Thursday, August 3, 2023

Congress’ last anti-abortion Dem isn’t going anywhere

A play-by-play preview of the day’s congressional news
Aug 03, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO Huddle

By Sarah Ferris, Daniella Diaz and Anthony Adragna

With assists from the POLITICO Hill team

Rep. Henry Cuellar speaks during a campaign event.

Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) was was left to fend for himself in last year's midterms. This cycle, Democratic leadership has his back. | Eric Gay/AP Photo

BIG BACKING FOR HENRY CUELLAR

What a difference the last 18 months made for Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas). After getting exiled by most of his party in 2022, Democrats’ last anti-abortion incumbent was left to fend for himself against a progressive primary challenger — the biggest scare of his career.

After an FBI search hit Cuellar just weeks before that primary, the Democratic money spigot mostly turned off for him. House Democrats’ top two leaders steered clear of Laredo, his political base on the U.S.-Mexico border.

Things have changed: Despite all that, Cuellar survived. Now he’s going on offense for 2024, sharing an endorsement list exclusively with POLITICO and the Texas Tribune in a warning shot to potential opponents.

The list includes the entire House Democratic leadership team: Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Minority Whip Katherine Clark (D-Mass.) and Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar (D-Calif.) — on top of the two former leaders who reined in their support for his 2022 race, Reps. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Steny Hoyer (D-Md.).

“Extreme MAGA Republicans targeted Henry for defeat last year. But the residents of South Texas decisively returned him back to Washington,” Jeffries said in a statement, adding: “Together, we will reclaim the majority in the House of Representatives.”

The big lessons here: Until progressive foe Jessica Cisneros emerged in 2019, Cuellar hadn’t faced a real race in more than a decade. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and other emboldened progressives pegged his seat as their next big chance to move the Democratic caucus further to the left.

In the end, they were nearly right. During an election defined by the fall of Roe v. Wade, Cisneros came within 289 votes of unseating the “King of Laredo.” But Cuellar’s ability to prevail, and emerge on stronger footing, shows that his party’s focus on abortion rights simply doesn’t play in every swing district — especially not Catholic-heavy south Texas.

Cuellar’s survival also proves that the electoral power of incumbency is diminishing but still matters. And it’s an undeniable boost to Democrats’ hopes of taking back the majority next fall.

Back to safety? Not only are there zero signs of a serious progressive challenge to Cuellar next year, there’s no chatter about a major GOP candidate in his purple district. Last cycle’s prized Republican recruit, Cassy Garcia, was backed by her former boss, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas). Cuellar trounced Garcia, 57 to 43 percent.

The only candidate registered to run against Cuellar in 2024 is a first-timer named Kyle Sinclair who’s raised just $18,306 so far this year. (Cuellar raked in $971,638 during that time.)

Far more of Republicans’ time and energy will likely be invested in a pair of nearby districts — Texas’s 34th, to unseat Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, and Texas’s 15th district, to protect GOP Rep. Monica De La Cruz.

— Sarah Ferris

 

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GOOD MORNING! Welcome to Huddle, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Tuesday, July 11, where there’s nothing Washington won’t stand in extremely long lines for, including mustard-flavored Skittles.

HOUSE GOP INVESTIGATORS AREN’T COUNTERPROGRAMMING TRUMP (YET)

Former President Donald Trump is set for arraignment at 4 p.m. Thursday on the four felony counts in his third indictment. He’s expected to show up in person at Washington’s downtown federal courthouse, a short walk from the Capitol.

Speaking of the Hill, we noticed an interesting move: House Republicans aren’t revving up any new investigative pushes to change the subject from Trump’s latest indictment.

That’s a break from the full-fledged pushback that the House GOP mounted earlier this year against Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg after Trump’s first indictment came down. (Reminder: Republicans already fired off letters about Smith's investigation in the lead up to his first indictment of the former president.)

The Republican response in the 24 hours since Trump’s indictment also signals that Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s (R-Ga.) colleagues aren’t quite bought into her calls to try to defund Special Counsel Jack Smith’s office over his indictment of Trump. Greene had gotten some backup from other prominent conservatives off the Hill on that.

It’s still early, of course, and GOP investigators on the House Oversight and Judiciary Committees could edge closer to Smith as Trump’s latest legal battle rages on. For now, though, House Republicans are essentially telling voters to look away from the growing list of charges against their presidential frontrunner — and toward the business dealings of first son Hunter Biden.

