Monday, March 4, 2024

London Breed’s ballot bet

Presented by Amazon: Inside the Golden State political arena
Mar 04, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO California Playbook

By Dustin Gardiner and Lara Korte

Presented by

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SAVE THE DATE — Join POLITICO at the Elks Tower in Sacramento March 19 for a conversation with Sen. Scott Wiener and other health care players to explore the challenges of prescription drug affordability. How might officials find savings in the drug supply chain ecosystem? Doors open at 8:30 a.m. RSVP here for "Corrective Action: How to Address Prescription Drug Cost."

San Francisco Mayor London Breed

San Francisco Mayor London Breed, center, speaks with residents at the Noe Valley Farmers' Market on March 2. | Dustin Gardiner/POLITICO | Dustin Gardiner/POLITICO

THE BUZZ: BREED’S GAMBIT — The question for San Francisco Mayor London Breed isn’t so much whether voters will support her rightward shift in Tuesday’s election, when they decide the fate of ballot measures she has sponsored on drugs and policing.

It’s whether she’s gone far enough and fast enough to fix the city’s problems and keep her coalition of moderate-leaning Democrats from jumping ship.

Breed is hitching her political future to a slate of ballot measures that would move the city in a strikingly more conservative direction with its response to crime and addiction — including a proposal to require drug-screening for people receiving county welfare.

Her team seems to have little doubt the measures will pass, based on internal polling. But Breed, who is battling dismal approval ratings, also needs the ballot victory to convince voters that she is an agent of change.

The mayor and her two major challengers — former interim Mayor Mark Farrell and Levi Strauss heir and nonprofit executive Daniel Lurie — have all embraced a similar shift toward more conservative policies on issues that have plagued the city’s reputation and quality of life.

“They’re basically saying everything I’m saying,” Breed said of her opponents Saturday. She spoke to Playbook as she canvassed voters outside a bustling farmers' market in the Noe Valley neighborhood, weaving between baby strollers and yapping dogs on leashes and posing for pictures.

“But the difference is, I’m actually doing it,” she added. “This campaign is trying to keep people stuck in the past of what San Francisco was, rather than acknowledging how we’ve moved forward.”

At least that’s the takeaway that Breed hopes voters will have if the three ballot measures pass.

Besides the drug-screening proposal, Proposition F, Breed’s Proposition E would expand police officers’ authority to chase suspects and use drones and video surveillance. Proposition C would waive a local tax for developers that convert office buildings into housing units and sell them.

Breed said her goal is to prove that she’s not just serious about making aggressive changes — but that change is underway.

For Breed, mission No. 1 is convincing voters that San Francisco is no longer the pandemic-era city in decline that became the butt of national ridicule. She counters that crime — reported thefts in particular — has fallen in the last six months as the police department beefs up enforcement, a trend she attributes to the help of state and federal agencies that she brought in. The homeless population is slightly smaller than it was before the pandemic. And a boom in artificial intelligence has brought tech investors back.

San Francisco Mayor London Breed

San Francisco Mayor London Breed, left. | Dustin Gardiner/POLITICO

“We’re finally starting to see a bit of a spark,” Breed said as she worked the crowd, wearing rhinestone-covered sneakers and a plaid blazer. “We are becoming something better.”

But the setbacks keep coming: A record 806 people died from drug overdoses in the city last year. Retailers are leaving downtown by the dozens — just last week, Macy’s announced it will close its iconic store in Union Square.

A recent poll from the San Francisco Chronicle found that the vast majority of likely voters, 71 percent, disapprove of Breed’s performance. And in addition to her moderate opponents, she could face a progressive mayoral challenger in Board of Supervisors President Aaron Peskin.

Peskin, Lurie and Farrell have all called Breed’s ballot measures a desperate, election-year plot. (Farrell tepidly endorses the proposals, however, and Lurie has used his deep pockets to try to hijack the campaign around Prop E.)

But if Breed can chart a path to a second term, it will depend not just on this week — but whether she can use a win on her ballot measures to unravel her opponents’ narrative that she embodies the status quo.

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WHERE’S GAVIN? Nothing official announced.

 

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Jane Fonda at U.N. headquarters on Feb. 21, 2023.

Actress and climate activist Jane Fonda. | Loey Felipe/United Nations Photo via AP

CLIMATE CRUSADER — Actress Jane Fonda is wading into California politics like never before, unveiling her largest slate of climate-friendly candidate endorsements to date ahead of Tuesday’s primary.

