Wednesday, August 14, 2024

Democrats for Prop 36

Presented by American Recyclable Plastic Bag Alliance: Inside the Golden State political arena
Aug 14, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Lara Korte and Dustin Gardiner

Presented by American Recyclable Plastic Bag Alliance

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan, right, discusses California Gov. Gavin Newsom's, left, proposal to build 1,200 small homes across the state to reduce homelessness, during the first of a four-day tour of the state in Sacramento Calif., on Thursday, March 16, 2023. In lieu of a traditional State of the State the Democratic governor, who just began his second term, has planned four days of policy speeches around the state. (AP Photo/Rich   Pedroncelli)

San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan, right, with California Gov. Gavin Newsom. | AP

THE BUZZ: PICKING SIDES — A tough-on-crime ballot measure is getting financial backing from a new source: a group of local Democrats.

The fundraising committee being announced today by San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho and Elk Grove Mayor Bobbie Singh-Allen puts the leaders at odds with Gov. Gavin Newsom and other prominent Democrats who have come out against Proposition 36, calling it overly punitive and unnecessary.

The group shared little about its fundraising strategy, but it could provide an avenue for other like-minded Democrats who are willing to break away from the party brass and associate themselves with the measure.

Mahan, in an interview with Playbook, said the state needs to more forcefully prosecute drug crimes to combat the homelessness crisis. He has zeroed in on a provision of Prop 36 that would force repeat drug offenders into treatment by offering such services as an alternative to incarceration.

“My great fear is that by decriminalizing low-level crime, we have allowed people's conditions to deepen and worsen,” Mahan said. “And we are seeing a growing number of chronically homeless individuals whose behavioral health issues are getting more severe.”

The local officials join a growing coalition of supporters, including many Democrats, who want a tougher approach to the drug use and retail theft that they say has reached unmanageable levels in California. The new committee is separate from the district attorney-backed committee that is promoting Prop 36.

The ballot measure — pushed by prosecutors and retail giants like Walmart, Target and Home Depot, which spent millions to qualify it — was initially seen as a conservative push to crack down on crime. But it’s also received the backing of several big-city Democratic mayors like Mahan, San Francisco’s London Breed and San Diego’s Todd Gloria, as well as several Democrats in the Legislature who say they have grown frustrated with the status quo.

“Public safety is not about partisanship,” Ho told Playbook. “Public safety, at the end of the day, is about common sense.”

Newsom spent much of this year unsuccessfully trying to negotiate Prop 36 off the ballot. After an effort to introduce his own counter-measure fizzled, the governor turned his focus to slamming the proposal, saying it would increase the state’s prison population at a huge cost to taxpayers. 

Assembly Speaker Robert Rivas this week told reporters at the Capitol he opposes Prop 36, arguing it would lead to increased rates of incarceration and a return to prison overcrowding.

“We know from past experience the disparities that exist in our criminal justice system,” he said. “The impacts it will have on our communities of color, in particular Black and Latino communities.”

Rivas also highlighted what is sure to become an opposition talking point: the potential cost of implementing Prop 36. The Legislative Analyst’s Office estimates the initiative would require state and local criminal justice systems to spend tens to hundreds of millions of dollars more annually from increased jail and prison populations, as well as a larger community supervision and mental health and drug treatment workload.

Although lawmakers sent a package of retail theft bills to the governor’s desk this week, officials like Mahan say it won’t address the core problem of addiction.

“We are not going to end the era of encampments unless we have tools to compel people into treatment for addiction,” the San Jose mayor said.

Organizers for the main Yes on 36 committee said the movement has always been bipartisan.

“We know a large majority of Californians support these changes,” they said in a statement, “and if this new group wants to further encourage support for Prop 36, we welcome it.”

–- Lindsey Holden and Emily Schultheis contributed reporting. 

GOOD MORNING. Happy Wednesday. Thanks for waking up with Playbook.

You can text us at ‪916-562-0685‬‪ — save it as “CA Playbook” in your contacts. Or drop us a line at lkorte@politico.com and dgardiner@politico.com, or on X — @DustinGardiner and @Lara_Korte.

WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced.

 

A message from American Recyclable Plastic Bag Alliance:

California is about to ban more than just recyclable and reusable plastic grocery bags. The broad language in SB 1053 and AB 2236 threatens washable and reusable grocery bags and popular, commonly purchased items like sandwich bags, trash bags, backpacks, and insulated cooler bags, too. Recycled paper bags will be your only choice. California legislators: oppose SB 1053 and AB 2236. This legislation will set a precedent that California shouldn’t celebrate. Learn more.

 
FOR GOOD MEASURE

A view of San Francisco's famed Painted Ladies Victorian houses.

A view of San Francisco's famed Painted Ladies Victorian houses. | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

BAY BOND ON THE CHOPPING BLOCK — A regional housing agency could pull a $20 billion Bay Area housing bond from the ballot in a last-minute meeting this morning over concerns about the viability of Proposition 5, to which its fate is tied.

For the regional housing bond to pass, Prop 5 needs to succeed too. The statewide amendment would lower the threshold for passage from two-thirds to 55 percent and apply to bonds in the same election. According to the Bay Area Housing Finance Authority, which put the bond on the ballot, the housing bond is currently polling around 54 percent.

The Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association had filed a suit to challenge the official ballot label for Prop 5, which the group said was misleading because it doesn’t make clear that the measure decreases the threshold for passage rather than increasing it. A Sacramento County judge agreed last week that the language was misleading, which led to BAHFA’s worries that a changed ballot label could hamper the amendment's passage.

Those fears appear to have been unfounded: California’s Third District Court of Appeal ruled Tuesday in favor of the original ballot language, meaning the Prop 5 language will remain the same. But that wasn’t BAHFA’s only concern when it comes to the fate of their housing bond: In a staff report, the agency also noted low region-wide voter approval for new taxes.

Today is the last day that the agency can choose to withdraw the measure. Should they choose not to, BAHFA will have to reimburse all nine Bay Area counties for the cost of placing the measure on the ballot — about $3 million.  — Will McCarthy and Emily Schultheis

 

WELCOME TO THE CNN-POLITICO GRILL AT THE DNC! If you are in Chi-Town next week, join us at the CNN-POLITICO Grill just steps from the United Center for daily events and live programs. Featuring an all-star lineup of the most influential Democrats including Governor JB Pritzker, Rep. Pete Aguilar, Sen. Chuck Schumer, Secretary Pete Buttigieg and many more TBA special (AND SECRET!) guests, don’t miss out on the buzziest conversations and newsworthy events hosted by POLITICO’s top reporters and editors. RSVP HERE.

 
 
SILICON VALLEYLAND

AI ANIMOSITY — Software billionaire Dan O’Dowd is launching a new offensive in the fight over artificial intelligence, today taking out full-page ads in the New York Times and Wall Street Journal that paint the technology as “snake oil” being peddled by high-powered grifters.

Through his organization The Dawn Project, O’Dowd has launched similar bombastic campaigns against Silicon Valley foes, including Tesla, which he has long criticized for promoting what he sees as an unsafe self-driving technology.

While many in the tech world have issued warnings about potential misuse of powerful AI tools, O’Dowd’s latest ads are more derisive than alarmist. They argue that tech scions have “added trillions to their market caps by stoking Artificial Intelligence hype” but that the technologies themselves are flawed — and shouldn’t be trusted for use in critical infrastructure.

“All hype aside,” the ad says. “Al is too stupid to enslave us or take our jobs.”

In an interview with Playbook, O’Dowd said he’s supportive of efforts to regulate the sector, including state Sen. Scott Wiener’s Senate Bill 1047, but said there needs to be more done to mitigate what he sees as a lack of reliability in AI tools.

 

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ON THE AGENDA

PRO-PROP 36 — Mahan, Ho and Singh-Allen will hold a press conference on the west steps of the Capitol at 10 a.m. to formally launch Common Sense on Safety — Yes on 36.

