Tuesday, June 6, 2023

✌️These Two Commodities Point to a Slowing Economy

Good morning. While markets are relieved over the latest debt ceiling, stocks are at their highs...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. While markets are relieved over the latest debt ceiling, stocks are at their highs of the year. Yet we're still seeing signs of a slowing economy. Saudi Arabia has cut oil production by 1 million barrels per day, for the second time this year. Oil is a barometer for economic activity – we're not all-electric yet – and reduced global demand for the commodity is a huge warning sign.

Ditto copper. The metal is even known as "Dr. Copper" as its price moves tend to anticipate changes in the economy. In the first six months of the year, prices are slightly down, following a 15 percent drop in the prior six months of 2022.

Investors should continue to look for downside opportunities to trade with put options until the economic data – and the prices of oil and copper – start to show signs of improvement.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 33,562.86 -0.59%
S&P 4,273.79 -0.20%
NASDAQ 13,229.43 -0.09%
*As of market close
Stocks closed lower on Monday, coming off of last week's strong rally.
Oil rose 0.3 percent, closing at $71.92per barrel.
Gold rallied 0.5 percent, ending the day at $1,979 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded lower, with bitcoin at $25,659 at the market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Consider this Small Cap Play for the AI Revolution
While the stock market has rewarded companies moving into the artificial intelligence (AI) space this year, the ride hasn't been a smooth one. That's actually a good thing for investors. Pullbacks create buying opportunities.

And the important thing for investors is to buy smaller AI companies that can see big growth – and share price appreciation – over time. That means looking for companies that have small market caps – under $100 billion – which takes a lot of household tech names off the table.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Big Lots (BIG)
Bruce Thorn, President and CEO at Big Lots (BIG), recently bought 51,000 shares. The buy increased his holdings by 8 percent, and came to a total cost just over $247,000.

This marks the only insider buy at the company over the past two years. One company Executive Bice President was a regular seller of shares in 2021 and into early 2022, but insiders have been inactive for the past 14 months.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Dow (DOW)
Chemical manufacturer Dow (DOW) is down over 25 percent in the past year. One trader sees a rebound ahead in the coming weeks.

That's based on the June 30th $53 calls. With 24 days until expiration, 18,807 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 111, for a 169-fold jump in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $0.70 to make the bullish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Saudi Arabia Pledges 1 Million Barrel Per Day Cut

OPEC member Saudi Arabia has pledged to cut oil production by 1 million barrels per day in a bid to keep prices at current levels or higher. OPEC+ members have agreed to stick with their current production targets through the end of the year and into 2024. This is the second major production cut announced by the cartel this year.
Bets on Rate Cuts Decline

Traders are scaling back their bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates before the end of the year. The shift in sentiment has been driven by strong data coming from the labor market, and as inflation still remains well above the Fed's target of 2 percent annually.
Airlines on Track for $10 Billion Year

Global airlines are on track to make $10 billion in profits this year, thanks to recovering demand for travel and tourism, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA). The group previously predicted profits of $4.7 billion for 2023 back in December, but with stronger cargo revenues and lower fuel costs, the sector could continue to flourish.
GM Investing Over $1 Billion in Heavy Duty Pickups

Automaker General Motors (GM) is planning to invest more than $1 billion for two plants in Michigan which will produce next-generation heavy-duty trucks. The offerings are in high demand, and are highly profitable for the automaker, even though they aren't electric. GM has committed to make a fleet of all-electric vehicles by 2035.
Tesla Model 3s Now Qualify for Full Tax Credits

All new Tesla Motors (TSLA) Model 3 vehicles will qualify for the full federal electric vehicle tax credit. The full credit allows a buyer to offset $7,500 of taxes. There is also a 50 percent credit of $3,750 for EVs whose battery components are produced or assembled in North America.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
BBWI  4.707%
PAYC  4.604%
FTNT 4.359%
ZM 3.309%
EXPE 3.205%
BOTTOM
EPAM 21.13%
CHRW 6.409%
DG 4.443%
INTC 4.408%
MMM 4.213%

Quote of the Day
The so-called Goldilocks has entered the house. Clearly, on the bullish side, there are signs that inflation is starting to wane, speculation that the Fed is going to move into pause mode, increasing the likelihood of a soft landing.
- Terry Sandven, chief equity strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, on economic conditions showing a slowing economy but not necessarily a recession – leading to conditions that could be ideal for businesses and the stock market.

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