Monday, October 24, 2022

POLITICO Illinois Playbook: Women passing men at the polls

Shia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln
Oct 24, 2022 View in browser
 
Illinois Playbook

By Shia Kapos

With help from Olivia Olander

Happy Monday, Illinois. More early voting sites open today. Here's where you can vote in Chicago .

TOP TALKER

More Illinois women than men are voting ahead of the Nov. 8 elections, according to statistics from vote-by-mail ballots turned in to the State Board of Elections. The board doesn't detail demographic data until after the election, but a registered political committee can access it in real time. And a person close to a committee shared the numbers with Playbook on Friday.

By the numbers: The data shows 146,362 women and 122,010 men have requested and returned their mail-in-ballots or voted at early-polling sites as of Oct. 20 — or, 54 percent of women and 45 percent of men have voted.

Still outstanding: More women than men have also requested but not yet returned their ballots. The data shows 318,896 women (58 percent) and 229,255 men (42 percent) are still holding on to their ballots.

Not a surprise: Women have outnumbered men in recent elections, according to historical data from the Board of Elections. In the 2020 General Election, women outnumbered men by 15 percent. In the 2018 General Election it was by 14 percent.

It's a national trend, too, according to the United States Election Project.

Reading the tea leaves: The economy, crime and abortion are all in play as issues that might drive voters to the polls. And Democrats are banking that the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade will spur more women to vote.

The stakes are high: With two Illinois Supreme Court seats up for grabs, Illinois could see a shift on the high court to a Republican majority. Democrats worry that could affect future cases related to abortion, redistricting and, even, the workers rights amendment that's also on the ballot.

RELATED

GOP voters told to hold onto mail ballots until Election Day, via The Associated Press

In highly political, richly funded contests for Illinois Supreme Court majority, pledges of impartiality stir skepticism, by Tribune's John Keilman

THE BUZZ

MAYORAL MANEUVERS: Supporters of Rep. Jesus "Chuy" Garcia took advantage of the warm weekend weather to start signatures to get him on the ballot to run for mayor of Chicago next year.

Garcia approves: The congressman who's also running for reelection in IL-04 knows and approves of the effort, Clem Balanoff, who's organizing it, told Playbook.

Getting petitions on the street boxes out other potential candidates, too.

Or maybe not: The American Federation of Teachers announced over the weekend that it' giving $1 million to Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson in his bid for Chicago mayor.

Funny thing: Neither Garcia nor Johnson have officially declared they're running for mayor.

And more interesting: Should both of them get in the race, they're likely to pull from similar, progressive voting blocks.

Two others to watch: Former Gov. Pat Quinn and Chicago Ald. Tom Tunney are also gathering signatures for petitions but have yet to make the leap to announce they'll run.

Sidenote: A certain mayoral candidate (cough, cough) points out that Garcia's petitions don't include a union-backing logo — an unspoken rule among Democrats.

Petitions must be filed by Nov. 28.

Have a news tip, suggestion, birthday, anniversary, new job, or any other nugget for Playbook? I'd like to hear from you: skapos@politico.com

 

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WHERE'S JB

On the campaign trail with Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton, who'll cast her ballot. — They'll be at Huddle House Grill on Stony Island Avenue at 8 a.m. — At Evening Star MB Church at 10 a.m. — In Peoria at 3:30 p.m. with American Federation of Teachers President Randi Weingarten and Illinois Federation of Teachers President Dan Montgomery. — In Urbana at 6 p.m. with Montgomery and Illinois AFL-CIO Secretary-Treasurer Pat Devaney.

WHERE'S LORI

No official public events.

Where's Toni

No official public events.

CAMPAIGN MODE

Suburban Dems spend big to hold two U.S. House seats in newly redrawn districts: "Democrats Lauren Underwood and Sean Casten flipped Republican seats to blue four years ago. But now, Republicans Scott Gryder and Keith Pekau are aiming to flip them back to the red team," by Sun-Times' Andy Grimm.

Rep. Mary Miller is among Trump supporters in Congress who use 'devil terms' to rally voters: "Since entering Congress, she has routinely vilified Democrats and liberals, calling them 'evil' communists beholden to China who want to 'destroy' America and its culture. And President Biden's plan, she seethed on Twitter this spring, is to 'flood our country with terrorists, fentanyl, child traffickers, and MS-13 gang members,'" via The New York Times.

— Good congressional roundup: Remap gives most incumbents an election edge over newcomers, but economy, crime, abortion could also play a factor, reports Tribune's Robert McCoppin

— In IL-17, Republican Esther Joy King has been endorsed by former presidential candidate Tulsi Gabbard, who recently announced she's leaving the Democratic Party to be an Independent. King and Gabbard are members of the Army Reserve.

