Tuesday, December 20, 2022

Analysts predict tough 2023 for PE

Cross-border M&A market holds firm; female founders shrug over mixed 2022; Binance to buy Voyager assets for $1B; CPPIB, others stake Redaptive
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The Daily Pitch: VC, PE and M&A
December 20, 2022
The Daily Pitch is powered by PitchBook's industry-defining research and best-in-class data
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In today's Daily Pitch, you'll find:
  • The cross-border M&A market holds steady and, despite unique risks, keeps its eyes on the long game.

  • PitchBook analysts predict how private equity will navigate a tough market in our 2023 US Private Equity Outlook.

  • Chart of the day: Median time since founding for US female-founded companies to reach unicorn status.
 
Today's Top Stories  
PE returns, fundraising could falter in 2023
There's little doubt that the private equity universe will have to grapple with drooping company valuations and expensive debt in 2023. But what are the implications?

PE funds' returns will likely underperform public markets. Take-private deals should continue, but firms will probably shift gears to much smaller targets. Exits could hit a 15-year low, relative to new investments. And buyers in need of leverage are likely to tap nonbank lenders almost exclusively in coming months.

That's what PitchBook analysts think the new year will bring, and those predictions and others—such as which types of healthcare deals are poised to bounce back—are laid out in our 2023 US Private Equity Outlook.
read it now
 
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Cross-border activity by North American acquirers holds firm
The market for cross-border M&A, in which GPs and corporations seek new markets via acquisitions in other countries, held steady in 2022. Cross-border activity by North American acquirers has fully recovered from 2020 lows and closed slightly higher in value despite a decline in the overall M&A market.

Buying overseas companies has always involved a higher degree of risk and return due to unexpected changes in currencies and foreign regulations as well as geopolitical tensions. North American companies that successfully navigate these risks have reaped large gains, and the stability in this year's activity suggests their appetite is still intact.

In our latest analyst note, PitchBook analyst Jinny Choi takes region-by-region snapshots of the market and explores where potential headwinds could lead.
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A Message from Coupa  
Achieve greater financial resilience while scaling for growth
When is a company ready to IPO? Coupa created a five-point IPO Readiness Checklist based on years of experience in helping businesses worldwide prepare for an IPO and the results of a 2022 IPO readiness survey conducted among finance decision-makers.

Even in delaying an IPO (due to volatile economic conditions), it's crucial to get the financial house in order, prepare for compliance, and begin behaving like a public company. This undertaking takes longer than most realize, so starting earlier rather than later is pertinent.

The IPO Readiness Checklist will also help to:
  1. Establish scalable financial processes
  2. Mitigate risks that impact business continuity
  3. Create a trusted IPO team
  4. Implement clear financial controls that hinder fraud
  5. Ensure financial processes are compliant with audits, and regulations
Get your free copy of the Checklist today
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Female founders take the good with the bad in a challenging 2022
(Drew Sanders/PitchBook News)
Companies with at least one female founder have raised about $38 billion in venture funding so far in 2022, while startups with only female founders have garnered about $4.3 billion, according to PitchBook data. These both represent sharp declines from 2021, although they are still the second-highest annual totals on record.

While funding for female-founded companies has declined year-over-year, the share of capital for female co-founded startups has ticked up to 15.4% of total US VC funding, the highest it's been since 2017.

As the VC market faced headwinds amid uncertain economic conditions, see how female founders fared in 2022.
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Chip war spurs sell-off, but pockets of potential remain
(PastryShop/Shutterstock)
This fall, the US placed strict export restrictions on advanced semiconductors to China, the latest salvo in a yearslong conflict over critical technology.

Investors have punished global chipmakers caught between the saber-rattling sides, but they may have gone too far, according to Morningstar analysts. There may be buying opportunities for institutional investors that can weather the political storms in return for long-term growth.
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Real assets funds get bigger, give better returns
Fundraising for private real assets investing slowed in Q3, but the vehicles collecting LP commitments are ballooning in size. Meanwhile, returns are sitting at 15-year highs, the most recent data shows.

Infrastructure funds' rolling one-year IRR reached a post-global financial crisis peak of 16.7% through Q1. That's good news for the overall strategy, as infrastructure investments have made up the vast majority of real assets in 2022.

As the often long-term, low-risk strategy attracts more attention for its recent achievements, our Q3 2022 Global Real Assets Report breaks down who is investing in what, and why.
  • Increasingly large infrastructure funds are likely to continue the big take-private dealmaking of 2021 and 2022.

  • LPs' commitments to riskier types of infrastructure funds are far higher than five- and 10-year averages.

