Monday, March 27, 2023

🦁As Banks Teeter, Inflation Comes Roaring Back

Good morning. The Federal Reserve's rapid interest rate hikes of the past year were designed to...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. The Federal Reserve's rapid interest rate hikes of the past year were designed to bring down inflation fast. Instead, inflation is at 6 percent. And by some measures, it's rising once again. The latest PMI data showed services business activity hitting an 11-month high. And manufacturing output hit a 10-month high.

With the Fed now poised to stop raising interest rates, it's likely that inflation will stay higher for longer. And if the government or the Fed put up billions of dollars to backstop the banking industry, it's possible that we see an even further resurgence in inflation.

On one level, that may slow the decline in the stock market. But the top winners may be commodity plays, and companies that can raise their prices in excess of inflation.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 32,237.53 +0.41%
S&P 3,970.99 +0.56%
NASDAQ 11,823.96 +0.31%
*As of market close
Markets closed higher on Friday, reversing a morning loss.
Oil dropped 1.1 percent, last going for $69.18 per barrel.
Gold dipped 0.8 percent, ending at $1,980 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies generally moved lower, with bitcoin at $27,837 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Invest With Companies Facing Specific, Yet Solvable, Fears
The market's bearishness is reflected in the tendency to sell shares of a company first, and ask questions later… if at all. However, many companies selling off right now are still fine operationally. A few may even benefit from the current slowing economy, as competitors change their business or even go bankrupt.

That makes this a stockpicker's market. And the way to profit from that is to find companies that have been hit hard from specific fears that can abate in time.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: UMH Properties (UMH)
Daniel Landy, an EVP at UMH Properties (UMH), recently bought 1,900 shares. The buy increased his stake by 1 percent, and came to a total price of $33,089.

That's on top of a number of smaller buys from other company insiders, including two directors, and the company President and CEO in recent weeks. Insiders have only been buyers of shares in the past year, with some director sales going back further.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Deutsche Bank (DB)
Major international money center bank Deutsche Bank (DB) has been under pressure, and shares are down 20 percent over the past year. One trader sees further weakness in the coming months.

That's based on the May $8 puts. With 53 days until expiration, 13,388 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 369, for a 36-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.80 to make the bearish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Credit Access Narrows Amid Banking Stress

Many companies are avoiding issuing new debt right now, amid a banking crisis. No companies with investment-grade credit issued new bonds over the past week, the first time in 10 years that's happened. And junk bond sales have also slowed this month as investors take a "wait and see" attitude as well.
Schwab Says It's Prepared for Leaving Depositors

Finance giant Charles Schwab (SCHW) has stated that it's prepared for the total departure of all its depositors, thanks to a position with ample liquidity. Other financial institutions have been monitoring their depositor activity, and updating on liquidity needs in recent days.
Riots in France Amid Pension Reform Protests

Over one million have rioted in France in recent days, as the country moves forward with unpopular pension reforms. The biggest issue is the country's move to change the retirement age from 62 to 64, which was pushed through the French parliament without a vote.
British Regulator Eases on Microsoft-Activision Deal Concerns

The U.K.'s Competition and Markets Authority is dropping some of its concerns between the proposed merger between Microsoft (MSFT) and Activision Blizzard (ATVI). The regulatory agency states that it no longer sees the deal lessening competition in the console games market.
Crypto Faces Increased Regulatory Scrutiny

With the recent failure of banks heavily invested in the cryptocurrency space, regulators are eyeing ways to better oversee the space. Crypto brokerage Coinbase (COIN) was issued a Wells notice from the SEC, informing the company of a pending enforcement action, likely involving staking through a third-party service.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
ATVI  5.911%
KEY  5.235%
ISRG  4.888%
CCI  4.614%
SIRI 4.432%
BOTTOM
MPWR 4.917%
ENPH 4.236%
LRCX 4.112%
ON 3.903%
WBD 3.648%

Quote of the Day
Even if the banking woes have been contained and the deposit flight is over, I don't think they'll prove to be the only set of headlines that pose risks to the economy. What might be more likely in coming months is some sort of credit problem as companies' debt matures and they need to refinance their operations at much higher rates than before.
- Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi, on the potential risks to the financial system even if the current fears in the banking market have subsided.

Sponsored Content
The collapse of banks is a sign that "The Great Reset" is moving forward as planned.
Despite not wanting this to happen, we are powerless to prevent it, and instead need to shift our mindset to thrive while most of the world struggles. Because within all the chaos lies an opportunity unlike anything investors have ever seen before.

Watch "America's Last Stand" now to see how you can profit from the inevitable "Great Reset" happening right now!

Clicking automatically opts you into Boardwalk Flock's newsletter (privacy policy)


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