Friday, June 21, 2024

Two years later: The demise of Roe

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Jun 21, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Katherine Long

Documents are seen behind the top of the Supreme Court, while a woman looks into the distance.

Illustration by Jade Cuevas/POLITICO (source images via Getty Images)

Hey Rulers! It’s the end of the week and we’re back with another edition of Women Rule, where your host has returned from a cloudy Southern California to a very hot D.C.

Let’s get started:

Roe v. Wade enshrined the legal right to abortion nationwide for nearly half a century. Now, we are on the cusp of the two-year anniversary marking the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn the rule. So, where are we now?

Following the June 24, 2022 decision, there are now abortion bans or restrictions in 21 states. Dozens of independent clinics focused on reproductive care closed in 2023, and over a dozen states now lack abortion access.

“I think the thing for me that has been most surprising has been the failure of so many people involved in these bans to understand that reproductive health is not just about abortion,” Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) tells Women Rule. “It’s also how to ensure that women can have healthy babies — and that they don’t lose that opportunity because of laws like the ones we have in Texas and Alabama and other states.”

Shaheen, a member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, has sponsored numerous pieces of legislation related to reproductive care. She was vocal in her support for the Right to Contraception Act, which fell short of the 60 Senate votes needed to move forward earlier this month. The Right to IVF Act, sponsored by Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.), also failed in the Senate earlier this month.

Since Dobbs, Shaheen says, Republican lawmakers have shifted increasingly to the right on reproductive health issues.

“The fact that they’re not willing to vote for legislation that would guarantee those protections for women and families. The fact that they’re not willing to support access to contraception,” Shaheen says. “I remember my mother talking about what it was like before women had access to contraception. I can’t imagine that.”

Shaheen signed a bill decriminalizing abortion in New Hampshire during her time as governor, a move that was met with bipartisan support. Now, Shaheen says, one thing needs to happen before any legislation relating to reproductive care is enacted: leadership in the Republican party needs to change.

“It is sad to see where we’ve come in such a short amount of time,” Shaheen says.

Nancy Northup is the president and CEO of the Center for Reproductive Rights, a global legal advocacy organization seeking to improve reproductive rights. Northup tells Women Rule that Congress needs to fix the problem the Supreme Court created. As an example, she cites the Women’s Health Protection Act, which was introduced by Rep. Judy Chu (D-Calif.) in 2021; if enacted, it would protect a person’s ability to get an abortion and a health care provider’s ability to provide abortion services.

“They have the power to do it. So I fully expect that will happen,” Northup said. “And if it doesn’t happen in the next Congress it will happen in the future because this is an unacceptable situation to the 70 percent of voters in the United States who support abortion.”

As the 2024 election cycle draws closer, reproductive care is front of mind for many Democratic lawmakers.

Senate Democrats held a press conference on Tuesday advocating for reproductive rights and condemning Project 2025, a plan detailing conservative policy proposals from the Heritage Foundation. Also known as the Presidential Transition Project, the plan states that “the Dobbs decision is just the beginning. Conservatives in the states and in Washington, including in the next conservative Administration, should push as hard as possible to protect the unborn in every jurisdiction in America.”

While Democrats are mourning the end of Roe, Republicans and anti-abortion activists like Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America, are celebrating the Dobbs decision — and looking for ways to expand its reach.

“Since the Dobbs decision, we have gained major ground in the fight for life,” Dannenfelser tells Women Rule in an emailed statement. “Today, 24 states have laws defending life at 15 weeks or sooner. With an estimated 200,902 unborn children protected annually by pro-life laws, we celebrate the babies who are alive today because of Dobbs.”

“This could be the last Dobbs anniversary we celebrate if we don’t win this election.  If Joe Biden and the Democrats win, they will nuke the filibuster and pass the WHPA to ban states from having laws protecting unborn children and mandate all-trimester abortion all across the country,” Dannenfelser says.

“We must defeat Joe Biden and the Democrats by offering compassionate support to women and unborn children in contrast to the extreme unlimited abortion agenda which only 10 percent of Americans support.”

Last week, the Supreme Court maintained access to the abortion pill mifepristone, though the ruling does not codify protections for the drug and could be revisited by future administrations.

The court is also set to decide on another abortion-related case, which would determine whether a state can ban abortions if the pregnant person’s health is at risk. The case involves the Emergency Medical Treatment and Labor Act, or EMTALA, a federal law which guarantees emergency care — including abortions — for patients.

