Friday, April 14, 2023

😶One Indicator Sees a Rally for Stocks – Even in a Weak Economy

Good morning. As investors, the market's trend is often based on a preponderance of evidence...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. As investors, the market's trend is often based on a preponderance of evidence – how stocks have been trending, what are interest rates doing, how fares the economy, and so on. Most indicators are negative or neutral right now, reflecting a slowing economy and rising interest rates.

But there are a few countertrends. One is a momentum oscillator known as The Coppock, which suggests that stocks may be a good buying opportunity right now. Of course, any investor will tell you that there's always something worth buying in any market. And with last year's selloff, there are more bargains than there was a year or two ago.

We'll stick with being cautious right now, and investors who stick with dividend stocks bought at a reasonable price should fare well now. Traders will continue to benefit from the market's volatile moves both up and down in the months ahead until a stronger long-term trend emerges.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 34,029.69 +1.14%
S&P 4,146.22 +1.33%
NASDAQ 12,166.27 +1.99%
*As of market close
Stocks soared on Thursday, rebounding from Wednesday's drop.
Oil dipped 1.2 percent, closing at $82.30 per barrel.
Gold rose 1.5 percent, at $2,054 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies rallied, with Bitcoin hitting $30,351 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
When Markets Are Down, Buy the Boring Business
In a bull market, traders can profit by buying companies with an exciting story behind them. Those stocks tend to be runaway winners. But when the market is trading flat or down, the slow-and-steady, boring businesses can be the better winners.

That's because these companies can be more recession resistant. And they tend not to get as overvalued on the way up. That makes for a solid value play, and often one that pays out a solid source of growing income.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Clearway Energy (CWEN)
Totalenergies Se, a major holder of Clearway Energy (CWEN), recently added 71,980 shares. The buy increased the fund's position by  $2.42 million on top of its existing position.

The fund last bought shares in mid-2021. Otherwise, trading has been relatively quiet, with 2 buys from a company director, and a sale from the company President and CEO back in November.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Delta Air Lines (DAL)
Airline carrier Delta Air Lines (DAL) has pulled back in recent weeks, as fears of a slowing economy may soften demand for air travel. One trader sees a further downside in the weeks ahead.

That's based on the May $29 puts. With 35 days until expiration, 5,772 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 114, for a 51-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.38 to make the bearish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Supplier Prices Drop 0.5 Percent for March

The producer price index, which measures what suppliers pay for goods, dropped 0.5 percent in March. That's the largest drop for that index in nearly 3 years. Added in with the earlier consumer price inflation data this week, and it's clear that inflation continues to slow overall.
Banks Continue to Fund Fossil Fuel Energy

While there's been a push to invest in renewable energy programs, the world's largest banks provided nearly $673 billion in financing for fossil fuel energy projects and companies last year. Canadian banks increased their investments in the space, although the U.S. still remains the industry leader for such funds
Grantham Warns on Market Bubble

Investor Jeremy Grantham of GMO has warned that financial markets are in a bubble, and last month's struggle in the banking space may just be the beginning. Grantham has often known for his bearish views, but he has forewarned on a number of market drops, including the dot-com crash in 2000.
Amazon Unveils AI Platform Bedrock

Amazon (AMZN) is releasing Bedrock. The program through its AWS hosting platform division, provides a way to build generative AI-powered apps. The program also has foundation models to get started out there. Amazon sees the possibility for every application to be reimagined with generative AI.
Ethereum Completes Shanghai Upgrade

Cryptocurrency Ethereum has completed its Shanghai upgrade. The upgrade allows for more liquidity for investors and staking. The price of Ethereum touched on $2,000, its highest level since last August, as the two-year lockup period on staking withdrawals was completed.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
SEDG  7.773%
ENPH  7.475%
FCX 5.431%
AMZN 4.702%
NFLX 4.486%
BOTTOM
PGR 6.77%
PSA 3.074%
WDC 2.882%
EXR 2.745%
ODFL 2.029%

Quote of the Day
Moderating price pressures combined with signs of cooling in the labor market will offer a temporary reprieve to markets. While this is good news, it does not mean tightening is over. Core inflation remains far above the Fed's target, and the path to 2% will be bumpy. With core CPI likely to end the year above 3%, the Fed has more work to do before it can declare victory over inflation.
- Ronald Temple, analyst at Lazard, on the latest inflation report, which shows a decline, but not enough to justify an end to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle.

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