"I don't trade into the event. That eliminates the volatility crush." Nate Bear, Lead Technical Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance Another day…another earnings winner. Rinse and repeat. Don't get me wrong, trading earnings is risky, especially if you're doing it like this: They fall in love with a stock and its story so much they're willing to gamble their hard-earned money ahead of earnings. They are left heartbroken when things don't turn out their way: If you want to succeed in the stock market, it's crucial to detach from personal biases and make decisions based on risk vs. reward. Let price action dictate your next move, not what some random person on a message board or talking head on CNBC tells you. And stop trying to guess where a stock will go before earnings. Even if you do get lucky, ask yourself if it's a repeatable process. I didn't take my trading account from $37K to $2.7 million in four years, betting on red at the casino. So, how am I avoiding the pitfalls associated with trading earnings? First, I don't trade into the event. That eliminates the volatility crush in options after an earnings announcement and their binary nature. Instead, I wait to see how the stock reacts after the big move. Will it hold onto it, trade sideways, or give it back up? Believe it or not, I prefer a stock to trade sideways after it has a big earnings beat. Why? Because it's absorbing the move and consolidating…and possibly setting up for the next leg higher. That's precisely what happened with Pinterest (PINS) after its shares surged by 16% following its Q1 earnings. |
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