Wednesday, August 3, 2022

🎲Why US Markets Are Still the Best Game in Town

Good morning. Between inflation at 40-year highs and two quarters of negative GDP growth...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Between inflation at 40-year highs and two quarters of negative GDP growth, investors in the US are dealing with some tough times. But compared to the rest of the world, the US looks like one of the strongest places to invest now.

Europe is likely in a recession, and its energy shortage due to Russian sanctions will only make it deeper. In contrast, the US has the capacity to be energy independent. The US is also food independent, at a time when grain shipments from Ukraine have finally started up again.

Overall, investors can still be cautious. But they might want to focus on US-based companies over the next few months given the political and economic risks elsewhere in the world right now.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 32,396.17 -1.23%
S&P 4,091.19 -0.67%
NASDAQ 12,348.76 -0.16%
*As of market close
Stocks moved lower again on Tuesday, shaking off a midday rally.
Oil rose 0.4 percent, closing at $94.25 per barrel.
Gold sank 0.5 percent, last going for $1,779 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies moved lower, with Bitcoin at $22,959 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
This Cyclical Market Will Come Roaring Back with the Rest of the Economy

Some companies are slow and steady, like utility and telecom companies. But many, if not most, are cyclical. They tend to move higher with the economy, and lower when the economy slows. That can include everything from cars to entertainment services.

It can also include many business service companies as well. One of the first things a company will cut back on during a slowdown is advertising. Over the long term, that may cost market share and customers.

» FULL STORY


Insider Trading Report: Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN)
CD&R Investment Associates, a major holder of Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN), recently added 103,931 shares to their holdings. The buy increased the fund's holdings by 0.7 percent, and came to a total purchase price just under $6 million.

This marks the third buy from this fund so far this year. The other two prior buys have also been for about $6 million as well. A few company executives have been modest sellers of shares this year.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Barclays PLC (BCS)
Shares of British-based international bank Barclays PLC (BCS) have shed about 20 percent in the past year, as fears of a global recession have been on the rise. One trader sees the possibility for a rebound by next spring.

That's based on the March $9 calls. With 226 days until expiration, 4,023 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 100, for a 40-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $0.53 to make the bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Job Openings Drop in June

The total number of job openings dropped to 10.7 million in June. That's an overall drop of about 5.4 percent compared to the prior month, and is well under expectations for 11.14 million open jobs. While that still leaves 1.8 open jobs per available worker, it's a sign that the labor market is starting to show signs of slowing down.
Companies Create New Brands for Cost-Conscious Shoppers

A number of companies are rolling out new brands and packaging sizes, in an effort to keep prices down and keep customers buying. The move comes as some consumer goods companies are reporting a moderation or even a decline in sales volumes in everything from shampoo to snacks.
Workers Embrace Four-Day Workweek

A number of companies responded to the pandemic by creating a four-day workweek. Most workers have embraced the idea, although the initial details in getting started have proven a bit chaotic for companies. The data shows no drop in productivity when shifting to a four-day week.
Uber Reports Positive Free Cash Flow

Ride sharing giant Uber (UBER) surprised investors with a strong second quarter earnings report. The company reported that it had achieved positive free cash flow. As a result, the company no longer needs to go to the open market to sell shares or debt to fund its operations. And it's no longer likely to ever run out of cash.
SEC Charges 11 With $300 Million Crypto Fraud

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed charges against 11 individuals, on the grounds that they ran an alleged Ponzi scheme, costing investors over $300 million. The scheme started in at least January 2020, and raised funds from millions of retail investors globally.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
MPWR  9.916%
IT 7.514%
CCL  5.817%
CZR 5.767%
DXCM 5.63%
BOTTOM
TAP 10.297%
ZBRA 8.575%
SEE 8.508%
INCY  6.77%
WAT 6.068%

Quote of the Day
Markets may test the substantial rally that occurred last week as they consider the progress the Federal Reserve has made thus far to stem the course of inflation.
- John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer's chief investment strategist, on why the stock market may pull back as inflation remains high despite a speedy tightening policy by the Fed in recent months.

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It's simple: Buy the stock this Monday and you'll get your first dividend payout in your bank account this Thursday....and then every Thursday after for as long as you own the stock!

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