Monday, February 5, 2024

Who'd be getting the new increased CTC?

Presented by the American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA): Delivered every Monday by 10 a.m., Weekly Tax examines the latest news in tax politics and policy.
Feb 05, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Bernie Becker

Presented by the American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA)

With help from Benjamin Guggenheim

Driving the day

WHAT ABOUT THAT TAX BILL? The Senate is about to work its last several days in Washington before recessing for a couple of weeks — and as you might have noticed, this bipartisan tax bill is not close to its top priority.

In other words, the business lobby and other supporters of the plan hashed out by Senate Finance Chair Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) and House Ways and Means Chair Jason Smith (R-Mo.) will continue to prod GOP senators who have laid out a series of objections to the bill. Still, it’s an open question what happens with the bill next in the Senate, and when.

Senate Republicans’ concerns with the Wyden-Smith plan — or at least the stated policy-related ones — largely rest with its approach to the Child Tax Credit. (The agreement would also offer a range of better tax breaks for companies.)

But the CTC expansion really does help a fairly narrow band of families, as Pro Tax’s Brian Faler reports this morning — particularly when compared with the Democrats’ 2021 monthly child payment program.

That initiative cost some $109 billion for a single year and offered assistance to roughly 40 million families, more than five times the approximately seven million families that would get more help from the current child credit proposal, which would cost around $33 billion over three years.

MORE ON THAT IN A BIT, but first thanks for reading another edition of Weekly Tax. Couldn’t get Grammy tickets last night? Then start planning your World Cup adventure.

Yes, you’ve heard them before: Today marks an even century since the first playing of what’s become known as the BBC pips — or more formally, the Greenwich Time Signal.

Give us a head's up on what's happening.

Email: bbecker@politico.com, bfaler@politico.com, bguggenheim@politico.com and teckert@politico.com.

You can also reach us on X at @berniebecker3, @Brian_Faler, @ben_guggenheim, @tobyeckert, @POLITICOPro and @Morning_Tax.

A message from the American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA):

End federal taxation on a program that helps maintain public and animal health. The AVMA-supported and bipartisan Rural Veterinary Workforce Act (H.R. 4355/S. 2829) would help increase veterinary services in rural shortage areas, protect public health, safeguard food safety, and strengthen the nation’s animal health infrastructure. The legislation would end the federal taxation on the Veterinary Medicine Loan Repayment Program and attract and retain more veterinarians to utilize the program and practice in underserved rural communities. Learn more.

 

BACK TO THE CTC: One of the interesting facets of the debate over the current child credit proposal is how differently it’s viewed — from not nearly generous enough by some House Democrats to an unnecessary cranking up of the welfare state by other GOP lawmakers.

Democrats’ approach to expanding the CTC was limited both by what Republicans would allow and how much money they had to pour into the program. Because of those constraints, advocates who support the deal say it made sense to focus more narrowly on helping lower-income parents with multiple children.

Already trying to sell this: Rep. Jen Kiggans (R-Va.), a freshman in a potentially competitive district, released a video following the House passage of the tax bill, trumpeting both its child credit expansion and its restoration of immediate write-offs for research expenses.

Kiggans’ response underscores another interesting side plot of this deal — it was basically an easy yes vote for more centrist lawmakers in both parties, at least in the House.

That is, of course, unless you were a blue-state Republican seeking to pick away at the $10,000 cap on state and local deductions.

GOP lawmakers from New York got their leadership to wave forward a bill to let joint filers making up to a half-million dollars a year deduct up to $20,000 in state and local taxes for 2023. That proposal, however, is not on the weekly House schedule for this week.

ICYMI: Pro Tax’s Benjamin Guggenheim took a deep dive into how a historically dysfunctional House of Representatives ended up passing a bipartisan tax bill by a 357 to 70 vote.

How’d they do it? “A combination of leadership tactics, old-fashioned logrolling, an end-run around the most virulent opposition, intense lobbying by business and the support of interest groups across the ideological spectrum, even if some of it was grudging.”

Also ICYMI: Ever wonder whether former President Donald Trump will have more to say about this tax bill, particularly since he’s not been shy about weighing in on Congress’ efforts at border security?

Smith did brief Trump late in 2023 about the contours of what ended up being the tax bill, as our Burgess Everett, Olivia Beavers and Meredith McGraw noted. That might help explain why Trump and his team haven’t sought to undercut the bill, even as others on the right have raised some hay about the bill continuing to allow American-born children of undocumented immigrants to claim the child credit.

In fact, a Trump alumni group publicly has supported the bill, and Republican senators have been openly wondering whether the former president himself will follow suit.

