Tuesday, April 30, 2024

The Coming Wave: Cheap Chinese EVs

Could they disrupt Tesla’s dominance?
 
   
     
   
 
APRIL 30, 2024
   
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PROSPERITY PUB MARKET TALK
The Coming Wave: Cheap Chinese EVs Could Disrupt Tesla's Dominance
 

Tesla has long been the undisputed leader in the electric vehicle (EV) market. But a new challenger is emerging on the horizon — China.

Chinese automakers are ramping up production of affordable EVs, and their lower prices could pose a significant threat to Tesla's dominance in the US market.

Here's why these cheap Chinese EVs could disrupt the playing field:

 
Price Advantage: Chinese manufacturers benefit from economies of scale and potentially lower production costs. This translates to significantly cheaper EVs compared to Tesla's current offerings. Budget-conscious American consumers might find these new entrants highly attractive.
 
Rapid Innovation: China’s tech sector is booming, and this innovation spills over into the auto industry. Chinese companies are developing competitive battery technology and features, potentially narrowing the gap with established players like Tesla.
 
Government Support: In the past, the Chinese government has heavily subsidized domestic EV production and infrastructure, allowing Chinese manufacturers to keep prices low and expand their reach. This could potentially result in flooding the US market with affordable options.

So, what does this mean for Tesla? 
 
Pressure on Margins: Tesla currently enjoys premium pricing for its vehicles. But a wave of cheaper alternatives could force them to adjust pricing strategies or risk losing market share.
 
Increased Competition: Tesla will no longer be the only game in town. They'll need to compete fiercely on features, technology, and after-sales service to maintain their customer base.
 
Focus on Differentiation: Tesla might need to emphasize its brand identity, focusing on aspects like performance, self-driving technology, and a robust charging network to differentiate itself from the budget-friendly Chinese options.

But it's not all doom and gloom for Tesla. They have several advantages:

Brand Recognition: Tesla is a household name synonymous with EVs. This brand loyalty can be a powerful advantage against new entrants.

Established Infrastructure: Tesla's extensive charging network across the US gives them a significant edge compared to Chinese companies who might struggle to replicate such infrastructure quickly.

The arrival of cheap Chinese EVs presents a unique challenge for Tesla. While it might disrupt their current dominance, it also pushes the entire industry towards greater affordability and potentially faster adoption of EVs.

Ultimately, consumers will benefit from a wider range of options and potentially lower prices. The future of the US EV market promises to be exciting, with Tesla needing to adapt and innovate to remain the leader in the face of this coming wave. 

Our own Jeffry Turnmire has recently called the bottom of Tesla (TLSA) stock’s long slump. And despite it’s most recent poor earnings announcement, the stock has bounced as much as 41% off its low just last week.

Despite the competition from China and other pressures, he sees the stock continuing to rise after some short term resistance. Get Jeffry’s full analysis here, including long term targets as high as $350 and even $500!

— The Prosperity Pub Team
 
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SCOTT WELSH’S TICKER TALES
Here Comes Qualcomm (QCOM)
 
 
Just when we thought it was safe to rotate out of electronics and semiconductors…

They come roaring back. 

Of course, AMD and all of its friends had a monstrous run, but they all started pulling back about a month ago.

And then the “Tech is Dead” headlines started coming back. 

But a funny thing happened on the way to tech’s funeral.

It started charging back. 

And QCOM has, too.

Here’s the chart:

 
 
A break above $176 could lead to a brand-new surge.

We’ll keep an eye on it.


Happy trading,
— Scott Welsh

P.S. As a reminder, these plays are based on my longer-term Weinstein Stage Analysis method. The charts above use weekly candles and a 30 week simple moving average. For details on this method, see my explanation on this Ask The Pros episode starting at timestamp 20:45.
   
 

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