  • Oil and gas fundraising has dwindled through Q3 as more investors embrace energy infrastructure with lower emissions.
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Recommended Reads
Hundreds of companies that went public in the IPO boom have suffered such sharp reversals that their shares may never recover. [The Wall Street Journal]

Binance's corporate filings show that much about the crypto exchange remains mostly hidden from public view. [Reuters]

Years into the pandemic, it's still difficult to get a handle on what comes next for the economy by looking at examples from the past. [The New York Times]
 
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Quick Takes  
  The Daily Benchmark  
  2020 Vintage Global Funds-of-Funds  
  VC Deals  
  CyberCube gets $50M growth round  
  Helm.ai drives off with $31M Series C  
  ImagenAI lands $30M for creative AI  
  Protillion Biosciences raises $18M  
  Mangomint grabs $13M for salon software  
  Revel raises $7.8M for NFT platform  
  Foundation secures $7M  
  PE Deals  
  CPPIB, others ink $200M Redaptive investment  
  Wynnchurch lands industrial services company  
  Shoreline Equity backs chemicals specialist  
  Madison Dearborn to acquire Wilmington Trust business  
  Portfolio Companies  
  Binance to buy Voyager assets for $1B  
  Epic Games fined $520M by FTC  
  Fundraising  
  Linse Capital raises $700M  
  Axelar launches $60M Web3 funding program  
  Investors  
  Berkshire sells minority stake  
 
 
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The Daily Benchmark  
2020 Vintage Global Funds-of-Funds
Median IRR
30.89%
Top Quartile IRR
53.39%
1.26x
Median TVPI
Select top performers
Adams Street 2020 Global Fund
Balboa Ventures
RCP SBO Opportunities Fund
*IRR: net of fees
20 Funds in Benchmark »
Check out the latest version of PitchBook Benchmarks
 
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VC Deals  
CyberCube gets $50M growth round
Cybersecurity startup CyberCube, which makes risk assessment technology for insurers and brokers, has raised $50 million in a growth round led by Morgan Stanley Tactical Value.
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Helm.ai drives off with $31M Series C
Autonomous driving and robotics company Helm.ai has secured a $31 million Series C led by Freeman Group. The round valued Helm at $431 million, TechCrunch reported.
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View 4 competitors »
 
ImagenAI lands $30M for creative AI
ImagenAI, which is creating AI-powered photo editing tools, has raised a $30 million investment led by Summit Partners.
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View similar company »
 
Protillion Biosciences raises $18M
Biotech startup Protillion Biosciences, which is creating a discovery platform for protein therapeutics, has raised an $18 million Series A led by Arch Venture Partners and Illumina Ventures.
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View similar company »
 
Mangomint grabs $13M for salon software
Appointment booking software maker Mangomint has raised $13 million in a Series A led by OpenView Venture Partners, TechCrunch reported.
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View 14 competitors »
 
Revel raises $7.8M for NFT platform
NFT collecting and trading platform Revel has secured $7.8 million in a round led by Dragonfly.
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View similar company »
 
Foundation secures $7M
Crypto hardware wallet maker Foundation has raised $7 million in a seed round led by Polychain Capital.
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PE Deals  
CPPIB, others ink $200M Redaptive investment
The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board has invested $200 million in Redaptive, which installs equipment that makes buildings and facilities more energy efficient, alongside new funds from the company's existing investors, CBRE and Linse Capital.
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View 12 competitors »
 
Wynnchurch lands industrial services company
Wynnchurch Capital has acquired a majority stake in Houston-based Industrial Service Solutions from Edgewater Funds and JZ Capital Partners. The two exiting firms invested in the company, which provides industrial maintenance, repair and overhaul services, just after its founding in 2011.
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Shoreline Equity backs chemicals specialist
Shoreline Equity Partners has acquired a stake in Georgia-based C&S Chemicals, which sells specialty water treatment and animal health-related chemicals.
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Madison Dearborn to acquire Wilmington Trust business
Madison Dearborn Partners has agreed to buy the collective investment trust business from Wilmington Trust, a subsidiary of M&T Bank. The buyer plans to rename the business, which manages administrative services for funds with $115 billion in assets.
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Portfolio Companies  
Binance to buy Voyager assets for $1B
Crypto trading platform Binance.US has agreed to pay around $1 billion to acquire the assets of Voyager Digital, which filed for bankruptcy protection earlier this year following the collapse of Three Arrows Capital. FTX US, another crypto exchange, had planned to take Voyager private for more than $1.4 billion before it too filed for bankruptcy protection.
View details
 
View 40 competitors »
 
Epic Games fined $520M by FTC
"Fortnite" developer Epic Games has been ordered by the Federal Trade Commission to pay $520 million in penalties for violating children's privacy and misleading users into making unintended purchases.
View details
 
View 51 competitors »
 
 
Fundraising  
Linse Capital raises $700M
Growth equity firm Linse Capital has raised $700 million, which will go toward its flagship fund as well as co-investment vehicles for Skydio and Verkada, two of the firm's portfolio companies. Linse Capital was started by former Kleiner Perkins partner Michael Linse and is based in Puerto Rico.
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View 6 investments »
 
Axelar launches $60M Web3 funding program
Crypto company Axelar has raised $60 million from investors to start an ecosystem fund for decentralized app makers that use Axelar's interchain infrastructure platform.
View details
 
View similar company »
 
 
Investors  
Berkshire sells minority stake
Investment advisor Berkshire Asset Management has sold a minority, noncontrolling stake in itself to Paris-based iM Global Partner. Pennsylvania-based Berkshire specializes in dividend-focused US equity portfolios.
View details
 
View investment »
 
 
Chart of the Day  
"Among the highest-valued female-founded unicorns, the top three were founded by individuals who have founded two additional companies, highlighting how the experience of seasoned entrepreneurs can be an important asset for their companies."

Source: 2022 All In: Female Founders in the US VC Ecosystem
 
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