setups before they make major moves?

Click here to learn how the S.A.M. AI Scanner can transform your trading by identifying powerful technical setups in real-time.

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