Monday, March 27, 2023

Netanyahu neutering the Supreme Court

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Mar 27, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO Global Insider

By Ryan Heath

Follow Ryan on Twitter | Send tips and insights to rheath@politico.com

ISRAEL — MASS PROTESTS, GENERAL STRIKE, GOVERNMENT ON ROCKS

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wants to limit the Israeli Supreme Court’s powers to rule against the legislature and the executive, including by allowing the Knesset to override Supreme Court decisions with a simple majority of votes. The effect would be to neuter the independence of the court.

Netanyahu’s government might not get the chance to implement the plan. National security minister MK Itamar Ben-Gvir, who leads the minor Otzma Yehudit party, on which Netanyahu depends for a parliamentary majority, is considering quitting, the Times of Israel reported this morning. Also today: Israeli President Isaac Herzog pleaded with Netanyahu to halt the legislation, while on Sunday Israel's Consul General in New York, Asaf Zamir, resigned in protest.

At the moment, mass protests against Netanyahu's plans are spiraling into a general strike that has already grounded flights in and out of the country’s main airport.

That’s all after Netanyahu fired his defense minister on Sunday, which prompted the White House to jump in quickly with an unusual White House intervention on Sunday, in which National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson urged “Israeli leaders to find a compromise as soon as possible.” Israel’s president told Netanyahu: “For the sake of the unity of the people of Israel, for the sake of responsibility, I am calling on you to stop legislation immediately.”

The next question: What will the U.S. withhold, if anything, in order to get its way? And will it treat Israel differently than, say, Hungary would be treated in response to such a policy change?

 

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THE WEEK AHEAD

MONDAY

Vice President Kamala Harris arrived on the African continent this weekend and is traveling this week in Ghana, Tanzania and Zambia (more below).

U.S. and Colombian government officials will meet today and Tuesday in Washington D.C., in the tenth so-called U.S.-Colombia High-Level Dialogue.

TUESDAY

President Biden will begin a three-week domestic roadshow selling his economic program, starting with yet another chipmaker — Wolfspeed — in Durham, North Carolina.

The Senate Finance Committee will hold a bank failure hearing (to be followed by the House doing the same on Wednesday).

Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland delivers her much-anticipated budget — including the country’s reply to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act.

WEDNESDAY 

From 6 a.m. ET Biden and 100 “partner governments” will participate in first day of the virtual Summit for Democracy. Biden is co-hosting with President Rodrigo Chaves Robles (Costa Rica), President Hakainde Hichilema (Zambia), Prime Minister Mark Rutte (Netherlands), and President Yoon Suk Yeol (South Korea).

The discussion will be sure to prompt backlash from Beijing, given it will feature Jewher Ilham, a Uyghur rights activist from the Worker Rights Consortium,

Biden will also host President Alberto Fernández of Argentina for a bilateral meeting at the White House.

THURSDAY 

Each of the Summit for Democracy’s five co-host countries will lead an in-person or hybrid minister-level regional gathering on topics ranging from “Democracy Delivering Justice for All” (led by Rutte) to “Democracy Delivering Strong Institutions” (led by Hichilema).

Secretary of State Antony Blinken will lead a discussion on “Advancing Technology for Democracy.”

WHERE TO JOIN GLOBAL INSIDER: POLITICO’s first ever Global Tech Day is taking place June 15 at County Hall, London, and online. Register here.

GLOBAL RISKS AND TRENDS

ANOTHER DAY, ANOTHER SENIOR US OFFICIAL IN AFRICA —The U.S. is playing catch-up in Africa this week, again. This time it's Harris, who is spending six days in Ghana, Tanzania and Zambia. Harris is the fifth U.S. official in three months to make landfall in Africa. President Joe Biden has promised to visit Africa later this year.

On arrival in Ghana, Harris used brief remarks Sunday before a crowd assembled at Accra’s airport to announce “I’m very excited about the future of Africa.”

In practice that excitement means plenty of talks over the coming week on how to increase American investment and how to manage China’s role as a debtholder in the region. Today, 22 African countries are either bankrupt or at high risk of debt distress per the International Monetary Fund, including Ghana and Zambia.

DO LOOK UP! You’ll be able to see Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus lined up in an arc shape below the moon this week, from anywhere on Earth, with Tuesday offering the clearest view for Americans.

ECONOMY — IMF’S GEORGIEVA SEES FINANCIAL STABILITY RISKS: The outlook for the global economy will remain weak in the medium-term, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Sunday at a conference in China. “Even with a better outlook for 2024, global growth will remain well below its historic average of 3.8 percent,” she said.

“It is also clear that risks to financial stability have increased,” Georgieva said during the second day of the China Development Forum in Beijing. The three-day annual event is a social mixer of politics and business, bringing together members of the Chinese Politburo with dozens of CEOs from Western companies like Siemens, Mercedes-Benz and Allianz.

RUSSIA — PUTIN TO MOVE NUKES TO BELARUS: In a long-flagged move, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Saturday he would shift tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus, by July 1.

