Tuesday, December 19, 2023

Sector Analysis and Key Events for Tuesday

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Summary
The Dow Future has advanced 65 points to 37736. The US Dollar Index edged lower 0.117 points to 102.444. Gold has advanced 2.540 dollars to 2026.465. Silver is trending higher 0.13695 dollars to 23.96350. The Dow Industrials climbed 0.86 points, at 37306.02, while the S&P 500 trended higher 21.37 points, last seen at 4740.56. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 90.89 points to 14904.81. Streaming charts of these markets are available at MarketClub

Blog Postings and Videos
DASH in, EBAY out - a Deep Dive Into the 2024 Implications
Friday Dec 15th

Examining the Road Ahead for Spotify (SPOT) After CFO Departure and Sell-Off
Thursday Dec 14th

STLA vs. California - Assessing the Investment Landscape Amid Emissions Policy Disputes
Thursday Dec 14th

Key Events for Tuesday

8:30 AM ET. November New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits Total Starts (previous 1.372M) Housing Starts, M/M% (previous +1.9%) Building Permits (previous 1.487M) Building Permits, M/M% (previous +1.1%) 8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% Latest Wk, Y/Y% 4:00 PM ET. October Treasury International Capital Data 4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) Distillate Stocks, Net Chg

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey Composite Idx Composite Idx, W/W% Purchase Idx-SA Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% Refinance Idx Refinance Idx, W/W% 8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter International Transactions Current Account (USD) (previous -212.1B) 10:00 AM ET. November Existing Home Sales Existing Sales (previous 3.79M) Existing Sales, M/M% (previous -4.1%) Unsold Homes Month's Supply (previous 3.6) Median Price (USD) (previous 391800) Median Home Price, Y/Y% (previous +3.4%) 10:00 AM ET. December Consumer Confidence Index Cons Conf Idx (previous 102) Expectation Idx Present Situation Idx (previous 138.2) 10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) Distillate Stocks (Bbl) Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) Refinery Usage Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) Total Prod Supplied, Net

8:30 AM ET. December Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey Business Activity (previous -5.9) Prices Paid (previous 14.8) Employment (previous 0.8) New Orders (previous 1.3) Prices Received (previous 14.8) Delivery Times (previous -8.7) Inventories (previous -3.1) Shipments (previous -17.9) 8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter Revised Corporate Profits 8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter 3rd estimate GDP Annual Rate, Q/Q% (previous +5.2%) Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +3.6%) Corporate Profits, Q/Q% (previous +4.3%) PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +2.8%) Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +3%) Real Final Sales, Q/Q% (previous +3.7%) Core PCE Price Idx, Ex Food/Energy, Q/Q% (previous +2.3%) Personal Consumption, Q/Q% (previous +3.6%) 8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims Jobless Claims Jobless Claims, Net Chg Continuing Claims Continuing Claims, Net Chg 8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales 10:00 AM ET. November Leading Indicators Leading Index, M/M% (previous -0.8%) Leading Index (previous 103.9) Coincident Index, M/M% (previous +0%) Lagging Index, M/M% (previous +0.1%) 10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) 11:00 AM ET. December Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing Mfg Activity Idx (previous -3) 6-Mo Exp Prod Idx (previous 16) Mfg Composite Idx (previous -2) 6-Mo Exp Composite Idx (previous -1) 4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings 4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank

8:30 AM ET. November Personal Income and Outlays Personal Income, M/M% (previous +0.2%) Consumer Spending, M/M% (previous +0.2%) PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0%) PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +3%) PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.2%) PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +3.5%) 8:30 AM ET. November Advance Report on Durable Goods Durable Goods-SA, M/M% (previous -5.4%) Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous -6.7%) Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +0%) Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous -0.1%) Shipments: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0%) 10:00 AM ET. 3rd Quarter State Quarterly Personal Income 10:00 AM ET. 3rd Quarter GDP by State 10:00 AM ET. November New Residential Sales New Home Sales (previous 679K) New Home Sales, M/M% (previous -5.6%) New Home Sales Months Supply (previous 7.8) 10:00 AM ET. November State Employment and Unemployment 10:00 AM ET. December University of Michigan Survey of Consumers - final End-Mo Sentiment Idx (previous 61.3) End-Mo Expectations Idx (previous 56.8) 12-Month Inflation Forecast (previous 4.5%) 5-Year Inflation Forecast (previous 3.2%) End-Mo Current Idx (previous