— CANDIDATE PROFILE | Darren Bailey's uphill candidacy for farmers, cops and Illinoisans who feel 'pushed aside': "Bailey's emergence from being a farmer, school board member and state legislator to become the GOP's nominee for governor comes at a time when the Republican Party at the national level has embraced far-right ideologies that were championed by former President Donald Trump, who lost Illinois by 17 points in both the 2016 and 2020 elections," writes Tribune's Jeremy Gorner.

— Obama endorses Pritzker: Former President Barack Obama is out with a number of TV and radio endorsements for Democrats across the country, including in Illinois, where he endorsed Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker. In the new video , Obama praises Pritzker for "raising the minimum wage, protecting voting rights and cracking down on the sale of illegal guns."

— FIRST IN PLAYBOOK: The Illinois Democratic Party has launched a website titled " Wrong for Illinois ." It pokes at Republican Supreme Court candidates Mark Curran and Mike Burke and comments they've made about abortion, democracy and the events of Jan. 6. The landing page will be featured in digital ads.

— Michael Frerichs, the incumbent Democratic state treasurer, is out with an ad title " Watch Dog ." He's running against Republican state Rep. Tom Demmer. 

— Alexi Giannoulias, Democratic candidate for secretary of state, has released the " Closing Ad " of his campaign. He's running against Republican state Rep. Dan Brady.

Meet the Illinois 72nd House District candidates: Gregg Johnson and Tom Martens, by Rock Island Dispatch-Argus' Grace Kinnicutt

Southland candidates for Illinois House seats say increased school funding could help ease property tax burden, by Daily Southtown's Mike Nolan

THE STATEWIDES

Inside AT&T's alleged 'conspiracy' to bribe powerbrokers at the Illinois Capitol: "WBEZ and the Sun-Times have learned the identities of three top phone company lobbyists with ties to a Springfield corruption scandal," by Dan Mihalopoulos and Jon Seidel.

Judge OKs 2-year delay in AT&T case, by Sun-Times Jon Seidel

Illinois benefits web portal breached, state to provide assistance to those affected: "The Illinois Department of Healthcare and Family Services and the Illinois Department of Human Services announced Friday that they had to shut down the ABE system after it was revealed that people could view customer applications before the state approved them," by State Journal-Register's Zach Roth.

Tracing the path of gun used to kill Champaign officer Chris Oberheim, via News-Gazette staff

MIGRANTS IN ILLINOIS

— ARRIVED: Chicago welcomed a total of 59 new migrants Thursday and Friday (and none on Saturday), according to the Chicago Department of Family and Support Services. A total of 3,639 asylum-seekers have been bused to Illinois from Texas since Aug. 31.

Migrants share stories about how they got to Chicago , via Tribune's Laura Rodríguez Presa

CHICAGO

Top cop defends decision not to fire police officer who lied about ties to Proud Boys: "Bureau of Internal Affairs Chief Yolanda Talley told members of the City Council that the officer 'felt so bad' about being associated with the Proud Boys that he 'volunteered' to be suspended for 120 days," by WTTW's Heather Cherone.

After rejecting claims of environmental racism, city moves to settle Civil Rights complaint with feds, by Block Club's Maxwell Evans

Cardinal Blase Cupich is still keeping secrets on child sex abuse by order priests, by Sun-Times' Robert Herguth

Youths demand money for mental health, protest increased police funding, by Sun-Times Stefano Esposito

Monkeypox kills 2, first Chicago deaths from virus, by Block Club's Kelly Bauer

Chicago shootings: 52 shot, 11 fatally, in weekend violence across city, police say, via ABC 7

5 injured, 3 fatalities in drag race caravan shooting: "More than 100 cars were involved in the caravan, police said," by ABC's Bill Hutchinson.

TRAINS, PLANES AND AUTOMOBILES

CTA updating rail schedules; says goal is improving trackers, service , by Sun-Times' Manny Ramos

Garbage hauler the FBI once said was mob-controlled now doing work at O'Hare Airport, by Sun-Times' Robert Herguth

HIGHER-ED

City Colleges teachers union prepares to set strike date for faculty and staff who are without a contract, by Tribune's Maddie Ellis

2023 MUNICIPAL RACES

— State Rep. Lamont Robinson is running for alderman of the 4th Ward, which is now represented by Ald. Sophia King (who's running for mayor instead). Robinson's campaign says he's backed by Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, who's also an ally of King's.

— Carolynn Crump, a Chicago Police officer with a PhD in business administration, is running for alderman of the 16th Ward, which is represented by Ald. Stephanie Coleman. Crump ran for a seat in the Illinois House earlier this year but lost in the primary.

