Friday, April 26, 2024

A CFPB wakeup call

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Apr 26, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Zachary Warmbrodt

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QUICK FIX

An army of high-ranking Biden and Obama administration alumni are ratcheting up pressure on Congress to preserve the CFPB as we know it, as an existential threat looms at the Supreme Court. MM readers are getting a first look at their new effort.

In a letter to Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, Senate Banking Chair Sherrod Brown and their GOP counterparts, 32 economic policy leaders from the last two Democratic administrations argue that Congress should reject legislation that would “undermine the CFPB” by altering its funding and structure.

The former officials include Biden National Economic Council director Brian Deese and deputy director Bharat Ramamurti, Obama Treasury deputy secretaries Sarah Bloom Raskin and Neal Wolin, Obama OMB director Shaun Donovan, Obama Council of Economic Advisers chair Jason Furman and Biden antitrust adviser Tim Wu.

They point to Republican-led bills that would bring the CFPB under the traditional appropriations process and replace its director with a five-member commission. The issue is on the verge of becoming a more pressing matter as the Supreme Court weighs the constitutionality of the CFPB receiving funding from the Federal Reserve.

“These bills would undermine the independence of the CFPB and impair its ability to effectively operate on behalf of American consumers and responsible businesses,” the one-time Biden and Obama officials say.

The push will give Democrats another reason to hold the line if the Supreme Court forces a major rethink of how the CFPB operates.

“It’s to show that there is broad support among economic policymakers for preserving the way the CFPB has acted,” Ramamurti told MM. “You’ve got folks who worked in this administration, who worked in the Obama administration. You’ve got folks who probably scan as more progressive, some folks who scan as more moderate and with closer ties to the business community.”

Republican lobbyists and bank lobbyists have long argued that the way Democrats designed the CFPB in the 2010 Dodd-Frank law has allowed it to escape accountability. Under current statute, appropriators can’t set its funding levels, and its leadership via a single director means it lacks the bipartisan push and pull of commissions like the SEC. In the past, some moderate Democrats have been open to the idea of revamping the bureau’s structure and installing a commission, a move that would likely slow down major regulatory actions and create a bigger opening for industry to influence the agency. In 2020, the Supreme Court made it easier for a president to remove the CFPB’s director.

“There’s a good amount of accountability right now,” former assistant Treasury secretary Graham Steele, who signed the letter, told MM. “One of the issues is, accountability to whom? Congress always has legislative power to change things about the CFPB if the CFPB overreaches.”

The Biden and Obama alumni are trying to build a sense of economic urgency. They tell lawmakers in the letter that they’re concerned about “potential systemic consequences” from attacks on the CFPB, including a scenario where legal challenges also imperil the funding structure of the Federal Reserve and other agencies. They see potential “chaos” in the mortgage market and other areas of consumer finance if the Supreme Court rules against the bureau. They argue that CFPB enforcement actions have put more than $20 billion “back in the pockets of everyday Americans.”

Asked by MM how concerned he is about Congress’s support for the CFPB, Ramamurti said it depends on what the Supreme Court says.

“There have been efforts pretty much since the day the CFPB was created to change it into a commission, to change its funding structure,” he said. “Even under Republican Congresses, those efforts failed. So I think there’s a strong base of support for preserving the way the CFPB is funded and the way it is led in large part because it’s been extraordinarily effective.”

Happy Friday — Send tips to zwarmbrodt@politico.com.

 

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The Commerce Department releases the PCE price index for March at 8:30 a.m.

Inflation setback — Data released Thursday revealed that the Biden-era economy has taken an “unexpected detour” after a run of good news, Victoria Guida reports. A Commerce Department report showed that inflation in the first quarter, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures index, rose by 3.7 percent while GDP growth slowed.

The news is hacking away at what were already strained expectations for pre-election interest rate cuts. According to interest rate trading tracked by CME’s FedWatch tool, the market now expects the first cut to happen in September, and that’s with a less than 60 percent probability.

Friday’s release of PCE data for March is expected to show that inflation stayed elevated last month, per Bloomberg.

