Wednesday, July 17, 2024

‘Dump Biden’ fervor swells among Dems

Presented by ExxonMobil: POLITICO's must-read briefing on what's driving the afternoon in Washington.
Jul 17, 2024 View in browser
 
Playbook PM

By Bethany Irvine

Presented by ExxonMobil

THE CATCH-UP

Adam Schiff speaks to reporters

Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) joined the growing chorus of Democrats today calling on Joe Biden to step aside. | Melanie Mason/POLITICO

A BIG ONE — Rep. ADAM SCHIFF (D-Calif.) today called on President JOE BIDEN to step aside as the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate, the L.A. Times’ Kevin Rector scooped.

In a statement, Schiff said that a “second Trump presidency will undermine the very foundation of our democracy, and I have serious concerns about whether the President can defeat DONALD TRUMP in November.” The Burbank Democrat is the frontrunner in California’s open U.S. Senate race.

An especially interesting angle to this: Schiff is famously very tight with fellow California Democrat Rep. NANCY PELOSI, and the statement will be parsed closely for what it might imply about where the former speaker stands vis-a-vis the “Pass the Torch” push.

ANOTHER BIG ONE — President Biden doesn’t drink and isn’t in Milwaukee. But he may want to nurse a Miller or PBR after reading today’s haymaker of a poll from AP-NORC.

“Nearly two-thirds of Democrats say President Joe Biden should withdraw from the presidential race and let his party nominate a different candidate, according to a new poll, sharply undercutting his post-debate claim that ‘average Democrats’ are still with him even if some ‘big names’ are turning on him,” write AP’s Darlene Superville, Amelia Thomson-Deveaux and Emily Swanson.

  • The dissatisfaction cuts across age: “Three-quarters of Democrats under the age of 45 want Biden to drop out, compared to about 6 in 10 of those who are older.”
  • It cuts across race: 67% of white Democrats, 49% of Black Democrats and 64% of Hispanic Democrats want him to step aside.
  • It cuts across age: 75% of Dems from ages 18-44 want him to step aside, as do 57% of Dems 45 or older.
  • And it is getting worse: 37% of Dems are satisfied with Biden as the nominee — compared to 42% prior to last month’s debate.

Remember: These are the numbers among Democrats, not the public at large. Full resultsCrosstabs

Meanwhile, the DNC is plowing ahead with its plans to nominate Biden using a virtual roll call, though it is delaying setting the formal date until later next week, Elena Schneider scoops. Rules Committee co-chairs LEAH DAUGHTRY and Minnesota Gov. TIM WALZ announced the move in a letter to committee members, assuring them that “any voting on the nomination wouldn’t begin until at least Aug. 1, a few days later than published reports had suggested voting could begin.”

Biden himself is in Las Vegas, where he continues his efforts to shore up support among key Democratic constituencies: “Biden is set to deliver an address to the UnidosUS annual conference in Las Vegas, where he’ll announce that beginning Aug. 19 certain U.S. citizens’ spouses without legal status can begin applying for permanent residency and eventually citizenship without having to first depart the country,”AP’s Aamer Madhani reports.

VANCE IN THE SPOTLIGHT — It’s the third day and official midpoint of the Republican National Convention, and today is all about Trump's new second in command: J.D. VANCE. While Trump announced on Monday that the junior senator from Ohio bested a shortlist of competitors for the spot, Vance will formally accept the nomination later this evening and effectively introduce himself on the national stage.

A new AP-NORC Center poll out this morning shows that Vance has a lot to catch America up on. The poll, which was conducted prior to his selection for the ticket, weighed several names on Trump’s shortlist. Roughly 6 in 10 Americans said they don’t know enough about Vance to form an opinion, while 2 in 10 held a favorable view of him. AP’s Linley Sanders reports.

How we got here …

  • Via Ohio: WaPo’s Ian Duncan is out with a look at how Vance seized on the 2023 Ohio train disaster in East Palestine to help build his personal “brand of populist Republicanism” and endear himself to Trump.
  • Via California: NYT’s Soumya Karlamangla looks at Vance’s ties to California: “Vance met his wife, USHA VANCE, who grew up in a San Diego suburb. The two soon moved to San Francisco, where J.D. worked as a venture capitalist for PETER THIEL, a conservative megadonor  … When Vance ran for U.S. Senate in 2022, his Democratic opponent, TIM RYAN, then a U.S. representative, thought Vance’s time in San Francisco ‘was political gold among working-class voters,’ The San Francisco Chronicle reports.”