N/A U.S.: Christmas Day. Financial markets

8:30 AM ET. November Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) NAI (previous -0.49) NAI, 3-mo Moving Avg (previous -0.22) 9:00 AM ET. October U.S. Monthly House Price Index 9:00 AM ET. October S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices 10-City Idx, M/M% (previous +0.3%) 10-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +4.8%) 20-City Idx, M/M% (previous +0.2%) 20-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +3.9%) National Idx, M/M% (previous +0.3%) National Idx, Y/Y% (previous +3.9%) 10:30 AM ET. December Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey Business Activity (previous -19.9) Mfg Production Idx (previous -7.2) 1:00 AM ET. November Money Stock Measures




 
Currencies Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
US DOLLAR INDEX 102.444 -0.117 -0.11%
Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF 27.33000 -0.01447 -0.05%
US Dollar/Canadian Dollar 1.33799 -0.00146 -0.11%
Euro/US Dollar 1.094625 +0.002475 +0.23%
JAPANESE YEN Dec 2023 0.006994 -0.000042 -0.60%
SWISS FRANC Dec 2023 1.15110 +0.00320 +0.28%
US Dollar/Hong Kong Dollar 7.79952 +0.00406 +0.05%

CURRENCIES:

The March Dollar was slightly lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends last-week's decline, the 75% retracement level of the July-October rally crossing at $101.756 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $102.908 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $102.908. Second resistance is the December 11th high crossing at $103.875. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $101.390. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the July-October rally crossing at $100.723.

The March Euro was slightly higher overnight and sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the the rally off December's low, November's high crossing at 1.10700 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.08966 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is November's high crossing at 1.10700. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 1.11710. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.08966. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.08064.

The March British Pound was higher overnight following a two-day correction off last-Thursday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the 75% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 1.2846 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at 1.2509 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 1.2846. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 1.2971. First support is last-Wednesday low crossing at 1.2509. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2410.

The March Swiss Franc was higher overnight and sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the 75% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 1.17359 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.15588 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 1.17015. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the July-October decline crossing at 1.17359. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.15588. Second support is the December 8th low crossing at 1.14585.

The March Canadian Dollar was slightly higher overnight as it extends the rally off November's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 75% retracement level of July-November decline crossing at $75.46 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $73.93 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at $74.87. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of July-November decline crossing at $75.46. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $73.93. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $73.35.

The March Japanese Yen was sharply lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Thursday's high. Overnight trading sets the stage for a sharply lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.069596 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at 0.072268 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at 0.072268. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at 0.073349. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.069596. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.068735.



 
Energy Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CRUDE OIL Jan 2024 72.26 -0.30 -0.41%
NY HARBOR ULSD HEATING OIL Jan 2024 2.6610 -0.0208 -0.78%
NATURAL GAS Jan 2024 2.446 -0.070 -2.78%
RBOB GASOLINE Jan 2024 2.1503 -0.0200 -0.92%
Invesco DWA Energy Momentum ETF 43.504 -0.001 -0.00%
United States Gasoline Fund 62.6118 +0.9818 +1.57%

ENERGY

January crude oil was slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off the 87% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at $67.74. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $73.11 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If January resumes the decline off September's high, May's low crossing at $66.27 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $73.11. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $77.80. First support is the 87% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at $67.74. Second support is May's low crossing at $66.27.

January heating oil was slightly lower overnight and sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.6715 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If January renews the decline off September's high, the 75% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at 2.4439 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.6715. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.7870. First support is the 75% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at 2.4439. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at 2.3259.

January unleaded gas was slightly lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.1768 would open the door for a possible test of the November 30th high crossing at $2.2779. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $2.0694 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.1768. Second resistance is the November 30th high crossing at $2.2779. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $2.1181. Second support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $2.0694.

January natural gas was was lower overnight hinting that the four-day rally off last-Wednesday's low might be coming an end. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off last-Wednesday's low, the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.664 is the next upside target. If January renews the decline off October's high, the March-2023 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.944 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.664. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the August-December decline crossing at 2.945. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 2.235. Second support is the March-2023 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.944.