“EMTALA is the last shred of federal protections for the right to access abortion care that exists with the reversal of Roe v. Wade,” Northup says.

But Northup believes there is hope for reproductive rights moving forward, pointing to successful state ballot measures legalizing abortion.

Six weeks after Roe v. Wade was overturned, voters in Kansas voted to block an amendment seeking to ban abortion. Kentucky also blocked an amendment that would have removed protections for abortion rights.

“When given the ability to vote for themselves … they want the policy that abortion is legal in their state, so that gives me hope,” Northup says.

Multiple states will have abortion-related amendments on the docket this November, including in South Dakota, Colorado and Florida.

POLITICO Special Report

Amy Coney Barrett sits in a chair during a panel discussion.

Mark Schiefelbein/AP

Amy Coney Barrett may be poised to split conservatives on the Supreme Court,” by Josh Gerstein for POLITICO: “A rift is emerging among the Supreme Court’s conservatives — and it could thwart the court’s recent march to expand gun rights. On one side is the court’s oldest and most conservative justice, Clarence Thomas. On the other is its youngest member, Amy Coney Barrett.”

California reaches $15 million settlement with Snapchat over alleged sex discrimination,” by Lara Korte for POLITICO: “Snapchat’s parent company agreed to a $15 million settlement on Wednesday following a three-year investigation into allegations of discrimination, retaliation and sexual harassment by its female employees.”

Melania Trump set to host a second fundraiser for Log Cabin Republicans next month,” by Alex Isenstadt for POLITICO: “Melania Trump is set to host a fundraiser for the Log Cabin Republicans in her residence at Trump Tower in New York next month — her second for the group during the 2024 campaign.”

Number of the Week

An image reads, Fifty-three percent of women on probation and parole live in one of the 21 states that ban or restrict abortion at an earlier date than the standard set by Roe v. Wade, according to a new briefing released by Prison Policy Initiative, a public policy think tank. Whether or not they can travel out of state to obtain an abortion will depend on the state they are in.

Read more here.

MUST READS

 Giorgia Meloni (left) shakes hands with Amina Mohammed.

Andreas Solaro/AFP via Getty Images

Lack of women at global tables of power hinders progress, says top UN official,” by Ashifa Kassam for The Guardian: “Her remarks come in a year when more people are set to vote than ever before, but in which female candidates are in noticeably short supply. Of the 42 countries where elections will be held this year, only a handful have female candidates with a reasonable chance of winning.”

Congress debates expanded draft amid military recruitment challenges,” by Robert Jimison for The New York Times: “The United States military has not activated a draft in more than 50 years, but Congress is weighing proposals to update mandatory conscription, including by expanding it to women for the first time and automatically registering those eligible to be called up.”

Parole and probation rules limit travel. That can be complicated for people seeking abortions,” by Candice Norwood for 19th News: “In the two years since Roe v. Wade was overturned in June 2022, the number of patients forced to seek out-of-state abortion services has doubled. Fourteen states have total abortion bans, three more restrict abortions after six weeks — before most people know they are pregnant — and two others limit them after the first trimester.”

Biden’s lead with women is smaller than Trump’s with men, a warning for Democrats,” by Ruth Igielnik for The New York Times: “Mr. Biden’s lead among women has slid to about eight percentage points since the 2020 election, according to an average of more than 30 polls conducted over the last six months and compiled by The New York Times. That’s down from a lead among women of about 13 percentage points four years ago.”

QUOTE OF THE WEEK

Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett is quoted. It reads, Relying exclusively on history and tradition may seem like a way of avoiding judge-made tests. But a rule rendering tradition dispositive is itself a judge-made test.

Read more here.

on the move

Mari Manoogian is joining the Biden campaign as battleground political and coalitions director for the Midwest. She’s taking a leave of absence from her role as political director at The Next 50. (h/t POLITICO Influence)

Claire Burghoff is now VP of government affairs and corporate comms at Kratos Defense & Security Systems. She previously was a public affairs principal at Cornerstone. (h/t POLITICO Playbook)

Meira Bernstein is now senior adviser for comms at NASA. She most recently was at FGS Global and is a DHS and Biden 2020 alum. (h/t POLITICO Influence)

 

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Giselle Ruhiyyih Ewing @giselleruhiyyih

Katherine Long @katherinealong

 

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