More reporting from Milwaukee:

  • Gov. RON DeSANTIS told members of the Florida GOP that he hopes Biden will “stick it out” as the Democratic nominee — for the sake of Republicans, Kimberly Leonard reports. “If the Democrats want to go down this road, I think that’s the best possible scenario for Republicans,” DeSantis said. “I hope he sticks it out.”
  • ERIC TRUMP told “CBS Mornings” today that MELANIA and IVANKA TRUMP will be  “in full force and effect” at the RNC proceedings, despite their notable absence so far this week — and even as “Melania Trump is not scheduled to speak at the convention as she did in 2016 and 2020,” Jared Mitovich reports. 
  • On a panel interview at the CNN-POLITICO Grill today, Rep. MIKE LAWLER (R-N.Y.) denied previous reporting that some Republicans are skeptical of J.D. Vance’s foreign policy stance on foreign aid and Ukraine, Katy O’ Donnell reports: Lawler said he was “not concerned at all" about Vance's positions, adding “I'm in the Republican Party, we have a big tent.”

Follow along with every update from the Republican National Convention with POLITICO’s live blogIn Milwaukee and want to check out today’s CNN-POLITICO events? Sign up for an invite

Good Wednesday afternoon. Thanks for reading Playbook PM. Drop me a line at birvine@politico.com.

 

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5 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW

A police officer walks past a home exterior.

A police officer walks past a home believed to be connected to the shooter in the assassination attempt of Donald Trump. | Gene J. Puskar/AP


1. ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT FALLOUT: As questions still swirl around Saturday’s assassination attempt against Donald Trump, DHS Inspector General JOSEPH CUFFARIA announced this morning that the department is investigating the Secret Service’s “process for securing” the Pennsylvania rally where THOMAS MATTHEW CROOKS fired at Trump from an adjacent rooftop. “There was no date given for when the investigation was launched,” AP’s Rebecca Santana reports. “The notice was among a long list of ongoing cases that the inspector general’s office is pursuing.”

Though the FBI is still investigating Crooks’ motives for the attack, more details are slowly emerging about the 20-year-old’s activities in the days leading up to the rally. CNN’s John Miller and Sabrina Shulman report that Crooks requested time off work on Saturday, telling his employers he had “something to do” while notifying coworkers he would be back to work on Sunday.

More details from the day of: “[R]oughly three hours before the shooting, Crooks was at the security screening area for the rally. … He first aroused suspicion when he passed through the magnetometers carrying a rangefinder … the rangefinder would not have prevented Crooks from getting through the security screening point, but it did attract the attention of security personnel who kept an eye on him until he left the secure area. Investigators are unsure of where Crooks went after he left the screening area but the working theory is that he went to his car to retrieve the rifle. … Around 11 p.m., Crooks’ father reported him missing.”

On Capitol Hill … House Speaker MIKE JOHNSON said he will seek the resignation of Secret Service Director KIMBERLY CHEATLE, noting on a Fox News appearance that what happened was “inexcusable.” More from AP’s Lisa Mascaro Meanwhile, Secret Service is expected brief both the House and Senate on the shooting later this afternoon, Punchbowl’s Melanie Zanona reports.

2. ON THE MONEY: As House Democrats wade through a tense moment for the party, the DCCC reported raising $44 million in the Q2 of this year, including $19.7 million alone raised in June, NBC News’ Ali Vitali scoops. “That’s more than the DCCC’s GOP counterpart in this monthly metric, as well as over the second quarter and a historic monthly and quarterly sum for the campaign arm,” Vitali writes. “House Democrats have more than $87 million banked in their campaign committee, they say, at a time when some Democrats have expressed concern — or outright panic — at the idea of President Joe Biden’s continuing as the party’s nominee. “

While the larger coffers may ease some worries, “[t]he possibility that Biden could be a drag on their efforts to gain the four seats they need to regain control of the House has hung over” House Dems’ heads since Biden’s disastrous debate. Now, “Some donors have said they’ll now send their money down the ballot to critical House and Senate races instead of to the top of the ticket.”

 

CHECK OUT WHAT YOU MISSED IN MILWAUKEE!

Watch the full event from the CNN-POLITICO Grill at the RNC HERE.

The program featured Bayer’s Jessica Christiansen, senior vice president and head of crop science and sustainability communications, as well as a conversation with Sen. John Boozman (R-Ark.), Rep. G.T. Thompson (R-Pa.) and POLITICO’s Meredith Lee Hill for discussions about agriculture, food policy and how these issues will impact the November election.

 
 

3. MIA TO MKE: Former Trump adviser PETER NAVARRO was freed from a Miami federal prison this morning after serving a four-month sentence for defying a subpoena from the Jan. 6 committee, and is “expected to quickly travel to Milwaukee so he can appear at the Republican National Convention,” CNN’s  Tierney Sneed, Katelyn Polantz and Denise Royal report. “Navarro, who is in his 70s, worked as a law library clerk during his time in the prison camp. … While Navarro was unsuccessful in an emergency appeal to delay his prison sentence, he is now appealing his conviction on the merits.”

