Thursday, August 10, 2023

Signs of stability for VC valuations

Leveraged loan returns rally; can AI revive supply chain tech?; SoftBank returns to the investing table; OMERS joins retreat from European VC
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The Daily Pitch: VC, PE and M&A
August 10, 2023
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Today's Top Stories  
VC valuations start to stabilize in Q2
In Q2, US VC valuations were considerably below the peaks of 2021 and early 2022. But there are signs that prices may be stabilizing. The median valuations for all stages, except for seed, registered an uptick from the previous quarter.

Although prices are no longer in a free-fall, the VC valuation glass may still be less than half full amid the near-frozen IPO market, reduced risk appetite from VCs and a continued pullback from nontraditional investors. Other key takeaways from the Q2 2023 US VC Valuations Report, sponsored by Morgan Stanley at Work, include:
  • Seed-stage deal sizes have started to stagnate, indicating that the capital that VCs are willing to give to the youngest companies may have reached a ceiling.

  • The median valuation step-ups for early-stage companies have hit a near-decade low, a challenge for seed-stage investors looking for markups.

  • Insiders have led 9.4% of late-stage rounds year-to-date, the highest proportion in nearly a decade.
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Leveraged loans extend rally in July, roll toward best year since financial crisis
(Lyubimova Tatiana/Shutterstock)
The $1.4 trillion US leveraged loan market continues to find its footing as CLO managers and other institutional investors cautiously approach riskier assets again.

This increased appetite for debt has sent returns in the segment sharply higher, and has even opened the door for "opportunistic" loans such as dividend deals—where a private equity sponsor adds debt to a portfolio company, then uses the loan proceeds to pay itself a dividend.
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PitchBook's 2023 Media Kit released
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PE Barometer turns positive for the first time since late 2021
PitchBook's Private Equity Barometer turned positive in Q2 for the first time since the end of 2021. The implied quarterly return of 4.99% is a marked increase from the previous quarter's return of 1.51%.

The PE Barometer provides insights one quarter ahead of preliminary fund returns data. Factors that influenced the reading in Q2 include:
  • Indicators of public market volatility and financial stress remain low in the face of tightening lending standards.

  • High-yield bond spreads moved in an encouraging direction over the course of Q2, boosting PE return prospects.
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Market Map: Can AI help supply chain tech snap a bearish trend?
(Busakorn Pongparnit/Getty Images)
As companies look to navigate the post-pandemic world, technology dealing with global supply chains remains paramount amid new regulations and industrial policy in the US, increased competition between China and the US, and sanctions on Russia.

Our latest market map explores the warehouse tech segment, as investment keeps coming in with companies shifting away from the just-in-time principles that were in place before COVID-19.
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Softbank slowly ramps up Vision Fund investments again
SoftBank's Vision Funds are once again deploying capital and experiencing valuation growth after five consecutive quarters of losses.

Our dashboard tracks how those startup bets are playing out, the investor's largest deals and exits this year, and other key metrics.
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OMERS Ventures joins North American retreat from European VC
(Karin Slade/Getty Images)
OMERS Ventures, the VC unit of Canadian pension fund OMERS, is shuttering its London office and winding down its European operations. The move comes as North American investor participation in European VC deals has declined in tandem with the appetite for cross-border deals.
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Recommended Reads
A survey has found that PE firms aren't yet willing to temper their expectations for 2023 returns. [Institutional Investor]

Startup EverestLabs is using robotic arms and AI to make recycling more efficient. [CNBC]

Iron and rust could be the secret to storing clean power for days. [Forbes]
 
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VC Deals  
Credgenics, an Indian SaaS-based debt collections platform, has closed a $50 million Series B from investors including Westbridge Capital, Accel and Tanglin Ventures.

Singaporean digital wealth adviser Endowus has raised $35 million from backers including Citi Ventures and MUFG Innovation Partners.

Bactolife, a Copenhagen-based developer of technology to improve gut health, has raised €30 million in a round led by Athos.

Balderton Capital has led a $30 million investment in Berlin-based large language model developer Deepset.ai.

Diality, a medical technology company, has raised $28 million from undisclosed investors.

Kraftblock, a German provider of energy storage systems, has closed a €20 million Series B from investors including Finindus, TechEnergy Ventures and Shell Ventures.

AI-powered security startup Symmetry Systems has raised $17.7 million from investors including ForgePoint Capital, Prefix Capital and W11 Capital Management.

Searact, a German developer of autonomous robotics for warehouses, has raised $5 million in a round led by Point Nine and Air Street Capital.

Home EV charging startup Treehouse has raised $10 million led by Montage Ventures and Trucks Venture Capital.
 
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PE Deals  
Investors led by Crestline Investors have agreed to sell German renewable energy producer NeXtWind to Sandbrook Capital, the Public Sector Pension Investment Board and the Investment Management Corporation of Ontario. The buyers plan to invest $750 million to acquire and grow NeXtWind.

Novacap has acquired TV advertising specialist Cadent from Lee Equity Partners. The company changed hands for about $600 million, Axios reported.

Kohlberg & Co. has acquired a majority stake in Engage PEO. Existing investor Lightyear Capital will retain a minority stake alongside the HR outsourcing company's management.

Argosy Private Equity has acquired a majority interest in commercial outdoor furniture and traffic safety product manufacturer Barco Products.

Beech Tree Private Equity has invested in CovertSwarm, which employs ethical hackers to test organizations' ability to withstand cyberattacks.
 
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Exit & IPOs  
CVC Capital Partners is considering a 2024 IPO for German perfume retailer Douglas, which could be valued at more than €7 billion, Bloomberg reported.
 
Fundraising  
Japan's Longreach Group has launched its fourth flagship fund targeting $800 million, according to reports.

GEF Capital Partners has closed GEF LatAm Climate Solutions Fund III on 1.05 billion Brazilian reais (about $210 million). The fund targets lower-middle-market investments addressing climate change and pollution control.

HealthEdge Investment Partners, which invests in lower-middle-market healthcare companies, has closed its fourth fund on more than $160 million.

South Africa-based Knife Capital has closed its third fund, which will make growth-stage investments, on $50 million, TechCrunch reported.

London's Pretiosum Ventures has held a first close of its $20 million second fund, TechCrunch reported. The vehicle will back infrastructure startups and focus on pre-seed, seed and Series A investments.
 
Chart of the Day  
Source: PitchBook's Q2 2023 Global M&A Report
 
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