Tuesday, August 23, 2022

New York, Florida and Oklahoma walk into a voting booth…

A play-by-play preview of the day's congressional news
Aug 23, 2022 View in browser
 
POLITICO Huddle

By Katherine Tully-McManus

With an assist from Andrew Desiderio

WELCOME TO NEW YORK, WE'VE BEEN WAITING FOR YOU — The New York primaries and special elections are delivering on drama, from contested maps to member-on-member fights. It is finally decision day and the state is looking more competitive than ever.

Rep. Jerry Nadler, center, and New York City Comptroller Brad Lander, right, speak to a Nadler supporter while campaigning outside Zabar's on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, Saturday, Aug. 20, 2022. Nadler is running in New York's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary against Attorney Suraj Patel and Rep. Carolyn Maloney. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)

Rep. Jerry Nadler campaigns outside Zabar's on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, Saturday, Aug. 20, 2022. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer) | AP

"We've gone from a map that looked like a slam dunk to just being slammed," former Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.), who once led the House Democratic campaign arm, told POLITICO's Ally Mutnick. "This is one of the most competitive environments that I've seen in New York at every level."

New York isn't the only state with primary action today. We're also watching Oklahoma and Florida. (More on that below.)

FIRST WE TAKE MANHATTAN Since 1992 they've coexisted on either side of Manhattan, but only one can prevail in New York's reconfigured 12th district where Reps. Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) and Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) face off today. (Or neither could prevail if underdog attorney Suraj Patel upsets his septuagenarian elders.)

In the Democratic strongholds of the Upper West and Upper East sides, today's primary serves as a de facto general election.

THE BIG 10 — The Democratic primary in New York's 10th district is crowded. There's an incumbent, Rep. Mondair Jones (D-N.Y.), who jumped districts after DCCC chair Sean Patrick Maloney announced a run in his old territory. But he's in a packed field of progressives, alongside state Assemblywoman Yuh-Line Niou and City Council member Carlina Rivera. The splintered progressive pack could boost deep-pocketed moderate Dan Goldman. He's best known for his C-SPAN stardom during Trump's first impeachment. (But he's also heir to the Levi Strauss & Co. fortune.) This deep blue district also means that the primary is likely to decide who heads to Washington next year.

THE OTHER MALONEY — Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, is up against Alessandra Biaggi, a progressive state senator in the 17th District.

SPECIAL ELECTIONS Rep. Antonio Delago (D-N.Y.) vacated his 19th District seat to head to Albany to be lieutenant governor. That leaves a seat to fill for the rest of this year, which Ulster County Executive Pat Ryan, a Democrat, and Dutchess County Executive Marc Molinaro, a Republican, are angling for. Many see the race as a bellweather for where the political mood is after the Supreme Court's abortion decision earlier this summer. The Hudson Valley district is divided: President Joe Biden carried it by fewer than 2 points in 2020, after now-former President Donald Trump won it by about 7 points in 2016.

Short term: Both Molinaro and Ryan will be back on the ballot in November, but in different districts. Molinaro locked up the GOP nomination in the newly redrawn 19th District, and Ryan is running in a Democratic primary today in the adjacent new 18th District. (Yes, he's on the ballot today in two different districts for two different seats for two different congresses.)

Out West… Republican Joe Sempolinski and Democrat Max Della Pia face off today in the   23rd District to replace former Rep. Tom Reed. The winner will only serve until the beginning of next year

In the race for the redrawn 23rd district, former gubernatorial nominee Carl Paladino faces off against Nick Langworthy, the chairman of the New York Republican Party. Paladino has made racist remarks that some Republicans fear could make for a tough general election race for what should be a safe GOP seat come November. Bill Mahoney from POLITICO's New York team dug into this race a few days ago: 'Crazy Carl' tries to tone it down as Paladino sees House seat within reach

Recommended reads: The biggest special election since Dobbs: What to watch on Tuesday's primary day, from Zach Montellaro, Gary Fineout and Bill Mahoney; New York takes center stage in fight for control of the House , from Ally Mutnick in Roslyn, N.Y.

 

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GOOD MORNING! Welcome to Huddle, the play-by-play guide to all things Capitol Hill, on this Tuesday, August 23, where it has come to our attention that there are not musicals about Florida. A shame.

WHERE THE WIND COMES SWEEPIN' DOWN THE PLAIN That's Oklahoma, folks. Rep. Markwayne Mullin (R-Okla.) is in a runoff election against former state House speaker T.W. Shannon in the GOP primary to fill the seat of Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-Okla.), who is retiring after serving since 1994. The winner of the runoff will face former Rep. Kendra Horn (D-Okla.), Libertarian candidate Robert Murphy and Independent candidate Ray Woods.