4. FED UP: “Top Official Suggests Fed Is Closer—But Not Yet Ready—to Cut,” by WSJ’s Nick Timiraos: “[T]he last three months of inflation data are ‘getting us closer to a disinflationary trend that we’re looking for,’ said New York Fed President JOHN WILLIAMS … The comments from Williams, who is vice chair of the Fed’s rate-setting committee and a top policy adviser to Chair JEROME POWELL, suggest a rate cut is unlikely at the Fed’s July 30-31 meeting even if one or two officials push for it. Instead, his remarks indicate the central bank could consider lowering its benchmark short-term interest rate when officials meet again in mid-September.”

5. THE GREAT AID DEBATE: “Germany to halve military aid for Ukraine despite possible Trump White House,” by Reuters’ Maria Martinez and Holger Hansen: “Germany hopes Ukraine will be able to meet the bulk of its military needs with the $50 billion in loans from the proceeds of frozen Russian assets approved by the Group of Seven, and that funds earmarked for armaments will not be fully used. … Officials say EU leaders agreed to the idea in part because it reduces the chance of Ukraine being short of funds if Trump returns to the White House.”

 

In Milwaukee for the RNC? Join POLITICO at the CNN-POLITICO Grill for in-depth interviews with the most prominent leaders of the Republican Party as we discuss policy, politics and news of the week. RSVP HERE.


Or, follow along with every update from the Republican National Convention with POLITICO’s live blog

 
 
PLAYBOOKERS

Eric Trump said his father has “a nice flesh wound” on his ear.

A Trump-owned company is selling high tops with the iconic image from Saturday.

Rosa DeLauro may get another tattoo.

SPOTTED last night at the CNN-POLITICO Grill: Josh Dawsey, Manu Raju, Jackie Kucinich, Alli Brennan, Cally Baute, Ashley Parker, Matt Haller, Tammy Haddad, Jon Banner, Rachel Michael, Sam Tatevosyan, Tony Zagora, Shannon McGahn, Paul Kane, Helen Devlin, Mike Parish, Tim Alberta, Laura Coates, McKay Coppins, Olivia Beavers, David Chalian, Antonia Ferrier, Jonathan Capehart, Amy Walter, Oliver Darcy, Sam Feist, Abby Phillip, Rodney Davis, Frank Luntz, Kaitlan Collins and Amna Nawaz.

— SPOTTED last night at a birthday party for Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.) at the Sundeck Bar and Grill in Milwaukee: Sen. Mike Braun (R-Ind.), Reps. Chuck Fleischmann (R-Tenn.) and Victoria Spartz (R-Ind.), Clay Travis, Buck Sexton, Jonathan Swan, Jim Daly, John Ashbrook, Erin Houchin, Ben Smith, Kadia Goba, Lindsay Wise, Siobhan Hughes, Jeff Miller, Michael Bender, Brittany Carloni, Jim Baird, Alexi Lalas, Ward Baker, Nathan Gonzales, Liz Elkind, Alex Pfeiffer, Glen “Kane” Jacobs, Jefferson Shreve, Mark Messmer, Jacob Helberg, Terry Schilling, Tim Edson, Raheem Kassam, Bart Reising and Alex Bruesewitz.

Washington Global Health Group held a launch happy hour last night at Dauphine’s. SPOTTED: Jirair Ratevosian, Catherine Connor, Emily Gibbons, Vijeth Iyengar, Victor Yang, Vince Blaser, Stephanie Psaki, Tom Hart, Shannon Hader, Nikki Romanik, Micheal Ighodaro, Loyce Pace, Lauren Marks, Ken Staley, Lanice Williams, Jessica Stern, Katie Coester, Jen Kates, Justin Kissinger, Jed Meline, Garrett Grigsby, Jamie Bay Nishi, Heidi Ross and Bob Noziglia.

— SPOTTED yesterday afternoon at the “Red White and Brew” celebration hosted by RightNow Women PAC at Pats Historic Brewery in Milwaukee:, Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa), Reps. Mary Miller (R-Ill.), Michelle Fischbach (R-Minn.), Glenn Grothman (R-Wis.), Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R-Ore.) and Monica De La Cruz (R-Texas), Elaine Chao, Lynn Finch, Katie Pavlich, Nicole Nason, Shelley Hymes, Marlene Colucci, Alexandra Kendrick, Samantha Dravis, Greta Burgess and Riley Gaines.

BGR and the Republican Governors Association co-hosted a reception in Milwaukee yesterday afternoon sponsored by the American Beverage Association. SPOTTED: Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin, Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds, Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster and South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, Sen. Mike Braun (R-Ind.), Patrick Morrisey, Jon Husted, Lynn Fitch, Alex Rogers, Robert Armstrong, Dustin Marquis, Glenn Westrick, Kevin Keane, Jerry Mullins, Ernie Fernandez, Lisa Shoemaker, Gene Rackley, Mardy Peal, Haley Barbour, Bob Wood, David Urban, Erskine Wells, Dan Murphy, Loren Monroe, Steve Pfrang, Justin Rzepka, Bill Viney, Keaghan Ames and Jen Lukawski, Joe Lai, William Crozer, Taylor Booth and Jill Kozeny.

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