Monday, August 2, 2021

Investments in care could take years to pay off — Senate Democrats start shaping multitrillion budget deal — Unions push back against Biden vaccine mandate

Presented by Live Nation Entertainment: Delivered every Monday by 10 a.m., Weekly Shift examines the latest news in employment, labor and immigration politics and policy.
Aug 02, 2021 View in browser
 
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By Eleanor Mueller

Presented by Live Nation Entertainment

Editor's Note: Weekly Shift is a weekly version of POLITICO Pro's daily Employment & Immigration policy newsletter, Morning Shift. POLITICO Pro is a policy intelligence platform that combines the news you need with tools you can use to take action on the day's biggest stories. Act on the news with POLITICO Pro.

Quick Fix

MIA: CARE INFRASTRUCTURE: President Joe Biden wants to invest hundreds of billions of dollars in the nation's care infrastructure, a vision that congressional Democrats are hoping to make materialize using a budget deal that they can clear using reconciliation.

There's just one hitch: Much of the sector, particularly child care, is so decimated that it may be years until there are enough facilities, and workers, for American families to reap the benefits.

"First we have to build the capacity and get the workers, and then we will have the ability then to move on," Senate HELP Chair Patty Murray (D-Wash.) told your host.

Methods of tracking child care centers and workers vary widely from state to state, so putting a number on the child care shortage nationally is difficult. But a 25-state report from the Bipartisan Policy Center estimated that, prior to the coronavirus pandemic, nearly 2.7 million children under age 6 with working parents lacked access to child care — including day care centers, home-based child care, preschools and Head Start, among other providers.

Charlie Dale works on his math notebook with help from his older sister Maddi as their mother cooks pancakes in their house in Lake Oswego, Ore.

Charlie Dale works on his math notebook with help from his older sister Maddi as their mother cooks pancakes in their house in Lake Oswego, Ore. | AP Photo/Sara Cline

The federal government has already pumped some money into child care. But of the $52.5 billion in Covid relief funds appropriated to states via the Child Care and Development Block Grant program thus far, just $3.9 billion has been spent, according to a July Government Accountability Office report.

More from your host.

RELATED: "Biden's model pre-K system becomes 'a crisis' in New Jersey ," from our Carly Sitrin.

GOOD MORNING. It's Monday, Aug. 2, and this is Morning Shift, your tipsheet on employment and immigration news. Send tips, exclusives and suggestions to emueller@politico.com and rrainey@politico.com. Follow us on Twitter at @Eleanor_Mueller and @RebeccaARainey.

A message from Live Nation Entertainment:

Concerts and Live Entertainment Industry Drives Economies
Nationwide, the industry's total economic impact of $132.6 billion, supported 913,000 total jobs with associated labor income of approximately $42.2 billion in 2019.
As the nation looks to the safe return of live events, the Concerts and Live Entertainment industry is positioned to be a part of America's recovery.
Learn more: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/recent-releases/livemusic

 
On the Hill

SPEAKING OF INFRASTRUCTURE: Senate Democrats are bracing for a fratricidal uproar over the budget deal including said spending on child care, a $3.5 billion package expected to include many of the party's top priorities.

Leading the charge: Progressive icon Bernie Sanders, who "had an urgent plea at a meeting for Senate Democrats this week: We're with you on this bipartisan bill, so you better be with us on our $3.5 trillion spending package," our Hill team reports. "Shortly after Wednesday's caucus meeting, Sanders called House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to reinforce her position of holding back the bipartisan deal until a massive domestic bill passes the Senate, according to a source familiar with the call."

Got your back: "During the call with Pelosi, Sanders also relayed his support for her ahead of what is shaping up to be a massive pressure campaign from moderate Democrats and Republicans to drop her position. And on Thursday, Sanders acknowledged the challenges he will face recruiting some members of his own party to support his $3.5 trillion spending vision."

Senators are expected to kick off consideration of the bill by beginning the amendment process Monday.

RELATED: "Manchin: No guarantee reconciliation package will pass," from our Kelsey Tamborrino.

ICYMI: "How a Coalition of Business and Labor Groups Helped Save the Infrastructure Bill," from TIME.

Around the Agencies

UNDERACCOMODATED, UNDERREPRESENTED: People with disabilities are underrepresented in the federal workforce, a place where they say they feel on an uneven playing field and technology is not accessible enough.

"Four years ago, the government set a benchmark calling for every agency to commit to having no less than 12% of its employees made up of people with disabilities," NPR's Deepa Shivaram reports. "But even that number fell below parity, given that 26% of American adults, or 61 million people, have a disability, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention."

"Progress has been made: nearly every presidential candidate provided a disability policy plan in the 2020 election."

"But advocates say it's important to continue the momentum. The government, as the nation's largest employer, has worked toward being a model workplace for people with disabilities for decades, even before the ADA was signed. The Biden administration has pledged that their hires and appointments will reflect what America looks like, but advocates say change is not just about hiring practices — it is measured by changes in workplace culture around how people with disabilities are perceived, and in building workplaces that address accessibility within the framework of equity and inclusion."

 

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In the Workplace

TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE: Health experts and local leaders in multiple states say they expect the Biden's administration's latest recommendations on masks will be brushed off by a crisis-weary public.

The White House "might be in a stronger position had the CDC this spring not told vaccinated Americans that it was safe to remove their masks," our Dan Goldberg and Erin Banco report. "Instead, the turnabout is providing fodder for critics and conspiracy theorists who say they're proof that vaccines are overrated and that the government is winging it."

"That complicates the Biden administration's role in cutting disease spread amid new evidence that even vaccinated Americans can be unwitting spreaders of Covid-19 — and could be partly responsible for virus surges threatening local health systems."