Fonda has been an activist for decades and even briefly mulled adding her name to a long list of replacement candidates in the 2021 gubernatorial recall election. But what’s new this cycle is the extent to which she’s boosting progressive candidates with fundraising through her Jane Fonda Climate PAC.

The California arm of Fonda’s PAC has raised more than $1.7 million this cycle. But the PAC’s real power is Fonda’s following — and her email list asking fans to donate to those she deems climate champions.

Playbook asked Fonda about her latest foray into Golden State campaigns and whether she might run for office herself.

Highlights from our email exchange with her:

You’ve endorsed your largest slate of California candidates through your climate PAC. What made you want to get so involved ahead of the primary this cycle?

At JanePAC, we're not afraid to jump into primary elections when there is a strong climate champion running. In the California Legislature, there were a lot of open seats that were formerly held by Democrats who weren't doing enough for the environment. So we saw a real opportunity to elect a new slate of climate champions in California. And it's always better to get involved early, than to get in late.

What qualities do you look for when making an endorsement? And what separates the talkers from the real climate hawks in your estimation?

We look for candidates who have a proven track record of protecting the environment and who aren't afraid to hold the fossil fuel industry accountable. We seek out candidates who have led on policy or worked on climate justice efforts in their own communities. We look for people who will prioritize climate and the health of their constituents, not just list it as one of many issues on their websites. We focus on down-ballot races because that's where we believe we can make the biggest impact on the climate crisis. We also focus on races where the balance of power is up for grabs on supervisor boards, state legislatures, city councils and more. And we work to elect climate champions in frontline communities that are being inundated with fossil fuel pollution and are in desperate need of representation.

Is there any area where you think state lawmakers in Sacramento have been too slow or too timid in pursuing policies to reduce planet-warming emissions?

For far too long the fossil fuel industry has gotten away with poisoning California communities. Millions of Californians live near oil and gas wells, and we know that communities of color are disproportionately impacted by toxic fossil fuel pollution. The setback law that created a 3,200 foot health buffer between new oil drilling and homes and schools was a historic step forward, but now Big Oil is trying to overturn the law. It's clear that California's elected officials need to go on the offense since Big Oil is hell-bent on blocking progress. They must use all of the legislative tools at their disposal to reduce fossil fuel pollution and protect our health.

I noticed that all of your California endorsees this cycle are women, people of color or LGBTQ people. Was that intentional?

It was not intentional, we just find that many of the fiercest climate champions are women, people of color and/or LGBTQ. If we can help elect climate champions and increase representation in our government, then it's a win-win for California.

What’s next for you in terms of climate advocacy? Have you considered running for office yourself?

One of the advantages of growing old is that you’ve (hopefully) learned what your strengths are and what they aren’t. Being an elected official would not play to my strengths. Helping elect climate champions at all levels of government at this moment in human history is the most important work I have ever done in my life and this is what I am dedicating myself to. We have a brilliant, experienced team and I know that this is the most strategic thing we can be doing now to provide a sustainable, healthy future for ourselves, our children and all living things.

Fonda’s endorsements this cycle, via her PAC and/or social media: Katie Porter (Senate); Laura Friedman (House); Monica Wilson, Brian Calderón Tabatabai, Sade Elhawary, Javier Hernandez and Christy Holstege (state Assembly); and Marisol Rubio, Eloise Gómez Reyes, Alex Mohajer, Sasha Renée Pérez (state Senate).

 

CALIFORNIA CLIMATE: Climate change isn’t just about the weather. It's also about how we do business and create new policies, especially in California. So, we have something cool for you: our California Climate newsletter. It's not just climate or science chat, it's your daily cheat sheet to understanding how the legislative landscape around climate change is shaking up industries across the Golden State. Cut through the jargon and get the latest developments in California as lawmakers and industry leaders adapt to the changing climate. Subscribe now.

 
 
NEWSOMLAND

Gavin Newsom speaks at a news conference in Oakland, California.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom. | Jeff Chiu/AP

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: CABINET SHUFFLE — After two years in the governor’s office, Legislative Affairs Secretary Christy Bouma is retiring at the end of this week, handing off one of the top positions on Newsom’s team to Deputy Legislative Secretary Christine Aurre. 

Bouma was appointed in 2022 following Angie Wei’s departure.

As the governor’s chief liaison in the Capitol, she negotiated with lawmakers and championed his agenda in the chambers. During her time in the administration, Bouma oversaw some of Newsom’s landmark legislative achievements, including a law to protect against price gouging by oil companies, CARE Courts, and an effort to modernize the state’s mental health services system.

