| Plenty of uncertainty looms over the House, where just a handful of calls in competitive races were made by The Associated Press on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. It may be days or weeks until the majority is determined, due in part to close races in states that take longer to count ballots, like Arizona and California. Some of these close races may be subject to recounts, depending on the individual states’ rules. Two incumbents were ousted as of early Wednesday: Reps. Marc Molinaro and Brandon Williams , New York Republicans who were representing seats that President Joe Biden won in 2020. Democrats have worked overtime to flip back seats in deep-blue New York (and California) that Republicans claimed in the midterms. For months, neither party has had a significant edge, and both sides predicted modest gains if they get control of the House. And now, all eyes will be on the lower chamber to determine if Trump will get a unified government, or be plagued with a split Congress. Here are some of the key races that are still outstanding, as of early Wednesday morning: — Red districts: Three Democrats representing seats that Trump won in 2020 by 3 points or more — Reps. Mary Peltola of Alaska, Jared Golden of Maine and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez of Washington — were still waiting to find out their political fate. In the case of Alaska, if a candidate does not receive more than 50 percent of the vote, the candidate with the lowest number of votes will be eliminated and their votes will be reallocated, per voters’ rankings. The ranked choice voting tabulations will be calculated Nov. 20 to account for absentee ballots. There were still tight races in open CO-03; MT-01, held by Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke; PA-10, held by Republican Rep. Scott Perry ; and WI-03 held by Republican Rep. Derrick Van Orden, though the Republicans have slight leads, with most of the votes counted in the latter two races. — Purple districts: More than a dozen districts that had a presidential margin of 3 points in either direction have yet to be called. That’s a mix of Democratic (NC-01, OH-09, OH-13, PA-07 and PA-08) and Republican-held seats (AZ-01, AZ-06, CA-03, CA-40, CA-41, IA-01, MI-10 and VA-02) as well as an open seat in Michigan in the 8th District. (Republicans picked up Michigan's 7th District, while Democrats successfully defended the other open battleground in the state, the 8th District.) — Blue districts: Democrats in CO-08, NV-03 and WA-08 are seeing if they can hang on in these seats that Biden won in 2020 by a margin of between 3 and 8 points. Two of these outstanding races also concern incumbent Republicans: Reps. Michelle Steel of California and Don Bacon of Nebraska, who are seen as some of the most vulnerable members of their party this year. Republicans were also hoping to pick up open VA-07, though Democrat Eugene Vindman is leading Republican Derrick Anderson with 99 percent of the vote in as of early Wednesday morning. — Deep blue districts: There are even more at-risk incumbent Republicans in seats that Biden won by 8 points or more in 2020 who we’re still waiting on. That includes Republican Reps. John Duarte in CA-13, David Valadao in CA-22, Mike Garcia in CA-27, Anthony D’Esposito in NY-04 and Lori Chavez-DeRemer in OR-05. Some Democrats in these seats were also still locked in tight races: Reps. Josh Harder and Mike Levin of California, both of whom were ahead with more than 50 percent of the vote in, as well as Rep. Val Hoyle of OR-04 and Rep. Vicente Gonzalez of TX-34. Both were also in the lead. Two open seats in this category — CA-47 and MD-06 — were also in flux. Happy Wednesday. Reach me at mfernandez@politico.com and @madfernandez616. Days until the 2025 election: 363 Want to receive this newsletter every weekday? Subscribe to POLITICO Pro. You’ll also receive daily policy news and other intelligence you need to act on the day’s biggest stories
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