WHAT DO THE PRACTITIONERS SAY? Natasha Sarin says she got the idea for her latest venture while serving in the Treasury Department as lawmakers and the Biden administration tried to put together the Inflation Reduction Act and other pieces of legislation — which included frantic last-minute searches for potential revenue-raisers to make the numbers work.

“There was a scurry, right?” Sarin, now a professor at Yale Law School, told Weekly Tax. “There wasn’t a real chance to engage practitioners on ‘if you were going to do something on private equity, what would you want to do?’”

Sarin’s latest initiative, the Tax Reform Project, hopes it can help fill that current gap when policymakers enter negotiations next year over the expiring individual tax provisions from the GOP’s 2017 tax law.

In short, the new initiative hopes to create a practitioners’ equivalent of Treasury’s annual Green Book of tax policy ideas, with a focus on making proposals more workable, equitable and simpler.

The Tax Reform Project will invite practitioners to send their own ideas for improving the tax system to an online portal. Fred Goldberg, a former IRS chief; Leslie Samuels, a former assistant Treasury secretary for tax policy; and former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers are joining Sarin in starting the new project.

Sarin told Weekly Tax that Goldberg, Samuels and Summers all regretted that the policymaking process is more rushed today. “There are a lot of good ideas and groups, incidentally, who sit eager to help inform the policy process in the practitioner world,” Sarin added. “The hope was to create some kind of conduit, certainly for 2025, but also even beyond that.”

For that to happen, Sarin said it’s crucial to get as many ideas from the broader practitioner world as possible. Policymakers both on the Hill and in the executive branch have told her that they’re interested in more input from practitioners, but hopefully packaged in a more condensed way like the Green Book or how CBO offers revenue-raising options.

"Those are proposals that policymakers go back to, and resources they engage with over and over,” Sarin said. “Our hope is that our resource is also going to be something that people engage with seriously as they’re making policy at all stages of the process.”

DON’T FORGET ABOUT THE FUNDING: Dozens of civil rights groups wrote to Democratic congressional leaders urging them to stand strong against IRS funding cuts.

The groups say they’re worried that the IRS’s base funding could be reduced as appropriators flesh out individual spending bills. They’re also still lobbying against the $20 billion cut, out of the $80 billion that the agency got from the IRA, that Democrats are allowing, and want lawmakers to block any potential riders that might seek to hinder the direct filing portal that the IRS is rolling out.

“It’s essential for you to unequivocally state your strong opposition to any further reductions in IRS funding,” the groups wrote to Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries.

 

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Around the World

Reuters: “Australia PM to introduce bill to reshape tax cuts on Tuesday.”

Also Reuters: “Germany should consider corporate tax reform, say economy and finance ministers.”

Bloomberg: “Labour Unity Strains Under Starmer’s Focus on Tax and Business.”

 

A message from the American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA):

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Around the Nation

Associated Press: “Mississippi Republican governor again calls for phasing out personal income tax in his budget plan.”

San Francisco Chronicle: “Jerry Brown joins Newsom in urging California Supreme Court to remove tax measure from ballot.”

ProPublica: “The Oregon Timber Industry Won Huge Tax Cuts in the 1990s. Now It May Get Another Break Thanks to a Top Lawmaker.”

Also Worth Your Time

MarketWatch: “Mark Zuckerberg could pay millions to the IRS on Meta dividends. He still might be getting ‘a major break.’”

Tax Notes: “Some TCJA Economics for the Great 2025 Tax Debate.”

Bloomberg Tax: “Biden Nominates Three Tax Court Judges, First of His Term.”

 

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Did you know?

Gladys Knight’s brother Merald “Bubba” Knight and cousin Edward Patten were both members of the Pips.

A message from the American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA):

Pass the Rural Veterinary Workforce Act to protect animal and human welfare

In 2024, the USDA designated 240 rural veterinary shortage areas in 46 states, the highest number of shortage areas ever recorded. These shortages jeopardize animal and public health, endanger the nation’s food supply and agricultural economy, and compromise our ability to prevent the introduction and spread of disease.

The Veterinary Medicine Loan Repayment Program (VMLRP) has been highly successful in helping place and retain veterinarians in USDA-designated veterinary shortage areas by paying up to $75,000 in educational debt in exchange for their service.

Endorsed by the AVMA, the bipartisan Rural Veterinary Workforce Act would end the federal taxation on the VMLRP, align the tax treatment to the same program for physicians, and allow more veterinarians to remain in practice in underserved rural communities.

The AVMA urges Congress to help address rural veterinary shortages by passing the Rural Veterinary Workforce Act.

Learn more.

 
 

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Toby Eckert @tobyeckert

Bernie Becker @berniebecker3

Brian Faler @brian_faler

Benjamin Guggenheim @ben_guggenheim

 

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