Newsom, in a statement, said he’s deeply grateful for her service and partnership.

“Christy’s strong leadership and remarkable collaboration with our partners in the Legislature has been indispensable in delivering monumental wins for Californians and the future of our state,” Newsom said in a statement.

Aurre, who has worked in the governor’s office since 2022, came up through the Legislature, serving for then-Assembly Speakers John Pérez and Toni Atkins before joining Assemblymember Patrick O’Donnell’s office and later, Senate Majority Leader Bob Hertzberg’s.

Bouma plans to spend more time with her wife and visit her kids and grandkids in Paso Robles in retirement, per the governor’s office.

 

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FILE - A Panera Bread logo is attached to the outside of a Panera Bread restaurant location, Dec. 20, 2022, in Westwood, Mass. The family of a 46-year-old Florida man has filed a wrongful death and negligence lawsuit against Panera, claiming its caffeine-filled lemonade drink led to his death. (AP Photo/Steven Senne, File)

A Panera Bread logo. | AP

PANERA PUSHBACK — A Panera executive and Newsom donor is disputing a Bloomberg News report that he sought a carveout for the soup-and-sandwich chain in sweeping fast food legislation Newsom signed last fall.

Greg Flynn said in a statement Friday that he never met with Newsom or tried to get “an exemption or special considerations,” although he acknowledged he opposed the bill — including in a meeting with Newsom staffers — and pushed for a definition of “fast food restaurants” that excluded eateries like bakeries and delis. He also said that he and Newsom never met when they attended the same high school.

At the center of the rising uproar is a clause saying the law did not apply to restaurants that bake bread onsite and sell it as a separate item. Bill sponsor SEIU has said the provision was intended to help define what is and is not fast food.

Newsom last week denied that Panera would be exempt from the law and reiterated his position on NBC 4 Los Angeles’ “News Conference” program. “It’s absurd… on the merits it is factually incorrect," he said.

Jeremy B. White

 

On the ground in Albany. Get critical policy news and analysis inside New York State. Track how power brokers are driving change across legislation and budget and impacting lobbying efforts. Learn more.

 
 
TOP TALKERS

— Treacherous road conditions closed I-80 over the weekend, but that hasn’t stopped snowboarders and skiers from being lured by Tahoe’s “ton of powder.” (San Francisco Chronicle)

— State officials  gave Waymo the greenlight to expand their robotaxi service into Los Angeles and San Mateo County. (Los Angeles Times)

— A group of Beverly Hills middle schoolers passed around AI-generated nude photos of their classmates. Police are trying to figure out how to handle it. (Los Angeles Times).

 

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PLAYBOOKERS

SPOTTED: NEWSOM’S SNL TREATMENT — Saturday Night Live spoofed Gov. Gavin Newsom over the weekend, cracking fun at his over-the-top defense of President Joe Biden’s age. Newsom was played by SNL cast member Michael Longfellow during the show’s cold open. As far as impressions go, we’ve seen better versions of our slick-haired, silver-tongued governor.

TRANSITIONS — John Casey, the longtime communications director for Speaker Emeritus Anthony Rendon, has come out of retirement and returned to the Capitol. This time, he’s working for Pro Tem Emeritus Toni Atkins, a 2026 candidate for governor, as a senior consultant.

Maya Valentine is joining Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester’s (D-Del.) office as comms director. She previously has been comms director for Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D-Calif.), and is a Steny Hoyer alum.

BIRTHDAYS — Yelp’s Amanda Bertholf … (was Sunday): former Rep. Paul Cook (R-Calif.) … (was Saturday): Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.) … Yuri Beckelman Sally Rosen PhillipsLevi Russell … (was Friday): Joel Wachs ... Lou Gerstner Zev Garber ... Peter Guber

MEA CULPA — Friday’s newsletter incorrectly named the lawmaker celebrating a birthday on Feb. 29. Assemblymember Mike's Fong birthday is on Leap Day.

CALIFORNIA POLICY IS ALWAYS CHANGING: Know your next move. From Sacramento to Silicon Valley, POLITICO California Pro provides policy professionals with the in-depth reporting and tools they need to get ahead of policy trends and political developments shaping the Golden State. To learn more about the exclusive insight and analysis this subscriber-only service offers, click here.

Want to make an impact? POLITICO California has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Golden State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com.

 

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