 

DON’T MISS OUR AI & TECH SUMMIT: Join POLITICO’s AI & Tech Summit for exclusive interviews and conversations with senior tech leaders, lawmakers, officials and stakeholders about where the rising energy around global competition — and the sense of potential around AI and restoring American tech knowhow — is driving tech policy and investment. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
CLIMATE AND ENERGY

GAS GONE — California lawmakers know the electric vehicle transition will sap the gas taxes that pay for roads and bridges. Doing something about it is the hard part. Read more in last night’s California Climate.

Top Talkers

EU-GE MISTAKE: Thierry Breton, the European Union’s top digital enforcer, irked Trumpworld and some of his fellow European officials Monday by sending Elon Musk an open letter warning the tech mogul against spreading "harmful content" ahead of his livestream interview with President Donald Trump on X, POLITICO’s Mark Scott reports. Four EU officials said Breton’s letter was surprising, given the bloc is investigating X for potential wrongdoing and did want to be seen as potentially interfering in the U.S. presidential election. X CEO Linda Yaccarino called the letter "an unprecedented attempt to stretch a law intended to apply in Europe to political activities in the US."

EVS BEWARE: Trump’s budding relationship with Elon Musk is unlikely to fend off his commitments to reverse the Biden administration’s regulatory policies on electric vehicles, Republicans and EV experts who spoke with POLITICO’s James Bikales and Josh Siegel said. While EVs probably won’t be a “punching bag” for Trump, experts expected him to push back against tax credits and emissions standards that have been a boon to the eclectic vehicle industry under Biden.

 

A message from American Recyclable Plastic Bag Alliance:

SB 1053 and AB 2236 will do more than ban just recyclable and reusable plastic grocery bags – their broad language threatens the sale of popular and convenient everyday products like sandwich bags, trash bags, backpacks and insulated cooler bags, too. By mandating only recycled paper bags, these bills would undermine over a decade’s worth of positive recycling policy that has contributed to millions of pounds of plastic recycled per year. Many Californians reuse current durable plastic bags, which are made with over 40% recycled material, for various purposes, including as garbage bags. Recycling is real, and there are California-based companies that recycle plastic bags, provide jobs and create tax revenues, which will all be lost if SB 1053 and AB 2236 pass. This legislation will hurt California consumers and its workers and create legal uncertainty for retailers when it comes to enforcement. These bills are wrong for California. Learn more.

 
AROUND THE STATE

— Former San Diego County Supervisor Nathan Fletcher is once again leaning on funds from his abandoned state Senate campaign to fund his defense against sexual assault allegations. (KPBS)

— A group of San Francisco RV dwellers is facing its second deadline this month to end illegal street parking. (San Francisco Examiner)

— Some construction unions aren’t sold on the largest affordable housing bond in California history, set to appear on Bay Area ballots this November. (CalMatters)

PLAYBOOKERS

SPOTTED Legislative Rules committees appear to have scheduled rotating food trucks for the final two weeks of session, to be stationed outside the Legislative Office Building on N Street. 

PEOPLE MOVES — Cesar Toledo joins the Harris campaign as the deputy LGBTQ+ engagement director.

Drexel Heard II will serve as chief of staff for media firm Phenomena Global and will also run their Los Angeles-based political action arm. He was previously a principal at Phase Strategies, is an alum of the Biden-Harris California 2020 team and former executive director of the Los Angeles Democratic Party.

Dean Grafilo has been promoted to partner at Capitol Advocacy. He joined the firm in 2019 after previously serving as director of the California Department of Consumer Affairs under former Gov. Jerry Brown.

Zoe Melczer is now vice president of development at the Mayor's Fund for Los Angeles. She was previously vice president of philanthropic operations and initiatives at College Track.

BIRTHDAYS —  former Rep. Tom Campbell (R-Calif.) … Darren Goode … Spike Whitney

WANT A SHOUT-OUT FEATURED? — Send us a birthday, career move or another special occasion to include in POLITICO’s California Playbook. You can now submit a shout-out using this Google form.

CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Rebecca Haase to find out how: rhaase@politico.com.

 

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