COOK COUNTY AND COLLARS

The right-wing attack on public education began in one elite Illinois high school : In 2017, "administrators of the predominantly white New Trier Township High School in the wealthy northern Chicago suburbs announced that 'Understanding Today's Struggle for Racial Civil Rights' would be the theme for a school-wide topical event known as Seminar Day. One of its main goals was to help 'students better understand how the struggle for racial civil rights stretches across our nation's history.' … The backlash was swift and intense," writes Isabela Dias in Mother Jones.

How will eliminating bail affect counties' finances? "Officials from multiple counties report the processing fees collected are not earmarked for anything specific and are simply added to the county's general revenue fund, which covers the majority of countywide operations," reports Daily Herald's Jake Griffin. Example: In Will County, bond fees amounted to $695,358 in 2021.

SPOTTED

Cook County Commissioner Bill Lowry celebrated his 60th birthday Saturday at VU Rooftop in Chicago (His actual birthday was Friday.). Spotted: Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, Attorney General Kwame Raoul , Ald. Jason Ervin, City Treasurer Melissa Conyears-Ervin, state Treasurer Mike Frerichs, county Commissioners Dennis Deer, Frank Aguilar and Scott Britton, Chicago Alds. Pat Dowell, Michelle Harris and Leslie Hairston and state Rep. Lamont Robinson.

Also feting Lowry: Dr. Cheryl Watson-Lowry, his wife — pic! — and Bill E. Lowry (Bill's dad), political consultant Alex Sims-Jones, Rev. Walter Turner, Mid-America Carpenters Regional Council's Jonathan Jones, Comcast's Fawn Smith, businessman Jonathan Swain, BOWA Construction's Nosa Ehimwenman and Ghian Foreman of the Emerald South Economic Development Collaborative.

 

JOIN WOMEN RULE THURSDAY FOR A TALK WITH DEPARTING MEMBERS OF CONGRESS: A historic wave of retirements is hitting Congress, including several prominent Democratic women such as Illinois Rep. Cheri Bustos, House Democrats' former campaign chief. What is driving their departures? Join POLITICO on Oct. 27 for "The Exit Interview," a virtual event that will feature a conversation with departing members where they'll explain why they decided to leave office and what challenges face their parties ahead. REGISTER HERE .

 
 
Reader Digest

We asked if you ever quit a job right after starting:

Karen A. Yarbrough , Cook County clerk: "Worked in the dietary department of a hospital in high school. Delivered a tray of food to an angry patient who didn't want to be there. He threw the tray at me, grumbling about his plight. ... I quit that day and never returned, not even to get my paycheck."

Tom Vanden Berk, head of the Gun Violence Prevention Action Committee: "I was a waiter for a Catholic girls sorority in Madison and left after one day. My wages were dinner (not money) and we didn't even get seconds."

What did you learn from working on a losing campaign? Email skapos@politico.com

THE NATIONAL TAKE

House GOP's 2023 forecast: Fiscal warfare, by POLITICO's Caitlin Emma

Abrams' campaign chair collected millions in legal fees from voting rights organization, by POLITICO's Brittany Gibson

In fight with China for global influence, diplomacy is America's biggest weakness , by POLITICO's Nahal Toosi

IN THE SPOTLIGHT

In 'King Of Kings,' the history of the Illinois State Lottery is traced back to the Black men who created 'Policy': "Harriet Marin Jones explores the history of her grandfather, Edward Jones, and the $25 million empire he created as the leader of the illegal racketeering syndicate in Chicago," by Block Club's Atavia Reed.

Chicago was once king of the ring in pro wrestling: "Behind the outsized characters and good-versus-evil narratives, promoters used TV and strongarm business deals to put Chicago on the map," by WBEZ's Joe DeCeault and Cate Cahan.

IN MEMORIAM

— Edward "Bird" Hoffman, an Illinois politics junkie once described as "a human exclamation point!" has died. Read more about him here.

EVENTS

— Tuesday: Michael Kutza, founder of the Chicago International Film Festival, talks about his memoir, "Starstruck." Details here

TRIVIA

FRIDAY's ANSWER: Congrats to Rey Nonato for correctly answering that Douglas Aircraft was located at O'Hare airport during World War II.

TODAY's QUESTION: What Chicago-area golf club has a dining room named for Kirk Dillard, chairman of the Regional Transit Authority and a former state senator? Email skapos@politico.com

HAPPY BIRTHDAY

Mike Murphy, CEO of Greater Springfield Chamber of Commerce and Hart Davis Hart Wine Co.'s John Hart.

-30-

 

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Shia Kapos @shiakapos

 

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