 
Food Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
COFFEE DECEMBER 2023 202.80 +2.70 +1.34%
SUGAR #11 WORLD MARCH 2024 21.28 -0.03 -0.14%
0.00%
ORANGE JUICE - A JANUARY 2024 372.30 +1.25 +0.34%
iPathA Series B Bloomberg Sugar Subindex Total Return ETN 87.9700 +1.1153 +1.27%
iPathA Series B Bloomberg Softs Subindex Total Return ETN 71.4700 -0.2049 -0.28%

FOOD & FIBER

March coffee closed closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off October's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2022-2023 decline crossing at 19.55 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $17.91 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 19.45. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2022-2023 decline crossing at 18.85. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $17.91. Second support is the November 20th low crossing at $16.53.

March cocoa closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging and turning neutral signaling that sideways prices are possible near-term. Closes below the December 6th low crossing at 40.98 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March cocoa extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project.

March sugar closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off November's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2021-2023 rally crossing at 20.62 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 22.69 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.

March cotton closed lower on Monday as it extends the decline off this month's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends today's decline, a test of December's low crossing at 78.59 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 82.35 would open the door for additional gains near-term. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 82.35. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at 83.97. First support is December's low crossing at 78.59. Second support is November's low crossing at 77.66.



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Grains Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
CORN Mar 2024 476.25 -1.00 -0.21%
OATS Mar 2024 383.00 -0.50 -0.13%
WHEAT Mar 2024 615.00 -3.25 -0.53%
Teucrium Corn Fund ETV 21.8400 -0.1400 -0.64%
iPathA Series B Bloomberg Grains Subindex Total Return ETN 70.8800 -0.1593 -0.23%
ELEMENTS Linked to the ICE BofAML Commodity Index eXtra Grains Total Return 5.4358 +0.0058 +0.11%
SOYBEANS Jan 2024 1318.50 -9.50 -0.72%
SOYBEAN (MINI) Jan 2024 1318.000 -9.000 -0.68%
SOYBEAN MEAL Jan 2024 410.4 -2.7 -0.65%
Teucrium Soybean Fund ETV 27.860 +0.140 +0.50%

GRAINS

March corn was fractionally lower overnight as it continues to extend the trading range, which began in August. Overnight trading sets the stage for a fractionally lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's decline, November's low crossing at $4.70 1/2 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.90 1/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of October's high crossing at $5.21 1/2. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.90 1/4. Second resistance is October's high crossing at $5.21 1/2. First support is November's low crossing at $4.70 1/2. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $4.50 3/4.

March wheat was steady to fractionally higher overnight and sets the stage for a fractionally higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.01 3/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If March renews the rally off November's low, the 38% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at $6.53 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at $6.53. Second resistance is the August 23rd high crossing at $6.68 3/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.01 3/4. Second support is November's low crossing at $5.56 1/4.

March Kansas City wheat was steady to fractionally lower overnight and sets the stage for a fractionally lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off December's high, November's low crossing at $5.95 is the next downside target. Closes above the 25% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at $6.77 would open the door for additional gains and a possible test of October's high crossing at $6.96 1/2. First resistance is the 25% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at $6.77. Second resistance is October's high crossing at $6.96 1/2. First support is Monday's low crossing at $6.24. Second support is November's low crossing at $5.95.

March Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight trading and sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. If March renews this year's decline, the May-2021 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $6.68 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the December 6th high crossing at $7.47 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. First resistance is the December 6th high crossing at $7.47 3/4. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level of the July-November decline crossing at $7.62 1/2. First support is November's low crossing at $6.97 1/2. Second support is the May-2021 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $6.68 3/4.

SOYBEAN COMPLEX https://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=grains "

January soybeans were lower overnight and sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Tuesday's high crossing at $13.44 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If January renews the decline off November's high, October's low crossing at $12.70 1/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $13.44. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $13.98 1/2. First support is the 50% retracement level of the May-July rally crossing at $12.91 1/4. Second support is October's low crossing at $12.70 1/4.

January soybean meal was lower overnight as it consolidates some of Monday's rally. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $419.10 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If January extends the decline off November's high, the 75% retracement level of the October-November rally crossing at $389.70 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $417.70. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $419.10. First support is the 62% retracement level of the October-November rally crossing at $402.20. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the October-November rally crossing at $389.70.

January soybean oil was slightly lower overnight and sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 51.34 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. However, it will take closes above November's high crossing at 53.70 to renew the rally off November's low. If January renews the decline off November's high, November's low crossing at 48.53 is the next downside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at 53.70. Second resistance is the October 16th high crossing at 55.40. First support is November's low crossing at 48.53. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the May-July rally crossing at 47.17.



