Monday, December 5, 2022

✈️ Biden's first 2023 foreign trip

Plus: DNC faces Georgia roadblock | Monday, December 05, 2022
 
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Axios Sneak Peek
By Axios Sneak Peek · Dec 05, 2022

Welcome back to Sneak. Smart Brevity™ count: 778 words ... 3 minutes.

 
 
1 big thing: DNC faces Georgia roadblock
Illustration of a brick wall shaped like the state of Georgia.

Illustration: Lindsey Bailey/Axios

 

Georgia election officials are resisting efforts by the Democratic National Committee to move their state up in the 2024 primary window, complicating President Biden's carefully calibrated plans to reorder his party's nominating schedule, Axios' Emma Hurt and Alexi McCammond report.

Why it matters: Democratic leaders are committed to adding Georgia to the top five earliest voting states as a nod to voters of color and the crucial role it has played for them in recent cycles.

  • But Georgia election officials are saying no dice to split primaries, with Georgia Republicans unable to move their primary ahead of March 1.
  • "Our legal team has continuously stated that both parties' primaries must be on the same day and must not cost anyone any delegates," Georgia deputy secretary of state Jordan Fuchs told Axios.

Zoom in: Democrats recognize the uphill battle in giving the Peach State an earlier primary spot, but they believe that it's "a window worth fighting for," said Minyon Moore, a DNC member from Georgia and longtime political operative.

  • Biden flipped the state in 2020 after former President Trump won handily in 2016.
  • Georgians delivered a crucial pair of victories to Democrats when Sens. Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff won runoff elections in 2021.

Zoom out: Most states won't have the same challenges as Georgia.

  • Michigan will have an easier road moving its primary up. Democrats control state government and Michigan Republicans agree with the move.
  • Nevada also requires state law for calendar changes.
  • South Carolina's state Democratic Party chair oversees and approves any primary calendar changes.

🥊 The next fight: Iowa Democrats are threatening to caucus early even if the calendar changes, Axios Des Moines co-author Linh Ta reports.

  • The DNC could punish Iowa by taking away delegates, but the attention the state would get by continuing to court candidates may be more worthwhile to it.

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✈️ 2. Biden's first 2023 foreign trip

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, President Biden and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau at the White House in 2021. Photo: Chris Kleponis/CNP/Bloomberg via Getty Images

 

President Biden is planning to head to Mexico City next month for his first scheduled foreign trip of 2023, Axios' Hans Nichols has learned.

  • Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is also expected to attend the North American Leaders' Summit, sometimes known as the Three Amigos Summit.

Why it matters: White House officials know they need a better political — and policy — response to stem the flow of illegal migration across America's southern border, but there aren't any easy solutions at hand.

  • Convincing Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador to increase security on his own southern border to interdict migrants from Central America is one potential solution.

AMLO, as the Mexican president is known, snubbed Biden by not attending the Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles last summer, in protest of the administration's decision not to invite leaders from Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela.

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🎤 3. Moderates strike back

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

GOP moderates are threatening to work with Democrats to find an "agreeable Republican" if right-wingers scuttle Rep. Kevin McCarthy's bid for speaker, Axios' Andrew Solender reports.

Driving the news: Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.), co-chair of the Main Street Caucus, told Axios they "don't want to be held hostage" by the Freedom Caucus if McCarthy goes down.

  • Bacon floated working with Democrats to elect a consensus speaker.
  • "After multiple, multiple, multiple votes, and they're not willing to [budge] ... we will do our best to put something together and get an agreeable Republican," he said.
  • Bacon acknowledged their pick would, controversially, need to "get folks on the other side of the aisle" in order to cobble together a majority.

Zoom out: It's been nearly 100 years since a speaker election went to multiple ballots.

  • McCarthy can only afford a handful of GOP defections, but most of his supporters still expect him to become speaker when the dust clears.

What's next: More than 20 members of the Republican Governance Group put out a letter admonishing their anti-McCarthy colleagues to "put the posturing aside."

  • "This Conference cannot handcuff itself to a burning building before we gavel in the 118th Congress," Governance Group Chair Rep. David Joyce told Axios in a statement.

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✉️ 4. Scoop: Bipartisan push on fighting antisemitism
Screenshot: Twitter

A bipartisan group of more than 100 members of Congress is calling for President Biden to increase interagency cooperation to fight antisemitism, Axios' Sophia Cai reports.

  • "Combating a growing threat of this magnitude ... requires a strategic, whole-of-government approach," the group wrote in a letter to Biden.
  • "Interagency coordination also could benefit from considering a broadly understood definition of antisemitism, as several agencies have adopted or recognized individually," the group wrote.

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📸 5. Spot the senator
Credit: The latest cover of New York Magazine
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