Wednesday, September 7, 2022

👀 Scoop: GOP data mine

Plus: Disqualifying Trump | Wednesday, September 07, 2022
 
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Axios Sneak Peek
By Alayna Treene, Hans Nichols and Zachary Basu · Sep 07, 2022

Welcome back to Sneak. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,079 words ... 4 minutes.

Situational awareness: Democrat John Fetterman told Politico he would commit to one debate against Mehmet Oz, his Republican rival for the closely watched U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania.

 
 
1 big thing — Scoop: Dems' accidental GOP data mine
Yard sign in shape of data lock

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

 

A slip-up by social media giant Snap allowed leading Democratic campaigns and party committees to unwittingly tap into a vast repository of Republican voter data to hone their midterm ads, Axios' Lachlan Markay reports.

Why it matters: There's no indication Snap was aware of or facilitated that data sharing, and the company said it's taking steps to rectify the oversight. But the blunder underscores the sensitivities surrounding reams of voter data that have become a highly valuable political commodity.

Context: On Snap and other platforms, political advertisers can target their ads to highly specific user segments — frequently relying on data brokers that hoover up information on voters' interests, activities, spending habits and other criteria.

Driving the news: Snap's political ad archive shows multiple Democratic and progressive organizations were able to target their ads on the platform using data maintained by the Republican-aligned firm i360.

  • The firm is affiliated with the political and philanthropic network founded by billionaire Charles Koch.
  • Its data was used to target Snapchat ads by groups including the Democratic National Committee, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, the Planned Parenthood Action Fund and Georgia Democrat Stacey Abrams' gubernatorial campaign.
  • There's no indication that any of the advertisers knew they were using i360 data or took any steps to exploit it beyond normal ad targeting decisions.

Between the lines: i360 and a Democratic counterpart, TargetSmart, make data available to other advertisers on the platform but limit availability to preapproved lists of allied organizations.

  • Snap told Axios an internal oversight allowed non-approved entities — including political and ideological adversaries — to use data from both companies to target their ads.
  • TargetSmart data was used to hone ads from the Daily Wire, a prominent conservative media outlet.

What they're saying: "We take full responsibility for this mistake, and as soon as we became aware of it, we took action to correct the issue, notified the two vendors, and are working to rectify payments to each of them. We are also taking steps to ensure this doesn't happen again," the spokesperson said.

  • The spokesperson stressed that the advertisers inadvertently permitted to use those audience segments were not given access to i360's or TargetSmart's underlying data, or to any Snapchat user data.

The big picture: The Snapchat ads that used data from adversarial firms represent a tiny fraction of political advertising during the 2022 midterm cycle.

  • The mixup will nonetheless spur concerns about the way valuable political data is being shared, according to Eric Wilson, a veteran Republican digital strategist.

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2. 🌊 Wave watch: Battleground Dem's risky bet
Elissa Slotkin with a supporter in Michigan

Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) takes a selfie with a supporter on the campaign trail. Photo: Hans Nichols/Axios

 

In one of the most competitive House races in the country, Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) is focusing on the economy and her independent brand — not abortion — to try to win in a district with a +2 Republican advantage, Axios' Hans Nichols reports from the campaign trail.

Why it matters: The former Pentagon official, who rode suburban outrage over then-President Trump to victory in 2018, has shown she can win a tight race. Her approach this year suggests campaigning on women's reproductive rights may not be a silver bullet for Democrats in every race in the country.

  • Slotkin has attacked her opponent, state Sen. Tom Barrett, for scrubbing his website of his support for a no-exceptions abortion ban.
  • But she isn't running any TV ads on abortion, leaving that to outside groups and national momentum. Instead, she's emphasizing jobs, the cost of living and prescription drug prices.

The big picture: Republicans don't need to win Michigan's 7th Congressional District — which includes blueish Lansing, the state capitol and home to Michigan State University, as well as more rural and conservative areas — to take the majority.

  • But to run up the score, they'd need to knock off Slotkin — a rising star in national security circles and a name some Democrats see as a potential Defense secretary down the line.
  • Slotkin was one of just seven House Democrats to win a Trump district in 2020.

What we're watching: The total cost of the race will likely exceed $25 million, making it one of the most expensive in the country. Outside Republican groups have reserved $10 million in TV ad time and Democratic committees have booked another $8 million, according to party strategists.

Keep reading.

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3. 🏛️ Polygamy fix boosts gay marriage bill
Susan Collins

Sen. Susan Collins. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images

 

Senators spearheading legislation to codify marriage equality are eyeing changes that would clarify the bill does not protect polygamous relationships or marriage between more than two individuals, Axios' Andrew Solender reports.

Why it matters: Fixing the "drafting error," as Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) described it, is one of the steps being taken to secure the 10 Republican votes needed to break a filibuster and send the House-passed bill to President Biden's desk.

  • The language would be attached to an amendment that senators have been crafting for the last month to clarify that the bill also wouldn't infringe on religious liberty, which is key to securing the support of swing Republicans.

What to watch: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) said today the bill will be voted on "in the coming weeks."

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4. 👀 Disqualifying Trump
Trump and Doug Mastriano

Trump at a rally with GOP nominee for Pennsylvania governor Doug Mastriano, who chartered buses to bring Trump supporters to D.C. on Jan. 6. Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

 

A push by Democrats and liberal groups to bar former President Trump from office by declaring him an "insurrectionist" gained new momentum this week, the N.Y. Times reports:

  • A New Mexico judge yesterday permanently disqualified Couy Griffin, a county commissioner convicted for his role in the Jan. 6 riot, from serving in public office for participating in an "insurrection after taking his oath."

Why it matters: A flurry of lawsuits citing the same obscure Constitutional clause is set to be brought against Trump and lawmakers who assisted in his failed bid to cling to power, including by the ethics watchdog that succeeded against Griffin.

  • "The plans amount to an extraordinarily long-shot effort to accomplish what multiple investigations of Mr. Trump have failed to do: foreclose any chance that the former president could regain power, whether voters want him to or not," The Times writes.

Keep reading (subscription).

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5. 🖼️ Pic du jour
Biden and Obama next to a portrait of their Democratic predecessor, Bill Clinton. Photo: Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

President Biden praised former President Obama as one of the "most consequential presidents in our history" at a ceremony unveiling his and former first lady Michelle Obama's official White House portraits.

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