Thursday, November 14, 2024

A financial regulator’s time in the spotlight nears

Presented by America’s Credit Unions and the Independent Community Bankers of America: Delivered daily by 8 a.m., Morning Money examines the latest news in finance politics and policy.
Nov 14, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Declan Harty

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America’s Credit Unions and the Independent Community Bankers of America

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QUICK FIX

Wall Street’s top derivatives watchdog has long been overshadowed in the financial regulation landscape despite overseeing a massive swath of trading in everything from futures and swaps to election betting.

Now the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is primed to take center stage in Donald Trump’s Washington.

The president-elect has wasted no time building out his government in the nine days since winning back the White House. And with speculation swirling about who might lead the CFTC under Trump, those under consideration are starting to weigh what direction they think the regulator needs to take as it enters a new era — potentially with a much larger remit.

“It’s really an important moment for the agency to meet the market [and] meet the people where they’re at, understand what’s going on and what, if any, role the government can play that would be sensible and helpful,” said Josh Sterling, a Milbank partner who, according three people familiar with the transition, is a contender for chair.

Others in the mix to lead the CFTC include current Commissioners Summer Mersinger, a former top aide to Sen. John Thune, and Caroline Pham; former commissioners Jill Sommers and Brian Quintenz; and Willkie Farr & Gallagher Partner Neal Kumar , according to the people, who were granted anonymity to speak about the candidates.

Sterling told MM that he had no comment when asked about his candidacy. Mersinger, Sommers, Pham and Kumar also declined to comment. Quintenz did not respond to a request for comment.

“President-Elect Trump is making decisions on who will serve in his second Administration,” Trump-Vance Transition spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said in a statement. “Those decisions will be announced when they are made.”

The CFTC has long taken a back seat to the much-larger Securities and Exchange Commission. But the next CFTC chair may have the chance to usher in new rules that could greatly expand the regulator’s reach across the financial markets.

They will, for instance, likely be tasked with helping usher in a new regulatory regime for the $3 trillion cryptocurrency market should lawmakers pass bespoke legislation for the industry. The crypto lobby has pushed for years to give the agency new power to police digital assets directly rather than just derivatives. The regulator will also need to resolve still-unfolding legal debates over what types of products can trade on betting markets. And those are only two pieces of the vast markets that the CFTC oversees — and relatively small ones at that.

For Sterling, who served at the agency during Trump’s first term, the CFTC is “well-positioned” to handle more authority in the crypto market once it has congressional authority. (“You can’t just fashion a new regime out of something old, whole cloth,” he told MM.)

As for the betting markets, Sterling said the CFTC needs to “get out of the business of calling balls and strikes on which products it seems to like and which products it doesn’t.” Sterling is currently representing betting market operator Kalshi in its ongoing legal fight against the agency.

Still, Sterling added that the regulator should also “focus on getting back to some of the basics.” That includes more public meetings and renewed attention toward the greater derivatives markets, he said.

“We need to see agencies focus more on their broader mandates, with a broader view of their work and focus less on specialty issues,” Sterling said. “There’s been a lot of focus on [carbon markets] and there’s been a lot of focus on election markets. And those are important developments, but they’re quite small. You need to take a look at the bigger picture.”

IT’S THURSDAY — Are you working on SEC policy or personnel for the Trump transition? Let’s talk: dharty@politico.com. And, as always, send suggestions and tips to ssutton@politico.com and @samjsutton.

 

A message from America’s Credit Unions and the Independent Community Bankers of America:

CREDIT UNIONS & COMMUNITY BANKS IN All 50 STATES OPPOSE THE DURBIN-MARSHALL CREDIT CARD BILL: America’s approximately 9,000 credit unions and community banks are united in opposition to the Durbin-Marshall Credit Card Bill because credit card routing mandates harm local financial institutions and the communities they serve. Durbin-Marshall jeopardizes access to credit for 140 million credit union and community bank customers. Congress can expect to hear from all 140 million of us this fall.

 
Driving the day

Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler speaks at the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association and the Latin American Chapter of the Econometric Society’s annual meeting in Uruguay at 7 a.m. ET. … The Labor Department releases inflation data for October at 8:30 a.m. ... SEC Chair Gary Gensler speaks at the Annual Institute on Securities Regulation in New York at 9:30 a.m. ... Senate Finance holds a hearing on the nomination of David Johnson as Treasury inspector general for tax administration at 10 a.m. ... Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks at the Dallas Fed at 3 p.m. ET. … New York Fed President John Williams speaks at the New York Fed at 4:45 p.m.

‘Absolute gut punch’ — The president-elect stunned Washington on Wednesday when he unveiled — on Truth Social, of course — that now-former Rep. Matt Gaetz was his pick for attorney general, our Natalie Allison, Megan Messerly, Meridith McGraw and Lisa Kashinsky report.

For days, Republicans had hoped that Trump’s early hires — including Susie Wiles as chief of staff and Sen. Marco Rubio as secretary of state — signaled that the president-elect was opting for more conventional nominees to build out his administration. But Gaetz’s hire is the latest sign, as Natalie, Megan, Meridith and Lisa report, that “Trump is less concerned with qualifications for his new Cabinet posts than with finding roles for allies who have been loyal to him.”