From Russia with interest: The EU is looking into investing frozen assets belonging to the Russian central bank to reap returns, according to a paper by the Commission set to be discussed on Tuesday by national experts, and obtained by POLITICO’s Paola Tamma.

The paper suggests investing in “liquid, highly-rated assets,” an approach that would require tweaking the EU sanctions regime and which could generate around 2.6 percent annual returns.

INDIA — RAHUL GANDHI SENTENCED TO PRISON, BARRED FROM PARLIAMENT: India’s democracy is looking ever more fragile this week. The leader of India’s opposition Congress Party was sentenced to two years in prison for mocking Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s surname on Thursday, and on Friday was disqualified from parliament by Modi’s allies. The actions stem from a 2019 speech in which Gandhi referred to thieves as having the surname Modi.

LATIN AMERICA — U.S. - COLOMBIA LOOK TO BROADEN RELATIONS: A delegation of top Colombian government officials led by Foreign Minister Álvaro Leyva Durán is visiting Washington this week to meet with Secretary of State Blinken, and the country’s ambassador told POLITICO’s Daniel Lippman that the meetings represent a new focus on non-security issues in the relationship between the two countries.

“It has always been the same; it has always been about business, politics, drugs and security,” Murillo said. “Now, both governments are making a big signal in how they want to broaden the dialogue by also adding in education, culture and inclusive development.”

Along with Leyva, four ministers and eight deputy ministers representing those issues as well as women’s rights, tech connectivity and energy transition will meet with U.S. government officials on Monday and Tuesday in the tenth so-called U.S.-Colombia High-Level Dialogue. Senior members of the delegation will also meet with deputy secretary of state Wendy Sherman and deputy national security adviser Jon Finer, as well as senior members of Congress.

Colombia is one of the most unequal economies in the world. Murillo, the first-ever Black ambassador to the U.S. from Colombia, said that the country’s first leftist government during its 200 years of diplomatic relations with the U.S., has prioritized bringing public services and economic prosperity to regions who have traditionally been left behind.

The administration of President Gustavo Petro wants more technical assistance from the U.S. in dealing with migrants given the huge migratory flows from neighbor Venezuela, and hopes this week’s meetings will pave the way for a meeting between Biden and Petro.

TUNISIA — ON THE BRINK OF DEFAULT: President Kais Saied, who now rules without the checks and balances of a legislature, and whose administration has been arresting opposition politicians, now faces bankruptcy after missing payments on a $2 billion IMF finance package.

The World Bank paused loans to Tunisia two weeks ago, and today European Economic Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni is in Tunis to push for reforms. All that sets the stage for tense discussions during the IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings starting April 10.

BY THE NUMBERS

EU CEOS ARE GREENER AND LESS IN DIGITAL THAN U.S. PEERS: European CEOs are more worried that their companies won’t be viable in 10 years than their U.S. peers (37 percent vs. 20 percent). The European cohort are less likely to deploy artificial intelligence, cloud or other advanced digital technology in the coming year (66 percent vs. 81 percent), but more likely to invest in climate-friendly products and processes than their U.S. counterparts (71 percent vs. 50 percent), according to a PwC survey of 1,000 business leaders.

GLOBETROTTERS

CROATIA JOINS EUROPE’S VISA-FREE ZONE: The Balkan nation has officially been a part of the Schengen Zone since January, but didn’t apply the new rights to its airports until today.

HOW CHARLES MICHEL LOST THE ROOM: The European Council president is just 48 and has already led his home country Belgium. But many national leaders across Europe are sick of the way Michel is handling their monthly summits (which he leads), report POLITICO’s Brussels team, and complain he’s too focused on looking for a new global role, rather than doing the job he’s got.

NIGERIA’S ORGAN-TRAFFICKING SENATOR: Nigerian senator and wife convicted of organ trafficking: Ike Ekweremadu, 60, a former deputy president of Nigeria’s senate, plotted to arrange a transplant for his daughter at a London hospital, and has been convicted of organ harvesting, in a landmark British legal case under the country’s Modern Slavery Act.

HOTEL RWANDA STAR RELEASED FROM PRISON: Paul Rusesabagina, the Belgian-American who was celebrated as a hero in the movie Hotel Rwanda for saving lives during the Rwandan genocide, has been released from a politically motivated 25-year prison sentence. He is expected to return home to his family in San Antonio, Texas.

BRITAIN’S NEXT FINANCE MINISTER? POLITICO’s Westminster Insider podcast profiles the woman who could be running Britain alongside Labour leader Keir Starmer in a year’s time: Shadow Chancellor Rachel Reeves.

BRAIN FOOD

The global transformation of Christianity is here, by Tish Harrison Warren. A century ago 80 percent of the world’s Christians lived in Western countries, now it’s down to 37 percent.

From one dictator dad to another, by Julia Llewellyn Smith: Monica Macias was just seven when her African despot father dumped her with another feared leader, North Korea’s Kim Il-sung.

Thanks to editor Heidi Vogt and producer Sophie Gardner.

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