Of note: Both GOP primary runoff contenders are enrolled citizens of tribal nations. Shannon is Chickasaw and Mullin is Cherokee. If either wins the general election in November, they will become the only current Indigenous member of the Senate.

House race: Mullin's Senate bid opened up a race for Oklahoma's 2nd district House seat, where state representative Avery Frix and former state senator Josh Brecheen are in another Republican runoff. The winner will face Democrat Naomi Andrews and Independent Ben Robinson in November.

THE SUNSHINE STATE The new Congressional map in Florida ramped up Republicans' advantage and dialed down competitiveness for many seats across the state. But first, today's primaries will determine who gets a shot in November.

Wide open: There are a bunch of open seats in Florida, which will be ones to watch closely. Democratic Reps. Ted Deutch and Stephanie Murphy are stepping down and Val Demmings is making a bid for the Senate, leaving those seats wide open. Murphy's redrawn 7th District is a key target for the GOP to flip, while Demming's 10th district is likely to go Democrat once again.

Playing defense: 1st District -- Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) is on the defensive against GOP primary challengers Mark Lombardo and Greg Merk. (But Lombardo, a Marine Corps veteran and former FedEx executive, is the only one reporting any spending.) Gaetz is under a federal sex trafficking investigation but GOP insiders in Florida doubt that it will cost him his seat.

EXIT INTERVIEWS BEGIN Retiring Rep. Bobby Rush (D-Ill.) sat down with April Ryan from The Grio to talk about his legacy of 29 years in Congress and his background as a civil rights activist and Black Panther

Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) did a sweeping interview with CBS about his 48 years of service (plus his new memoir).

"The Senate should be the conscience of the nation," he said. "The Senate has become so bitterly divided on things that they shouldn't be divided on. This is not the swamp; this is where democracy can be – and should be."

GET OUT, RIGHT NOW — Russia is expected to step up attacks on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine in the coming days and the U.S. Embassy is urging U.S. citizens to "depart Ukraine now using privately available ground transportation options if it is safe to do so."

PONY UP — The Gang of 8 wants in on the Mar-a-Lago documents, Andrew scooped . The group of congressional and intelligence committee leaders has asked the Biden administration for access to the documents that were seized by the FBI at Mar-a-Lago earlier this month, adding to Congress' interest in the unprecedented national-security investigation. You'll recall that the Senate Intelligence Committee has a similar request with DOJ and ODNI, so the Gang of 8's involvement here could suggest an escalation of sorts. Privately, aides have expressed frustration about the fact that Congress has learned little about the investigation into the former president.

 

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QUICK LINKS 

Attorney general's office to investigate ethics complaint against Gov. Kristi Noem, from Annie Todd at the Sioux Falls Argus Leader

US discourages Dennis Rodman from going to Russia to help Griner; he clarifies that he's not going, from Deena Zaru and Shannon K. Crawford at ABC News

TRANSITIONS 

Aidan McDonald is now speechwriter for Sen. Alex Padilla (D-Calif.). He most recently was with Sen. Tom Carper's (D-Del.) office, and is a Biden campaign alum.

Dr. Eric Rafla-Yuan has left the office of Rep. Tony Cárdenas (D-Calif.), where he was a fellow and later health counsel, and helped write the 988 Implementation Act. Rafla-Yuan, a psychiatrist, is heading back to California to be a professor at the University of California San Diego.

Maryam Ahmed is now national press secretary for Senate Majority PAC. She most recently was comms director for John King's Maryland gubernatorial campaign and is a Precision Strategies, Pete Buttigieg and Don Beyer alum.

TODAY IN CONGRESS

The House convenes at 10 a.m. for a pro forma session.

The Senate convenes at 10:30 a.m. for a pro forma session.

AROUND THE HILL

Just the mid-morning pro formas.

TRIVIA

MONDAY'S WINNER: Alfred Harf correctly answered that the Brooks Act, named for Rep. Jack Brooks (D-Texas), is the law governing the procurement of architectural, engineering, and related services by Federal agencies.

TODAY'S QUESTION from Alfred: Who was the first U.S. President to use a telephone from his own White House desk?

The first person to correctly guess gets a mention in the next edition of Huddle. Send your answers to ktm@politico.com.

GET HUDDLE emailed to your phone each morning.

Follow Katherine on Twitter @ktullymcmanus

 

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