 
Indexes Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
Dow Jones Industrial Average 37306.02 +0.86 0.00%
NASDAQ Composite 14904.81 +90.89 +0.61%
S&P 500 4740.56 +21.37 +0.45%
SPDR S&P 500 471.9960 +2.6660 +0.56%
iShares Russell 2000 ETF 197.08 +0.04 +0.02%

U.S. STOCK INDEXES

The March NASDAQ 100 was slightly higher overnight as it extends the rally off December's low. Overnight trading sets the stage a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 16,389.39 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 16,974.00. Second is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 16,389.39. Second support is December's low crossing at 15,920.25.

The March S&P 500 was slightly higher overnight and sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the January-2022 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 4808.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 4668.76 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 4802.25. Second resistance is January-2022 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 4808.25. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 4717.60. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 4668.76.



 
Interest Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
T-BONDS Dec 2023 123.25000 -0.53125 -0.43%
iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF 50.463 -0.038 -0.08%
5 YEAR T-NOTES Dec 2023 107.734375 -0.101563 -0.09%
ULTRA T-BONDS Dec 2023 131.71875 -0.53125 -0.40%
Invesco Senior Loan ETF 21.05000 +0.04728 +0.22%

INTEREST RATES

March T-bonds were higher overnight as they extend the rally off October's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the 87% retracement level of the June-October decline crossing at 125-23 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 119-03 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 87% retracement level of the June-October decline crossing at 125-23. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 128-16. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 121-13. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 119-03.

March T-notes were slightly higher overnight and sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the 87% retracement level of the crossing at 113.140 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 110.215 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 112.280. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the crossing at 113.140. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 111.159. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 110.215.



 
Livestock Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
FEEDER CATTLE Jan 2024 223.175 +2.275 +1.02%
LEAN HOGS Feb 2024 71.575 -0.250 -0.35%
LIVE CATTLE Dec 2023 168.825 +0.525 +0.31%
iPathA Series B Bloomberg Livestock Subindex Total Return ETN 40.025 -0.581 -1.46%

LIVESTOCK

February hogs closed down $0.25 at $71.65.

February hogs closed lower on Monday as it consolidates some of last-week's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $72.43 would open the door for additional gains near-term. If February renews the decline off November's high, the October low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $65.40 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $72.43. Second resistance is the November 20th high crossing at $76.40. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $16.17. Second support is December's low crossing at $66.23.

February cattle closed up $0.23 at $169.58.

February cattle closed slightly higher on Monday as it extends the rally off December's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $169.67 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If February resumes the decline off September's high, the September-2022 low crossing at $160.83 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $169.67. Second resistance is the November 15th high crossing at $179.05. First support is the December 7th low crossing at $162.40. Second support is the September-2022 low crossing at $160.83.

January Feeder cattle closed up $2.28 at $223.18.

January Feeder cattle closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off December's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off this month's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $230.98 is the next upside target. If November renews the decline off September's high, the May-2023 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $202.18 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $230.98. Second resistance is the November 29th high crossing at $223.58. First support is December's low crossing at $209.15. Second support is the May-2023 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $202.18.



 
Metals Snapshot
Symbol Last Change %
GOLD Dec 2023 2026.3 +11.7 +0.58%
SPDR Gold Trust 187.86 +0.86 +0.46%
SILVER Dec 2023 23.831 -0.050 -0.21%
PALLADIUM Jan 2024 1193.3 +37.0 +3.09%
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares 10.49 -0.14 -1.33%
Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund 49.28000 +0.07696 +0.16%

PRECIOUS METALS

February gold was slightly higher overnight and sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extends the rally off last-Wednesday's low, the December 1st high crossing at $2095.70 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at $1987.90 would open the door for a possible test of November's low crossing at $1955.40. First resistance is the December 1st high crossing at $2095.70. Second resistance is the December 4th high crossing at $2152.30. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $1987.90. Second is the November 13th low crossing at $1955.40.

March silver was higher overnight and sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 24.358 would signal that a low has been posted. If March renews the decline off December's high, the 75% retracement level of the October-December rally crossing at $22.464 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 24.358. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 26.340. First support is the 75% retracement level of the October-December rally crossing at $22.464. Second support is the November 13th low crossing at $22.260.

March copper was higher overnight and sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off the December 6th low, December's high crossing at 3.9330 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.8239 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is December's high crossing at 3.9330. Second resistance is the August 4th high crossing at 3.9550. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.8239. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.7386.



 
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