Tuesday, January 16, 2024

🙌Will Earnings Season Break the Market?

Good morning. Earnings season kicked off with the big banks reporting last week. That data came...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning, Earnings season kicked off with the big banks reporting last week. That data came in mixed. Higher interest rates meant higher revenues, but there were also a variety of charges and write-offs that created mixed results.

As other companies report earnings, we'll get a sense of how the economy is faring. It's likely that we'll see some solid results overall, particularly given the strength of holiday spending. That could be enough to help push the market past its old all-time highs and to new ones. But there will likely be some surprises and market volatility in store ahead.

Traders and investors alike can start looking for opportunities among companies that overreact to their quarterly earnings report.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 37,592.98 -0.31%
S&P 4,783.83 +0.08%
NASDAQ 14,972.76 +0.02%
*As of market close
Markets were closed Monday, in observation of Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

Today's TOP TIPS
This Leading Brand Will Continue to Power Higher
Many stocks aren't near their all-time highs, even as the market headlines are. That could be an opportunity for investors, particularly those who focus on undervalued industry leaders.

Leaders will typically lead the rest of the sector higher once a turnaround starts. They also tend to sport the best profit margins. And for dividend-paying sectors, leaders tend to offer the best yields.

» FULL STORY

Insider Activity Report: Tilly's (TLYS)
Fund 1 Investments, a major holder of Tilly's (TLYS), recently bought 130,302 shares. The buy increased the fund's position by 2 percent, and came to a total cost of $936,186.

This marks the fund's first buy of the year. The fund was heavily active throughout 2023, buying shares steadily over a dozen times. The company's CFO also bought 3,400 shares last year, paying just over $21,000 to do so. And two directors made small sales.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Option Activity: United Parcel Service (UPS)
Freight and logistics company United Parcel Service (UPS) is down 12 percent over the last year as consumer spending on goods has slowed. One trader sees shares trending higher in the coming weeks.

That's based on the February 9 $170 calls. With 23 days until expiration, 4,416 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 231, for a 19-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $1.85 to make the bullish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Oil Prices Rise Following Airstrikes in Yemen

Oil prices rose about 3.5 percent following a series of airstrikes by U.S.-led coalition forces against targets in Yemen. The airstrikes were targeting Houthi rebels, who have been attacking international shipping in recent weeks, causing significant disruptions as ships have been avoiding the Red Sea.
China's Economy Continues to Struggle

China reported a further decline in exports, and the country saw annual exports fall for the first year since 2016. The world's second-largest economy also reported that consumer price inflation was at its lowest level in 14 years, with prices up just 0.2 percent over 2022.
BlackRock to Buy Global Infrastructure Partners in $12 Billion Deal

Asset manager BlackRock (BLK) is looking to buy privately-held Global Infrastructure Partners in a deal valued in about $12 billion in cash and stock. The company expects the position to be a long-term holding, and the deal is expected to close in the third quarter.
Bank Profits Come in Mixed

Many large Wall Street banks reported earnings last week. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) saw a decline in profit, largely due to fees related to its bank acquisitions in 2022. However, the bank still managed to report its most profitable year in history. Other banks took a more cautious tone, with Bank of America (BAC) sliding on increased charges.
1X Raises $100 Million for Humanoid Robots

1X, a Norwegian early-stage robotics firm backed by OpenAI, has raised $100 million in Series B funding. The company working to develop humanoid robots, named NEO. 1X has now raised $125 million, and is using the funds to continue to build up its robots as well as provide a payout for the development team.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
MELI 4.066%
CTSH 4.02%
BK 3.878%
PEAK 2.743%
EPAM 2.743%
BOTTOM
UAL 10.458%
AAL 9.458%
DAL 9.027%
BIDU 6.742%
WHR 5.297%

Quote of the Day
Right now, the market's pretty quiet, but I don't think it'll be quiet all year. We've fully priced this Goldilocks soft landing scenario. What's next? It's probably 'no landing,' which means the bond yields are probably not going to stay as anchored as they are, some of those rate cuts have come back out and then volatility comes back into the equity market … and then it's not a buy-everything rally that we saw at the year end.
- Phillip Colmar, managing partner and global strategist at MRB Partners, on why the market will likely see volatility pick up in the coming months as data shifts give a sense of how long interest rates will need to stay higher until they can start to come down.

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