RELATED: "Fauci: 'I don't think we're going to see lockdowns ,'" from Kelsey.

VACCINE OR BUST: Walmart and Disney are among the latest private-sector employers to tell workers they must get vaccinated or else find a new job.

Put it this way: "Most companies are allowing for very rare religious and health exemptions," CNN's Christine Romans writes. "But the 'I read something scary on Facebook' excuse doesn't apply anymore."

Big picture: "Vaccine mandates by private employers are on the rise as the highly contagious delta variant drives a surge in Covid cases," NBC News' Tim Fitzsimons reports. "Google and Facebook announced vaccine mandates for their employees, and tech giant Apple said it would delay a planned return to the office for employees."

HIGHER WAGES, BUT NOT FOR ALL: Wages rose by 1 percent in the second quarter for workers in the private sector, per Labor Department data.

"That's down slightly from 1.1% in the first three months of the year but still the second-highest reading in more than a decade," the Associated Press' Christopher Rugaber reports. "In the year ending in June, wages and salaries jumped 3.5% for workers in the private sector, the largest increase in more than 14 years. That increase was driven by sharp rise in pay for restaurant and hotel workers of more than 6%."

But "total compensation for all employees rose at a slower pace, increasing just 0.7% in the second quarter and 2.9% in the past year. That figure was held back by weaker wage growth in state and local governments, and an unexpected slowing in the growth of benefits, such as health care."

Also left behind: Longtime employees. "So-called wage compression—when pay for new hires or entry-level staff approaches what longtime staff or senior colleagues make—poses a financial and management challenge for employers, and has gained new urgency as companies fight to attract and retain employees amid record-high rates of job-quitting," The Wall Street Journal's Lauren Weber and Omar Abdel-Baqui report.

RELATED: "Higher wages are fantastic for workers. But small businesses are struggling to keep up," from CNN.

AND: " More Job Ads Disclose Wages as U.S. Employers Grow Desperate," from Bloomberg.

 

Be a Policy Pro. POLITICO Pro has a free policy resource center filled with our best practices on building relationships with state and federal representatives, demonstrating ROI, and influencing policy through digital storytelling. Read our free guides today .

 
 
Unions

UNIONS CONTINUE PUSHBACK AGAINST BIDEN VACCINE MANDATE: The organized labor divide over Biden's new requirement that federal workers get vaccinated — the cracks of which showed first last week after he announced it Thursday — continues to deepen.

"While labor groups representing government employees have urged their members to get vaccinated, most of the leading public sector unions either oppose the vaccine requirement or say it must first be negotiated," The Hill's Karl Evers-Hillstrom reports. "Groups representing educators, postal workers, law enforcement officers, Treasury Department personnel and other government employees expressed unease about the vaccine requirement this week. Only a few public sector unions outright endorsed the measure."

RELATED: "As Biden Moves to Vaccinate Federal Workers, Troops Get a Pass," from The New York Times.

OPINION: "Unions that oppose vaccine mandates jeopardize public health and their own influence," from The Washington Post.

A message from Live Nation Entertainment:

Concerts and Live Entertainment Industry Drives Economies

Nationwide, the industry's total economic impact of $132.6 billion, supported 913,000 total jobs with associated labor income of approximately $42.2 billion in 2019.

While the national impact of the live event industry is significant, live's impact starts locally.

The Concerts and Live Entertainment industry generated a total fiscal impact of $17.5 billion in 2019 with $8.3 billion in state and local tax revenues.

The economic impact of live events extends beyond the jobs, event, and venue itself to local restaurants, hotels, bars, retailers, and small businesses. Live events also contribute to the overall quality of life in a region that helps to attract and retain businesses and talent and to create the sense of community so many crave after this year of isolation caused by COVID-19.

Learn more: https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/recent-releases/livemusic

 
Immigration

NOT SO FAST: The Biden administration is moving to block Texas Gov. Greg Abbott's recent order restricting the transport of certain immigrants.

"The Justice Department filed the suit Friday afternoon in federal court in El Paso after Attorney General Merrick Garland sent Abbott a letter Thursday warning that the order intrudes on the federal government's power over immigration enforcement," our Josh Gerstein reports.

"Abbott's order, issued Wednesday, says immigrants can only be transported by ground by law enforcement officials, but Garland has said the federal government relies extensively on contractors, grantees and non-governmental organizations to move immigrants."

MORE IMMIGRATION NEWS: "Governors want Biden to explain why the U.S. border is shuttered to Canadians," from our Andy Blatchford.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 
What We're Reading

— "'People Get Upset': A Mass Labor Shortage Is Leaving Hamptonites to Fend for Themselves," from Vanity Fair

— "Guggenheim Museum Curators Move to Join a Union," from The New York Times

— " 1 out of every 153 American workers is an Amazon employee," from Insider

— "Chile Workers at World's Biggest Copper Mine Vote to Strike," from The Wall Street Journal

— "'Nothing actually changes': Boston tech workers of color blast the sector's attempts to be antiracist," from The Boston Globe

— "Job switchers are the big winners in the pandemic labor market," from Yahoo

— "Canada looks to women to bolster trades amid post-pandemic labor shortage," from Reuters

— "There's an unemployment cliff coming. More than 7.5 million may fall off ," from CNBC

— "Employers bow to tech workers in hottest job market since the dot-com era," from the Los Angeles Times

— "Analysis: U.S. manufacturers take a double hit from labor and materials," from Reuters

— " 6 royals who kept their identity secret while working regular jobs," from Insider

THAT'S ALL FOR MORNING SHIFT!

 

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Rebecca Rainey @rebeccaarainey

 

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