Sunday, July 30, 2023

Earnings Eyeopener, Pullback On This ETF, and Other Top Articles


 

Watchout For This Pullback

The EV craze has brought many electric vehicles on to the road but an interesting piece of Ford’s earnings call may be a warning that we are seeing a plateau. Ford tempered expectations in their call by saying the shift to EV is slowing. They spun it by noting they are ahead of other auto manufacturers and that they are in a good position to exploit this breather in the mad rush of EV production.

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Critical Earnings Lesson

Tuesday we talked about how to trade earnings and there definitely was something to learn from that exercise. (you can read it here) We dove into a strategy for trading earnings and looked at the charts to see what they could tell us. Although we ended the lesson with pointing out that stocks have a tendency to move erratically around earnings, we did notice that Microsoft had a stronger signal of a drop than Google. Sure enough, MSFT slipped after earnings.

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This Lagging Move Is Ripe To Grab

The market is always rotating its focus, and my goal is to stay 1 step or 1 day ahead.  For now, that may mean staying ahead of the move with a focus on a little move in energy names.

Oil has continued to be strong, and that’s an input to all energy-focused stocks.  Let’s take a look at USO, an ETF focused on oil:

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Big Tech Earnings Trade Ideas

Microsoft and Alphabet are ready to let folks know how they are doing. Big earnings announcements like these can be extremely tempting to try and trade. A solid beat of profit and the stock could soar. But, even a good performance that is below expectations can tank the price, not to mention what happens if there is bad news.

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Chart of the Day: Target (TGT)

With millions of students heading back to school in just weeks, it’s time to pick up bargain retail stocks, including Target (TGT).

For one, consumers are expected to spend up to $41.5 billion for back to school gear, which should pass the $37.1 billion spent in 2021. Back to school college spending could hit $94 billion, about $20 billion more than last year, according to the National Retail Federation.

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What You May Not Realize About Indexes

Swing traders have been largely destroyed in the last 6 weeks as the market chops sideways along with the vast majority of equities. The technology stocks have been the safe place to hide. And that is great as long as it continues. But if for any reason at all the market starts to sell off, these stocks are vulnerable. The top 3 stocks have contributed 70% of the gain in the SP 500 this year. The top 7 stocks make up 50% of the Nasdaq composite average. And as long as everything is rosy at the top of the heap, those stats don’t mean much.

...Read More



 
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