↘️Even With the Decline, Inflation’s Still Double the Fed’s Target

Good morning. Markets initially cheered the news that inflation dropped more than expected. But a...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Markets initially cheered the news that inflation dropped more than expected. But a 5 percent inflation rate is still historically high, even if it's at the lowest level in two years. More importantly, it's more than twice the Fed's inflation target of 2 percent. In other words, inflation may have dropped nearly in half from its peak of 9.6 percent last year… but there's still another half to go. With the banking system feeling the strain of rapidly-rising interest rates already, that second half may not be the soft-landing that markets have priced in. Traders should continue to be cautious, and look for market volatility to continue. The good news? That means more trading opportunities both long and short in the weeks and months ahead. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content What's a Strong Buy Tomorrow? And Q2 is off to the race, trader! Is Apple (AAPL) stock expected to rise? That seems to be the question. But rather than review analysis of 12-month price forecasts and the whole 9 yards, sometimes your best opportunities are standing directly in front of you. And with artificial intelligence, strong buys can be spotted in a snap 1 - 3 days in advance with up to 87.4% proven accuracy. Want to learn more? SAVE YOUR SEAT HERE >> MARKETS DOW 33,646.50 -0.11% S&P 4,091.95 -0.41% NASDAQ 11,929.34 -0.85% *As of market close • Stocks traded lower on Wednesday, as traders digested the latest inflation data. • Oil rallied 2.2 percent, closing at $83.29 per barrel. • Gold rose 0.5 percent, at $2,029 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies generally dipped, with Bitcoin hitting $29,939 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS Buy the Winner in a Consolidating Industry When an industry starts out, there may be dozens, if not hundreds of competitors. But, much like the automotive industry, eventually the space will consolidate into a few big players. Sometimes, that consolidation will occur through acquisitions. Other times, an economic crisis or two will also help to shake out weaker competitors. And consumer tastes and preferences may make it easy for a big player to stay big, even if newer companies try and grab market share. » FULL STORY Insider Trading Report: BRT Apartments Corp (BRT) Jeffrey Gould, President and CEO at BRT Apartments Corp (BRT), recently added 4,858 shares. The buy increased his holdings by less than 1 percent, and came to a total cost of $90,721. He was joined by a senior vice president who bought the same quantity on the same day. Over the past year, members of the Gould family have been steady and consistent buyers, with one insider sale from the company COO this year. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: Caterpillar (CAT) Construction machinery manufacturer Caterpillar (CAT) has traded flat over the past year, following a sizeable drop and rally over the past few months. One trader sees shares moving higher into the summer. That's based on the August $260 calls. With 127 days until expiration, 35,041 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 560, for a 63-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $3.83 to make the bullish bet. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Inflation Slows to 5 Percent in March Consumer prices rose at a 5 percent annualized rate for March, the lowest level in two years, even as the consumer price index rose 0.1 percent in March compared to February. Overall, the drop in inflation was slightly larger than expected, with expectations for inflation to slow to 5.2 percent. • 60-40 Investment Strategy Rebounds The investment strategy built around a 60 percent allocation to stocks and a 40 percent allocation to bonds is recovering strongly after having a rare losing year in 2022. Investors who stayed the course have seen a strong rebound, as bond prices have started to steady and stock prices rose in the first quarter of the year. • Whole Foods Joins Companies Leaving San Francisco The flagship Whole Foods location in downtown San Francisco is closing after about a year in operation. The company is citing the safety of employees. San Francisco has been plagued by rising crime rates, and shoplifters aren't being prosecuted in California for sums under $950. Whole Foods is owned by Amazon (AMZN). • Buffett Buys Stake in 5 Japanese Trading Firms Investor Warren Buffett has disclosed an investment in five trading firms based in Japan. Buffett has cited the valuation, with a strong earnings yield and dividend growth from the companies as the rationale behind investing. The investor may continue to buy shares if the value remains strong. • User Spending on AI Grows 4,000 Percent User spending on artificial intelligence apps has grown by 1,480 percent year-over-year, and downloads have grown by 1,506 percent year-over-year. And in-app spending has grown by 4,184 percent year-over-year, hitting $3 million in March from next to nothing a year ago. The growth is expected to continue as AI use expands. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP FDX  7.925% NEM  5.363% NVDA 1.817% CBOE 1.815% EBAY 1.677% BOTTOM FRC 31.602% USB 9.227% ENPH 9.06% CMA 8.402% LNC 8.028% Quote of the Day On the one hand, easing employment conditions reflect the impact of the Fed's rate hikes, indicating that policy is restrictive. Yet on the other hand the tight labor market implies that a recession is not imminent. Despite the slowdown in the pace of nonfarm payroll employment, the March figure remains more than double the 100 thousand jobs per month that Fed Chair [Jerome] Powell cited in a November speech as the pace needed to accommodate population growth over time. - A BCA Research analyst note, suggesting that the labor market still remains too tight, and that higher interest rates may be needed to ensure that inflation gets back down to the Fed's stated goal of 2 percent. Sponsored Content There's A New Set Of Trading Rules Struggling with your trades and wondering if the issue could be with the market, rather than yourself? Don't worry, you're in control, and with the help of A.I., you can anticipate trend reversals to know when to sit on the sidelines or act. This tool will also show you how you're falling in love with the wrong stocks if you're getting your information from the wrong sources, panic-selling in volatility or feeling overwhelmed. 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