Thursday, April 20, 2023

🛑Will Moving This Target Restore Confidence… Or Fuel Chaos?

Good morning. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has hinted that the bank may...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has hinted that the bank may change its inflation target. Just like the Federal Reserve, the ECB has a 2 percent inflation target for the Eurozone economy.

Moving that rate higher could give the bank more flexibility to deal with a crisis in the future. But changing the goal now could also be a sign that the central bank isn't confident it can meet its inflation target without harming the economy or sparking a bigger selloff in banks.

Overall, it's likely that changing inflation targets may lead to a belief that bankers are in control and there's reason to be confident. But in the longer term, it may make markets more volatile and chaotic. Investors should continue to focus on the fundamentals, and traders should continue to take advantage of market volatility.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 33,897.01 -0.23%
S&P 4,154.52 -0.01%
NASDAQ 12,157.23 +0.03%
*As of market close
Stocks traded flat on Wednesday, with a slight drop for the Dow, amid a busy day for earnings.
Oil slid 2.2 percent, closing at $79.10 per barrel.
Gold dipped 0.6 percent, ending at $2,007 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies sank, with Bitcoin hitting $29,235 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Look for Opportunities to Buy Two (Or More) Companies For the Price of One
There are many ways to earn a great return in the stock market. One way is to look at special situations, such as a merger announcement. There's also a less-well-known way to profit by buying up a company about to split into multiple companies.

Such moves happen with less fanfare than an acquisition. But it can be a way for a company to unlock the value of a line of business that may not fit into the stock market's perception of the company.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Tilly's Inc (TLYS)
Fund 1 Investments LLC, a major holder at Tilly's Inc (TLYS), recently added 177,930 shares. The buy increased the fund's holdings by 3 percent, and came to a total cost of $1.36 million.

The fund has been a steady buyer of shares over the past year. The fund also sold shares back in December, possibly for tax loss purposes. There have been a few small sales by company insiders over the past year.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM)
Megabank JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) has been moving higher since the recent fears in the banking sector. One trader is betting that trend will continue.

That's based on the November $175 calls. With 211 days until expiration, 4,870 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 109, for a 45-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $1.06 to make the bullish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Banks Raise Interest Rates for Depositors

One year after the Federal Reserve has started to raise interest rates, banks are joining in. Smaller banks, those that tend to serve local businesses and real estate, are starting to raise their interest rates for depositors. The move comes as a number of small banks saw a drop in consumer deposits following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.
Mortgage Demand Drops

30-year fixed rate mortgages rose to 6.43 percent last week from 6.3 percent, leading to a 10 percent drop in mortgage demand compared to the prior week. Applications to refinance a loan dropped 6 percent in the past week, and is down 56 percent compared to the same week last year.
Netflix Moving Forward with Password Sharing Crackdown

Streaming giant Netflix (NFLX) is moving forward with its crackdown on password sharing. The company announced the plan in the prior quarter but delayed it. In its most recent earnings, the company reported an increase of 1.75 million subscribers globally, up 5 percent compared to the first quarter of 2022.
Salesforce Developing AI Workflow Tools

Customer relations software developer Salesforce (CRM) is developing a generative AI-driven workflow system. The system will be able to create code based on written requests, which in turn can generate SQL queries and provide some simple API calls to improve workflow.
Big Tech Companies Continue Layoffs

Big tech companies, including Meta Platforms (META) and Amazon (AMZN) are moving forward with planned layoffs. The move comes as these companies are seeing a shift in advertising on their platforms, as companies are looking for a better return on their ad dollars amid a slowing economy.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
FRC  12.401%
ISRG  11.263%
ABT 7.883%
ZION 7.551%
UAL 7.307%
BOTTOM
CDW 12.964%
ELV 5.801%
HPE 5.181%
MOH 4.898%
CSCO 4.303%

Quote of the Day
Everything points to a relatively mild recession given the amount of stimulus that was paid to people and the money they have left over. At the end of the day, we don't see the activity on the consumer side slowing at a pace that would indicate that, but we would see commercial customers are being more careful.
- Brian Moynihan, Bank of America CEO, on the company's most recent earnings call, stating that he's not seeing signs of a major recession given how active consumers remain right now.

Sponsored Content
The Electricity Revolution Is Here — Don't Be Left Behind!
A largely unknown and untapped energy resource is about to be unlocked on a global scale, thanks to a tiny Silicon Valley firm. With the help of artificial intelligence, this company has discovered how to exploit an incredible trillion-dollar source of power that could make all other forms — from gas and coal through oil, to wind, hydropower and solar fusion — look like a small fry in comparison!

Just one year's worth alone would generate 5X as much fuel than Earth's largest existing oil field — making its potential profits hard for investors to ignore.

Watch the full presentation here.


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