Thursday, July 11, 2024

⏰ Axios PM: Biden's big punt

Plus: Robot warriors | Thursday, July 11, 2024
 
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Axios PM
By Mike Allen · Jul 11, 2024

Good afternoon. Today's newsletter, edited by Sam Baker, is 571 words, a 2-min. read. Thanks to Sheryl Miller for copy editing.

 
 
1 big thing: Just wait until...
 
Photo illustration of Joe Biden in a magnifying glass with lines and circles

Illustration: Eniola Odetunde/Axios. Photos: Frederic J. Brown/Getty Images

 

The Biden campaign has consistently argued that upcoming inflection points would change the course of the race — only for those events to come and go without notably improving President Biden's standing in the polls, Axios' Neal Rothschild writes.

  • 📊 Facing ominous polling dating back to early in the Republican primary, the Biden campaign maintained that the race would move in Biden's favor once Trump was nominated and a binary choice emerged for voters.
  • 🎤 The debate was also supposed to help Biden by illuminating the contrasts with Trump. The New York Times reported beforehand that the Biden campaign thought it had "already won a major victory" by moving the first debate to June.
  • 📺 Biden's post-debate cleanup — campaign rallies, an interview with George Stephanopoulos, and a call-in on MSNBC's "Morning Joe" — have failed to reset the narrative, at least so far.

👀 What's next: Some campaign officials believe the Republican National Convention next week will change the news cycle and redirect attention toward Trump's extremism.

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2. 🦾 Robots could be 1/3 of military
 
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Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

Robots and other smart machinery will comprise up to one-third of the U.S. military in the next 10–15 years, retired Army Gen. Mark Milley, a former chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said at an Axios event today.

  • "It'll be a fundamental change, and I would argue that other nations' militaries are going to be similarly designed," Milley said.
  • The number of human troops, he added, "will probably be reduced as you move toward robotic systems."

💡 Our thought bubble: A crew-less tank or pilotless fighter jet paired with ultrafast decision-making software stokes fears of killer robots, Axios Future of Defense author Colin Demarest writes.

  • But safeguards are in place. U.S. policy requires a human to pull the trigger.
  • And robotics have wider applications — schlepping supplies far from the front lines, for example, or hauling injured fighters off the battlefield.

Go deeper ... Sign up for Axios Future of Defense

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3. Catch me up
 
Smoke rises from the Vista Fire, as seen from a flight into Los Angeles International Airport on Tuesday. Photo: Corinne Chin/AP
  1. 🥵 The record-shattering heat plaguing much of the East and West shows no signs of ebbing — and may spread farther over the next week. Go deeper.
  2. 💰 Consumer prices fell last month for the first time since May 2020, reviving confidence that America's inflation problem is truly receding. Go deeper.
  3. 🏀 The NBA has agreed to a record 11-year, $76 billion media deal. In addition to ABC and ESPN, some games will now air on NBC and Amazon Prime. Go deeper.
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4. 🪐 Redefining the planets
 
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Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

 

A group of astronomers wants to change the definition of a planet, Axios' Jacob Knutson reports.

  • Their new proposal wouldn't bring Pluto back into the planetary fold, but it could reclassify thousands of celestial bodies across the universe.

🔭 How it works: The International Astronomical Union's current definition of a planet includes only celestial bodies that are nearly round, gravitationally dominant and orbit our Sun.

  • This Sun-centric definition is vague, not quantitative and unnecessarily exclusionary of planets that orbit other stars, the proponents of a new definition argue in a forthcoming paper.
  • Planets should instead be classified based on their mass, they argue.
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