Monday, December 5, 2022

😬 Tax man cometh

Plus: Food signal | Monday, December 05, 2022
 
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Axios Markets
By Emily Peck and Matt Phillips · Dec 05, 2022

😅 Welcome back. Somehow it's Monday again. The holidays are fast approaching. Sam Bankman-Fried is still talking to the press; but isn't ready to chat with Congress just yet. Hmmm.

Today's newsletter is 775 words, 3 minutes.

 
 
1 big thing: Crypto taxes are complicated
Illustration of a glowing coin on top of a pile of receipts

Illustration: Natalie Peeples/Axios

 

The world of crypto is a new frontier for a host of government agencies — and the IRS is no exception, Emily writes.

Why it matters: Though changes are happening slowly, the agency's trying to make sure that Americans who dabble in digital assets pay their fair share of taxes — while other regulators grapple with the more existential questions of crypto's place in our financial system.

State of play: A new law is scheduled to go into effect in 2023 that will make tax filing for investors a bit easier and cut down on scofflaws. Exchanges and brokerages will be required to report customer information directly to the IRS and to investors themselves (as now happens with stock transactions).

  • Experts say it could get postponed — but it'll happen at some point.
  • Until then, most investors rely on software like CoinTracker and CoinLedger to track investments.

Between the lines: The ongoing crypto winter may have reduced the number of folks with taxable gains this year — but the volatility can complicate the tracking of net gains and losses for tax purposes, especially for those who trade actively, says Charles Kolstad, a partner at Withers who heads the law firm's worldwide cryptocurrency practice group.

Flashback: The agency ramped up enforcement efforts last year and has subpoenaed some exchanges, including Kraken and Circle, seeking customer information this year.

  • "There's a tax force within the agency devoted to this," Kolstad says. "Anyone who thinks that they can get away with not reporting their crypto are fooling themselves."

The IRS is also still trying to update its tax forms to capture all the rapidly evolving digital assets that Americans just may owe taxes on.

  • This year, for the third time, it changed the language on the common tax form, the 1040.
  • It now asks taxpayers, on the form front page, if they've traded, bought or sold any "digital assets" in the past year (according to a draft version released earlier this year) — whereas the 2021 form used the term "digital currency."
  • "I think they're trying to make sure NFTs and the like are covered," says Mark Luscombe, a tax analyst at Wolters Kluwer.
  • Every tax filer must answer yes or no — so there's no excuse of "I had no idea" if you don't pay up.

Worth noting: Some investors have assets locked up at FTX or other bankrupt crypto companies.

  • They won't be able to write off the potential losses on their taxes until the bankruptcy process is over — and that could take years.

The bottom line: Tax season for all kinds of investors might hurt a little more than usual this year — digital assets are no exception.

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Bonus chart: 📉 Down down down
Data: CoinGecko; Chart: Axios Visuals
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2. Catch up quick

😕 CEO optimism fading as economy teeters.  (Axios)

🛢 Oil prices rise as Russian price cap goes into effect. (WSJ)

⬇️ Elon Musk's year of losing. (Axios)

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A message from Walmart

Walmart named one of LinkedIn's Top 20 Companies to Grow a Career
 
 

Patrick Joseph began his Walmart career as a pharmacy intern. Today, he oversees 11 pharmacies and eight vision centers — and his story is just one of many.

See how Walmart's focus on mentorship and advancement helps create more stories like Patrick's.

 
 
3. Child care shortage slowly easing
Data: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via Fred; Chart: Axios Visuals

The number of child care workers is slowly ticking up — with 10,000 employees added over the past two months — but still is about 9% below pre-pandemic levels as employers struggle to hire, Emily writes.

Why it matters: The U.S. needs more people in the workforce, and a shortage of child care workers sure isn't helping.

The bottom line: U.S. labor force participation fell for the third straight month in November. One possible reason is that parents are having trouble finding someone to look after their children.

  • The shortage also helps push older workers out of the labor force as some pitch in to help watch grandchildren at home.

Previously: Why there's a child care worker shortage

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4. 📉 Fertilizer pullback
Data: Green Markets, A Bloomberg Company; Chart: Axios Visuals

Fertilizer prices are down about 40% since March, Axios' Kate Marino writes.

Why it matters: Lower fertilizer prices should translate to slowing food inflation.

  • "The recent drop in fertilizer prices suggest that food inflation should continue to decelerate, and that peak food inflation is behind us," wrote Jacob Asbjornson, analyst at Neuberger Berman, in a recent note.

Flashback: The war in Ukraine, along with China's halt on fertilizer exports at the beginning of the year, gave momentum to already-rising fertilizer prices, raising fears of a global food security crisis, as Emily reported earlier.

  • As of March, average fertilizer prices in North America had tripled since January 2021.

Behind the recent drop: Supply chains de-bottlenecked, and prices moderated for natural gas, a main driver of fertilizer costs.

  • The Consumer Price Index shows that food inflation, while still higher than pre-pandemic times, has already started moderating.
  • Food prices grew by 0.6% in October, compared with 1.2% growth back in March.

What to watch: We'll get our next glimpse of U.S. food price trends with the November CPI figures, out next Wednesday, Dec. 14.

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A message from Walmart

Walmart is investing $1 billion in career training and development
 
 

At Walmart, a first promotion is often just the first of many — 75% of management started as hourly associates. That's just one reason why Walmart was named one of LinkedIn's Top Companies to Grow a Career in 2022.

Learn how Walmart's mentorship and training help associates advance in their careers.

 

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Today's newsletter was edited by Kate Marino and copy edited by Lisa Hornung.

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