Virtually all the GOP reaction since Trump’s indictment Tuesday night has focused on details about President Joe Biden’s proximity to his son’s business clients, as outlined in an ex-Hunter Biden business associate’s Oversight Committee interview on Monday.

The big GOP get: One top Republican who has yet to publicly address Trump’s indictment is Mitch McConnell. The Senate minority leader said pointedly in a speech outlining his vote to acquit Trump in his second impeachment trial that there is “a criminal justice system in this country. We have civil litigation. And former presidents are not immune from being [held] accountable by either one.”

We reached out to his office on Wednesday, but McConnell didn’t comment.

— Anthony Adragna and Daniella Diaz

CAP POLICE: ‘WE’RE PREPARED’ FOR ARRAIGNMENT SCENE

Capitol Police Chief Thomas Manger told reporters on Wednesday that his department has been actively preparing for Trump’s arraignment, along with other law enforcement agencies. That includes a couple of calls on Wednesday to coordinate.

“We've all been working together in preparation for whenever – if the indictment in fact did happen,” Manger said at a media availability. “We're prepared for whatever.”

That preparation may well come into play on Thursday, if the hundreds of people who gathered in Miami for Trump’s arraignment back in June are any guide. (For those keeping track, that was the former president’s second indictment.)

— Nicholas Wu and Anthony Adragna

SENATE DEMS GEAR UP TO PIN SHUTDOWN RISK ON MCCARTHY

As House Republicans palpably struggle to get the votes for their own spending bills ahead of a Sept. 30 government shutdown deadline, the Democratic-controlled Senate is working pretty well with its GOP counterparts on bills that boast higher numbers.

And if Elizabeth Warren is any barometer (our answer: she is), Senate Democrats are all too ready to point a finger at the House GOP for gumming up the works as the odds of a shutdown grow ever higher.

Speaker Kevin McCarthy and his team “seem to be running some kind of clown show in which they all dress up in costumes and lay out the craziest possible proposals they can that they know will never make it through the Senate,” the Massachusetts Democrat told your Huddle host recently.

“If the House is determined to crash us into a government shutdown, there's not a lot the Senate can do to prevent that,” Warren added. “But right now, that's up to the House Republicans and Kevin McCarthy.

Translation: When lawmakers return to Washington next month with less than a month to stave off a shutdown, Senate Democrats are in no mood to give ground to McCarthy. The more Democrats sound like Warren, the less chance that House Republicans will find any appetite in the Senate for spending levels below this spring’s bipartisan debt limit deal.

— Daniella Diaz

 

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HUDDLE HOTDISH

Republican Sen. Todd Young, a pillar of Majority Leader Chuck Schumer’s efforts to craft new AI laws in the Senate, told our colleague Steven Overly that he doesn’t expect the U.S. will need sweeping legislation to mitigate the technology’s risks. Listen to the full interview on the POLITICO Tech podcast.

A bipartisan group of Florida lawmakers asked the White House to allow 98-year-old Holocaust survivor and musician Saul Dreier to perform at this year’s Hanukkah Party.

Some good news: Freshman Rep. Brandon Williams (R-N.Y.) said he’s been cleared to resume work after suffering complications from heart surgery.

QUICK LINKS 

Steil consults with Capitol Police about surveillance footage of Van Orden confrontation with teenage Senate pages, from Lawrence Andrea at the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

The Senate went into a shelter-in-place and partial evacuation following reports of an active shooter on the Capitol campus, from Katherine and Nicholas

Cruz disputes no facts in Trump indictment but blisters it as old news, political hit job, from Todd J. Gillman in The Dallas Morning News

James Comer skipped his panel’s big Biden probe interview with Devon Archer, from Roger Sollenberger and Sam Brodey

For an Ailing Feinstein, a Fight Over the Family Fortune, from Tim Arango and Shawn Hubler in The New York Times

TRANSITIONS 

Got a new gig on the Hill? Leaving for something else? Let us know!

TODAY IN CONGRESS

The House is out.

The Senate is out.

AROUND THE HILL

*Crickets*

TRIVIA

WEDNESDAY’S WINNER: James Brandell correctly guessed that two signatories of the Declaration of Independence, James Wilson, an associate justice of the Supreme Court, and Robert Morris, a close friend of George Washington’s, spent time in jail after neglecting loans.

TODAY’S QUESTION from James: Which former member of Congress opposed the funds for the construction of the Rayburn Building?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Huddle. Send your answers to aadragna@politico.com.

GET HUDDLE emailed to your phone each morning.

Follow Daniella and Anthony on X at @DaniellaMicaela and @AnthonyAdragna.

 

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