Canada: retail sales fell 3.4% in December: Excluding cars -4.1% vs. -2.4% forecast, prev. +2.1%; Sales declined in 9 of 11 sectors; Q4 sales up 1.2% vs. Q3; Preliminary January retail sales figure down 3.3% in January; First decline after 7 consecutive months of gains; About 15% of all retailers closed in December.
It appears that the figure will fall again in January amid tightening quarantine measures. The subsequent store openings, however, should be responsible for a decent increase in pent-up demand.
Our Analysis:
Provided that the currency pair is traded below 1.2630, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: 30 min
- Recommendation: short position
- Entry point: 1.2608
- Take Profit 1: 1.2575
- Take Profit 2: 1.2560
Alternative scenario:
In case of breakout of the level 1.2630, follow the recommendations below:
- Time frame: 30 min
- Recommendation: long position
- Entry point: 1.2630
- Take Profit 1: 1.2650
- Take Profit 2: 1.2670
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