Eyeballs emoji: If confirmed — which appears to be a big if at this point, as our Anthony Adragna reports — Gaetz’s approach to antitrust will be something to watch. The Florida Republican has been a noted supporter of Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan, telling POLITICO last year that “there is some mutual admiration between populist conservatives and progressives. We actually care about these issues. And when it aligns, it’s pretty striking.”

Treasury sweepstakes still going: Cantor Fitzgerald Chair and CEO Howard Lutnick is dialing up his campaign for Treasury secretary. The billionaire has directly approached Trump about joining his cabinet, the Wall Street Journal’s Andrew Restuccia and Brian Scwhartz report.

FBI raids Polymarket CEO’s home — Federal law enforcement officials raided the home of Shayne Coplan — chief executive of the high-flying betting market Polymarket — early Wednesday morning, a person familiar with the matter told MM, confirming reports.

The 6 a.m. raid and seizure of Coplan’s electronic devices followed a months-long swell of attention on betting platforms like Polymarket, which proved prescient in foreseeing Trump’s victory weeks ahead of time . In a statement, a spokesperson for the company called the raid “obvious political retribution by the outgoing administration against Polymarket for providing a market that correctly called the 2024 presidential election.” An FBI spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment.

— Polymarket is not supposed to be open to American traders after a previous settlement with the CFTC. But another person familiar with the matter, who was granted anonymity to discuss the events, told MM that the raid likely stemmed from the Justice Department investigating whether the company is accepting wagers from U.S.-based traders.

 

A message from America’s Credit Unions and the Independent Community Bankers of America:

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On the Hill

First in MM: Waters calls on House leaders to forgive NFIP's debt — House Financial Services ranking member Maxine Waters (D-Calif.) is urging Speaker Mike Johnson and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries to pass a long-term reauthorization of the National Flood Insurance Program that forgives its debt as part of any disaster aid supplemental, our Eleanor Mueller reports.

"We must not penalize current and future NFIP policyholders with skyrocketing debt that pushes up the cost of premiums," Waters wrote in a letter Wednesday. She added that "just one more storm could bankrupt the program and prevent future claims payments."

First in MM: Senate Republicans demand deeper dive into FDIC report — Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) is leading five other GOP senators in calling on the FDIC's inspector general to investigate each of the allegations detailed in a third-party report on misconduct at the agency, Eleanor reports.

"You have a responsibility to seek accountability for every victim willing to work with you," the members write in a letter today to FDIC Inspector General Jennifer Fain . They requested a briefing on Fain's efforts by Dec. 6.

The FDIC did not respond to a request for comment.

Crypto legislation incoming — Former SEC chair Jay Clayton, whose name has been floated for several high-profile gigs in the Trump administration, said at an event in New York that he expects that lawmakers will finally adopt crypto legislation in the coming years, Reuters’ Chris Prentice reports.

A who’s who heads to the Hill Congress was packed with guest appearances on Wednesday that included Trump himself, Elon Musk, Gavin Newsom and Stephen Miller, Emmy Martin reports.

 

REGISTER NOW: Join POLITICO and Capital One for a deep-dive discussion with Acting HUD Secretary Adrianne Todman, Rep. Darin LaHood (R-IL), Rep. Ritchie Torres (D-NY) and other housing experts on how to fix America’s housing crisis and build a foundation for financial prosperity. Register to attend in-person or virtually here.

 
 
At the regulators

You can skip that meeting now — The National Labor Relations Board ruled Wednesday that workers cannot be forced to attend company meetings regarding unionization, our Nick Niedzwiadek reports.

“Ensuring that workers can make a truly free choice about whether they want union representation is one of the fundamental goals of the National Labor Relations Act,” board Chair Lauren McFerran said in a statement, per Nick. “Captive audience meetings — which give employers near-unfettered freedom to force their message about unionization on workers under threat of discipline or discharge — undermine this important goal.”

 

The lame duck session could reshape major policies before year's end. Get Inside Congress delivered daily to follow the final sprint of dealmaking on defense funding, AI regulation and disaster aid. Subscribe now.

 
 
ODDS AND ENDS

New podcast — The Peterson Institute for International Economics has launched a live series and podcast called PIIE Insider LIVE. The inaugural episode will feature the think tank’s president, Adam Posen, who will discuss what's next for the global economy after the U.S. election.

 

A message from America’s Credit Unions and the Independent Community Bankers of America:

CREDIT UNIONS & COMMUNITY BANKS IN All 50 STATES OPPOSE THE DURBIN-MARSHALL CREDIT CARD BILL: The Durbin-Marshall Credit Card Bill would create harmful new routing mandates on credit cards that would put consumer data and access to credit at risk. The threat of Durbin-Marshall to small financial institutions is so clear that America’s approximately 9,000 credit unions and community banks across America are opposed to the bill. Credit unions and community banks also see through the so-called “carveout” for smaller banks, an unworkable policy designed to disguise the negative impact of this legislation. Our message to Congress is simple: on behalf of 140 million credit union and community bank customers in all 50 states, commit to opposing the Durbin-Marshall Credit Card Bill. Lawmakers who choose not to support their local financial institutions can expect to hear from our 140 million customers this fall.

 
 

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