“If inflation stickiness gives way in the coming months, with wages still moderating and indicators of tightness still showing no re-tightening, we think [the Fed] will still go ahead with cuts,” Evercore ISI’s Krishna Guha and Marco Casiraghi wrote to clients Thursday. “If not, a more far-reaching shift in Fed rate plans will be warranted.”

 

POLITICO IS BACK AT THE 2024 MILKEN INSTITUTE GLOBAL CONFERENCE: POLITICO will again be your eyes and ears at the 27th Annual Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles from May 5-8 with exclusive, daily, reporting in our Global Playbook newsletter. Suzanne Lynch will be on the ground covering the biggest moments, behind-the-scenes buzz and on-stage insights from global leaders in health, finance, tech, philanthropy and beyond. Get a front-row seat to where the most interesting minds and top global leaders confront the world’s most pressing and complex challenges — subscribe today.

 
 
Regulatory Corner

FDIC vs. asset managers — After weeks of build-up, the FDIC’s board on Thursday tabled competing proposals about how to ratchet up scrutiny of giant asset managers like BlackRock and Vanguard that handle significant investments in banks, Michael Stratford reports. Democrats and Republicans at the agency want to probe whether the stakes are truly managed in a passive fashion. It comes as the largest money managers have become bigger political targets on the left and the right, for different reasons.

Republican Jonathan McKernan and Democrat Rohit Chopra (who is also the CFPB director) offered separate plans for addressing concerns about the firms’ influence over banks. They said Thursday that they’ll continue working through the issue and will attempt to find a consensus.

“To be continued,” FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg said.

The effort, which appears to be limited to the FDIC for now, has left the asset management industry on high alert.

“For more than 20 years, U.S. bank regulators have concluded that regulated funds’ passivity commitments ensure they do not exercise control over the banks in which they invest,” Investment Company Institute spokesperson Stephen Bradford said in a statement. “Any suggestion that this regulatory approach should be changed lacks substantiation and could harm fund investors. ICI believes that further discussions on this topic should involve all of the banking regulators and be informed by discussions with the asset management community.”

Crypto

First in MM: Heritage ramps up CBDC push — Heritage Action is taking new steps to rally support for legislation from House Majority Whip Tom Emmer that would restrict the Fed’s ability to issue a central bank digital currency, Eleanor Mueller reports.

Heritage has sent emails to select members’ offices urging them to cosponsor the bill and is asking donors to contact their representatives. The conservative group is hopeful for a floor vote before this summer.

MM scooped in February that Heritage will grade lawmakers on their support for the bill, which House conservatives have considered pairing on the floor with other crypto legislation. Emmer’s bill has 156 co-sponsors, according to his office. They’re all Republicans.

In other Capitol Hill crypto news, House Financial Services ranking member Maxine Waters told Bloomberg Television this week that she expects a deal on stablecoin legislation “in the short run” after she and House Financial Services Chair Patrick McHenry finesse “a few more tweaks.”

Outstanding issues center on consumer protection, Waters said. Those include how to ensure that issuers “have the assets to back up [their] stablecoins.” She added that she and McHenry have spoken not only with Schumer but also with Brown.

Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bill Cassidy on Thursday pressed DOJ and DHS for details on how they’re policing the use of crypto in trading of child sexual abuse material. Warren is one of the Hill’s leading advocates for stricter anti-money laundering rules for digital assets, which could come into play with a potential stablecoin deal.

“Existing anti-money laundering rules and law enforcement methods face challenges in effectively detecting and preventing these crimes—and we seek to ensure that Congress and the administration are doing their part to address these challenges,” Warren and Cassidy wrote in a letter to Attorney General Merrick Garland and Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas.

New SEC lawsuit — Per Declan Harty, the crypto firm Consensys sued the SEC and alleged that the agency is illegally pushing to claim authority over the ether. The SEC declined to comment.

Economy

Conservatives knock Trump dollar devaluation plan — Former Vice President Mike Pence’s advocacy group, Advancing American Freedom, is out with a memo today that challenges Trumpworld’s designs on devaluing the dollar, Eleanor reports.

“Inflation IS devaluation,” AAF writes. “Conservatives should support economic policies that result in a strong dollar for a vibrant American economy.”

 

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